Prediction 4660
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=SC (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 80.0 | 143.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 172.0 | 255.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 105.0 | 181.0 | 268.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 | 130.0 | 218.0 | 320.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55.0 | 168.0 | 272.0 | 394.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55.0 | 171.0 | 278.0 | 405.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 102.0 | 256.0 | 400.0 | 571.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 127.0 | 305.0 | 471.0 | 670.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 211.0 | 458.0 | 692.0 | 973.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 110.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 306.0 | 636.0 | 949.0 | 1328.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 86.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 262.0 | 561.0 | 848.0 | 1195.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 220.0 | 489.0 | 748.0 | 1063.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 98.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 294.0 | 630.0 | 955.0 | 1354.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 102.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 304.0 | 655.0 | 996.0 | 1415.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 150.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 404.0 | 848.0 | 1282.0 | 1818.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 190.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 43.0 | 488.0 | 1013.0 | 1530.0 | 2170.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 246.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 69.0 | 607.0 | 1246.0 | 1879.0 | 2664.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 365.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 126.0 | 858.0 | 1736.0 | 2609.0 | 3697.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 509.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 52.0 | 194.0 | 1161.0 | 2331.0 | 3499.0 | 4959.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 720.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 103.0 | 293.0 | 1611.0 | 3216.0 | 4827.0 | 6846.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 860.0 | 11.0 | 57.0 | 135.0 | 357.0 | 1914.0 | 3825.0 | 5751.0 | 8172.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1116.0 | 39.0 | 97.0 | 194.0 | 476.0 | 2467.0 | 4929.0 | 7421.0 | 10563.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1516.0 | 81.0 | 158.0 | 287.0 | 661.0 | 3332.0 | 6657.0 | 10035.0 | 14307.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1973.0 | 129.0 | 226.0 | 391.0 | 871.0 | 4325.0 | 8657.0 | 13074.0 | 18675.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2156.0 | 145.0 | 251.0 | 429.0 | 951.0 | 4742.0 | 9526.0 | 14424.0 | 20649.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2707.0 | 201.0 | 331.0 | 552.0 | 1201.0 | 5953.0 | 11991.0 | 18192.0 | 26094.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2959.0 | 223.0 | 364.0 | 604.0 | 1311.0 | 6531.0 | 13202.0 | 20078.0 | 28863.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 2834.0 | 206.0 | 340.0 | 569.0 | 1247.0 | 6291.0 | 12776.0 | 19481.0 | 28067.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 2909.0 | 209.0 | 346.0 | 580.0 | 1275.0 | 6482.0 | 13217.0 | 20202.0 | 29167.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2562.0 | 170.0 | 290.0 | 496.0 | 1111.0 | 5750.0 | 11782.0 | 18058.0 | 26132.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2529.0 | 163.0 | 281.0 | 484.0 | 1091.0 | 5702.0 | 11730.0 | 18020.0 | 26129.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 2308.0 | 138.0 | 246.0 | 431.0 | 987.0 | 5237.0 | 10822.0 | 16667.0 | 24217.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1619.0 | 68.0 | 144.0 | 276.0 | 673.0 | 3725.0 | 7756.0 | 11986.0 | 17462.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 1066.0 | 13.0 | 64.0 | 153.0 | 422.0 | 2503.0 | 5266.0 | 8173.0 | 11942.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 804.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 95.0 | 303.0 | 1927.0 | 4092.0 | 6375.0 | 9342.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 659.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 63.0 | 237.0 | 1608.0 | 3444.0 | 5386.0 | 7913.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 489.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 161.0 | 1231.0 | 2670.0 | 4196.0 | 6185.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 312.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 | 841.0 | 1880.0 | 2991.0 | 4448.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 172.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 531.0 | 1245.0 | 2015.0 | 3032.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 281.0 | 723.0 | 1203.0 | 1842.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 184.0 | 519.0 | 888.0 | 1381.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 170.0 | 496.0 | 856.0 | 1342.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 147.0 | 450.0 | 788.0 | 1246.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 103.0 | 357.0 | 643.0 | 1032.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 83.0 | 316.0 | 580.0 | 942.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 68.0 | 286.0 | 536.0 | 878.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 209.0 | 411.0 | 690.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 204.0 | 405.0 | 685.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 220.0 | 434.0 | 733.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 47.0 | 249.0 | 485.0 | 817.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 49.0 | 256.0 | 500.0 | 844.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 53.0 | 269.0 | 525.0 | 886.0 |
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