Prediction 4656
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=RN (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 48.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 106.0 | 178.0 | 232.0 | 288.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 111.0 | 187.0 | 244.0 | 303.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 107.0 | 182.0 | 240.0 | 299.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 112.0 | 191.0 | 251.0 | 314.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 53.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 119.0 | 201.0 | 264.0 | 330.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 122.0 | 207.0 | 272.0 | 340.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 127.0 | 214.0 | 282.0 | 353.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 130.0 | 220.0 | 290.0 | 363.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 134.0 | 227.0 | 300.0 | 375.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 64.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 139.0 | 234.0 | 309.0 | 387.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 136.0 | 231.0 | 306.0 | 385.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 52.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 122.0 | 213.0 | 284.0 | 359.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 | 176.0 | 290.0 | 380.0 | 474.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 104.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 39.0 | 200.0 | 325.0 | 424.0 | 527.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 122.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 51.0 | 228.0 | 366.0 | 474.0 | 588.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 139.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 62.0 | 253.0 | 403.0 | 521.0 | 645.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 183.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 34.0 | 91.0 | 320.0 | 498.0 | 640.0 | 789.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 194.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 39.0 | 98.0 | 337.0 | 524.0 | 672.0 | 829.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 235.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 57.0 | 125.0 | 398.0 | 612.0 | 783.0 | 963.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 285.0 | 20.0 | 45.0 | 80.0 | 158.0 | 473.0 | 722.0 | 919.0 | 1128.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 323.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 97.0 | 183.0 | 532.0 | 807.0 | 1026.0 | 1258.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 359.0 | 42.0 | 72.0 | 113.0 | 207.0 | 586.0 | 886.0 | 1125.0 | 1379.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 417.0 | 59.0 | 93.0 | 140.0 | 245.0 | 674.0 | 1014.0 | 1285.0 | 1573.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 420.0 | 60.0 | 93.0 | 141.0 | 247.0 | 681.0 | 1025.0 | 1300.0 | 1593.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 408.0 | 56.0 | 88.0 | 134.0 | 238.0 | 664.0 | 1002.0 | 1273.0 | 1560.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 504.0 | 84.0 | 123.0 | 178.0 | 301.0 | 809.0 | 1212.0 | 1535.0 | 1879.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 539.0 | 94.0 | 135.0 | 193.0 | 324.0 | 863.0 | 1293.0 | 1636.0 | 2003.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 538.0 | 93.0 | 134.0 | 192.0 | 323.0 | 862.0 | 1293.0 | 1638.0 | 2006.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 541.0 | 94.0 | 135.0 | 193.0 | 325.0 | 869.0 | 1303.0 | 1652.0 | 2024.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 545.0 | 94.0 | 136.0 | 194.0 | 327.0 | 875.0 | 1313.0 | 1665.0 | 2041.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 533.0 | 90.0 | 131.0 | 188.0 | 318.0 | 857.0 | 1289.0 | 1636.0 | 2007.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 508.0 | 82.0 | 121.0 | 176.0 | 301.0 | 820.0 | 1236.0 | 1571.0 | 1928.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 456.0 | 66.0 | 102.0 | 152.0 | 267.0 | 742.0 | 1124.0 | 1431.0 | 1759.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 423.0 | 56.0 | 89.0 | 137.0 | 245.0 | 693.0 | 1054.0 | 1344.0 | 1654.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 406.0 | 50.0 | 83.0 | 129.0 | 233.0 | 667.0 | 1017.0 | 1298.0 | 1599.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 367.0 | 39.0 | 69.0 | 111.0 | 207.0 | 609.0 | 933.0 | 1194.0 | 1472.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 340.0 | 30.0 | 58.0 | 99.0 | 189.0 | 568.0 | 874.0 | 1120.0 | 1384.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 307.0 | 20.0 | 46.0 | 83.0 | 168.0 | 520.0 | 804.0 | 1033.0 | 1279.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 300.0 | 18.0 | 43.0 | 80.0 | 163.0 | 510.0 | 791.0 | 1017.0 | 1260.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 251.0 | 3.0 | 25.0 | 57.0 | 130.0 | 436.0 | 684.0 | 884.0 | 1099.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 233.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 49.0 | 118.0 | 409.0 | 646.0 | 837.0 | 1042.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 204.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 36.0 | 99.0 | 364.0 | 581.0 | 755.0 | 943.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 200.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 34.0 | 96.0 | 359.0 | 574.0 | 748.0 | 934.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 207.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 36.0 | 100.0 | 370.0 | 591.0 | 769.0 | 961.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 175.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 79.0 | 321.0 | 519.0 | 679.0 | 851.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 150.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 63.0 | 284.0 | 465.0 | 612.0 | 770.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 120.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 43.0 | 239.0 | 398.0 | 528.0 | 667.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 120.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 43.0 | 239.0 | 399.0 | 529.0 | 669.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 115.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 | 231.0 | 388.0 | 515.0 | 652.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 107.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 | 219.0 | 371.0 | 494.0 | 627.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 92.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 196.0 | 337.0 | 452.0 | 575.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 91.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 194.0 | 334.0 | 448.0 | 570.0 |
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