Prediction 4655
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=RJ (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 142.0 | 245.0 | 327.0 | 414.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 158.0 | 272.0 | 363.0 | 459.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 84.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 180.0 | 307.0 | 409.0 | 518.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 85.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 183.0 | 316.0 | 423.0 | 538.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 99.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 207.0 | 354.0 | 474.0 | 603.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 100.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 212.0 | 365.0 | 491.0 | 627.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 114.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 237.0 | 406.0 | 546.0 | 698.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 137.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 276.0 | 470.0 | 630.0 | 805.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 167.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 67.0 | 326.0 | 549.0 | 736.0 | 940.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 179.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 74.0 | 350.0 | 590.0 | 792.0 | 1014.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 167.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 65.0 | 333.0 | 568.0 | 767.0 | 987.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 178.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 70.0 | 355.0 | 607.0 | 820.0 | 1057.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 320.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 63.0 | 156.0 | 591.0 | 981.0 | 1313.0 | 1683.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 376.0 | 10.0 | 39.0 | 83.0 | 187.0 | 687.0 | 1139.0 | 1525.0 | 1957.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 449.0 | 25.0 | 58.0 | 108.0 | 230.0 | 815.0 | 1348.0 | 1806.0 | 2319.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 498.0 | 33.0 | 70.0 | 124.0 | 257.0 | 903.0 | 1497.0 | 2010.0 | 2586.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 568.0 | 46.0 | 87.0 | 147.0 | 296.0 | 1027.0 | 1704.0 | 2290.0 | 2951.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 648.0 | 61.0 | 106.0 | 174.0 | 341.0 | 1170.0 | 1943.0 | 2617.0 | 3378.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 722.0 | 74.0 | 123.0 | 198.0 | 382.0 | 1302.0 | 2168.0 | 2924.0 | 3782.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 764.0 | 80.0 | 132.0 | 210.0 | 404.0 | 1383.0 | 2311.0 | 3124.0 | 4049.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 809.0 | 86.0 | 141.0 | 223.0 | 427.0 | 1469.0 | 2463.0 | 3338.0 | 4336.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 905.0 | 103.0 | 162.0 | 253.0 | 480.0 | 1643.0 | 2761.0 | 3749.0 | 4877.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1027.0 | 124.0 | 191.0 | 292.0 | 547.0 | 1865.0 | 3140.0 | 4271.0 | 5566.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1076.0 | 131.0 | 200.0 | 305.0 | 572.0 | 1961.0 | 3313.0 | 4516.0 | 5898.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 1073.0 | 127.0 | 196.0 | 301.0 | 567.0 | 1965.0 | 3336.0 | 4559.0 | 5967.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1216.0 | 151.0 | 228.0 | 346.0 | 644.0 | 2228.0 | 3789.0 | 5186.0 | 6800.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1198.0 | 144.0 | 220.0 | 335.0 | 630.0 | 2205.0 | 3767.0 | 5170.0 | 6792.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1106.0 | 124.0 | 194.0 | 301.0 | 576.0 | 2052.0 | 3523.0 | 4850.0 | 6387.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1096.0 | 120.0 | 188.0 | 295.0 | 568.0 | 2044.0 | 3525.0 | 4863.0 | 6418.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1024.0 | 104.0 | 168.0 | 268.0 | 525.0 | 1923.0 | 3333.0 | 4611.0 | 6100.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 997.0 | 96.0 | 159.0 | 256.0 | 507.0 | 1882.0 | 3276.0 | 4543.0 | 6021.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 887.0 | 75.0 | 131.0 | 218.0 | 444.0 | 1690.0 | 2960.0 | 4118.0 | 5471.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 702.0 | 40.0 | 86.0 | 157.0 | 340.0 | 1361.0 | 2406.0 | 3362.0 | 4481.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 598.0 | 21.0 | 60.0 | 122.0 | 282.0 | 1176.0 | 2095.0 | 2939.0 | 3928.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 500.0 | 3.0 | 36.0 | 89.0 | 227.0 | 1000.0 | 1800.0 | 2535.0 | 3399.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 405.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 58.0 | 174.0 | 829.0 | 1510.0 | 2137.0 | 2876.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 330.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 34.0 | 133.0 | 695.0 | 1282.0 | 1824.0 | 2463.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 281.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 105.0 | 608.0 | 1136.0 | 1625.0 | 2203.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 255.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 90.0 | 562.0 | 1060.0 | 1523.0 | 2072.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 197.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 59.0 | 457.0 | 881.0 | 1276.0 | 1746.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 173.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 45.0 | 414.0 | 809.0 | 1178.0 | 1617.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 140.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 354.0 | 705.0 | 1035.0 | 1429.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 131.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 340.0 | 683.0 | 1007.0 | 1394.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 118.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 316.0 | 645.0 | 954.0 | 1326.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 106.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 295.0 | 609.0 | 906.0 | 1263.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 93.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 270.0 | 567.0 | 849.0 | 1188.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 252.0 | 537.0 | 808.0 | 1134.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 247.0 | 529.0 | 799.0 | 1125.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 265.0 | 565.0 | 851.0 | 1198.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 267.0 | 570.0 | 860.0 | 1213.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 251.0 | 543.0 | 823.0 | 1164.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 269.0 | 578.0 | 876.0 | 1238.0 |
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