Prediction 4659
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=RS (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 70.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 184.0 | 350.0 | 494.0 | 654.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 190.0 | 364.0 | 514.0 | 684.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 204.0 | 390.0 | 553.0 | 737.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 93.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 231.0 | 438.0 | 619.0 | 825.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 89.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 227.0 | 435.0 | 618.0 | 827.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 89.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 229.0 | 441.0 | 629.0 | 844.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 101.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 252.0 | 483.0 | 688.0 | 924.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 135.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 313.0 | 588.0 | 834.0 | 1117.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 143.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 330.0 | 620.0 | 880.0 | 1181.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 194.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 424.0 | 781.0 | 1103.0 | 1475.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 206.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 71.0 | 448.0 | 826.0 | 1167.0 | 1563.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 170.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 386.0 | 725.0 | 1031.0 | 1388.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 248.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 92.0 | 528.0 | 969.0 | 1370.0 | 1838.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 320.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 | 131.0 | 661.0 | 1201.0 | 1692.0 | 2267.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 431.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 70.0 | 192.0 | 867.0 | 1558.0 | 2189.0 | 2928.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 590.0 | 20.0 | 59.0 | 120.0 | 278.0 | 1161.0 | 2069.0 | 2900.0 | 3876.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 742.0 | 45.0 | 92.0 | 166.0 | 360.0 | 1444.0 | 2565.0 | 3593.0 | 4802.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1026.0 | 92.0 | 155.0 | 254.0 | 512.0 | 1971.0 | 3484.0 | 4876.0 | 6514.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1508.0 | 171.0 | 261.0 | 402.0 | 772.0 | 2865.0 | 5044.0 | 7054.0 | 9422.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2101.0 | 269.0 | 391.0 | 584.0 | 1090.0 | 3970.0 | 6979.0 | 9758.0 | 13038.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2854.0 | 391.0 | 555.0 | 814.0 | 1493.0 | 5377.0 | 9448.0 | 13216.0 | 17668.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 4003.0 | 577.0 | 805.0 | 1164.0 | 2108.0 | 7527.0 | 13224.0 | 18506.0 | 24756.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 5582.0 | 832.0 | 1146.0 | 1642.0 | 2950.0 | 10485.0 | 18429.0 | 25806.0 | 34544.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 7213.0 | 1092.0 | 1496.0 | 2133.0 | 3817.0 | 13553.0 | 23847.0 | 33418.0 | 44769.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 9056.0 | 1384.0 | 1888.0 | 2686.0 | 4795.0 | 17028.0 | 29996.0 | 42071.0 | 56404.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 11430.0 | 1758.0 | 2392.0 | 3395.0 | 6052.0 | 21509.0 | 37934.0 | 53247.0 | 71443.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 12517.0 | 1923.0 | 2615.0 | 3712.0 | 6620.0 | 23588.0 | 41660.0 | 58530.0 | 78592.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 13036.0 | 1996.0 | 2715.0 | 3856.0 | 6885.0 | 24604.0 | 43515.0 | 61189.0 | 82225.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 11903.0 | 1807.0 | 2463.0 | 3504.0 | 6273.0 | 22508.0 | 39872.0 | 56117.0 | 75467.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 10645.0 | 1599.0 | 2186.0 | 3118.0 | 5596.0 | 20168.0 | 35782.0 | 50404.0 | 67835.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 9487.0 | 1410.0 | 1933.0 | 2763.0 | 4976.0 | 18009.0 | 32000.0 | 45115.0 | 60759.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 9510.0 | 1408.0 | 1931.0 | 2763.0 | 4981.0 | 18075.0 | 32154.0 | 45364.0 | 61132.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 4456.0 | 612.0 | 860.0 | 1254.0 | 2306.0 | 8527.0 | 15227.0 | 21519.0 | 29033.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 3459.0 | 455.0 | 648.0 | 955.0 | 1777.0 | 6646.0 | 11898.0 | 16833.0 | 22731.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 2143.0 | 249.0 | 370.0 | 564.0 | 1082.0 | 4157.0 | 7479.0 | 10602.0 | 14337.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 2066.0 | 236.0 | 353.0 | 540.0 | 1040.0 | 4015.0 | 7231.0 | 10258.0 | 13880.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 1508.0 | 148.0 | 235.0 | 374.0 | 746.0 | 2958.0 | 5353.0 | 7608.0 | 10308.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 1042.0 | 75.0 | 136.0 | 235.0 | 499.0 | 2079.0 | 3798.0 | 5420.0 | 7365.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 686.0 | 19.0 | 61.0 | 129.0 | 311.0 | 1406.0 | 2603.0 | 3736.0 | 5097.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 336.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 127.0 | 738.0 | 1409.0 | 2046.0 | 2812.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 263.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 89.0 | 601.0 | 1166.0 | 1702.0 | 2349.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 236.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 74.0 | 549.0 | 1076.0 | 1577.0 | 2182.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 213.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.0 | 506.0 | 1001.0 | 1473.0 | 2043.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 160.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 34.0 | 406.0 | 821.0 | 1218.0 | 1698.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 129.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 347.0 | 715.0 | 1067.0 | 1495.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 102.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 294.0 | 620.0 | 933.0 | 1313.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 103.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 297.0 | 627.0 | 945.0 | 1331.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 94.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 282.0 | 600.0 | 907.0 | 1280.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 105.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 303.0 | 642.0 | 968.0 | 1364.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 86.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 267.0 | 575.0 | 873.0 | 1235.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 94.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 283.0 | 607.0 | 920.0 | 1301.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 100.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 296.0 | 631.0 | 956.0 | 1352.0 |
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