Prediction 4661
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=SE (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 38.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 71.0 | 108.0 | 133.0 | 158.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 38.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 72.0 | 109.0 | 135.0 | 160.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 80.0 | 119.0 | 147.0 | 174.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 53.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 91.0 | 133.0 | 163.0 | 192.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 57.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 97.0 | 141.0 | 172.0 | 203.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 56.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 96.0 | 140.0 | 171.0 | 202.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 28.0 | 103.0 | 149.0 | 182.0 | 213.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 27.0 | 101.0 | 147.0 | 180.0 | 212.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 90.0 | 134.0 | 165.0 | 196.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 82.0 | 124.0 | 154.0 | 183.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 65.0 | 103.0 | 130.0 | 157.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 25.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 59.0 | 96.0 | 123.0 | 148.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 34.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 69.0 | 109.0 | 138.0 | 165.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 36.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 72.0 | 113.0 | 142.0 | 171.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 34.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 70.0 | 111.0 | 139.0 | 168.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 39.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 76.0 | 118.0 | 148.0 | 177.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 43.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 81.0 | 125.0 | 156.0 | 186.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 92.0 | 138.0 | 171.0 | 203.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 53.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 95.0 | 142.0 | 176.0 | 208.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 52.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 94.0 | 141.0 | 174.0 | 207.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 101.0 | 150.0 | 185.0 | 219.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 56.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 98.0 | 146.0 | 181.0 | 214.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 104.0 | 154.0 | 189.0 | 224.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 105.0 | 155.0 | 191.0 | 225.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 64.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 109.0 | 159.0 | 196.0 | 231.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 73.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 36.0 | 121.0 | 174.0 | 213.0 | 250.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 37.0 | 123.0 | 177.0 | 216.0 | 254.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 73.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 35.0 | 120.0 | 175.0 | 213.0 | 251.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 68.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 32.0 | 115.0 | 167.0 | 205.0 | 242.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 132.0 | 189.0 | 229.0 | 269.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 89.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 48.0 | 141.0 | 200.0 | 242.0 | 284.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 92.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 145.0 | 205.0 | 248.0 | 290.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 90.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 49.0 | 142.0 | 202.0 | 244.0 | 286.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 86.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 138.0 | 197.0 | 239.0 | 280.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 89.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 48.0 | 141.0 | 200.0 | 243.0 | 284.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 84.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 44.0 | 135.0 | 193.0 | 235.0 | 275.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 130.0 | 186.0 | 227.0 | 266.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 132.0 | 189.0 | 230.0 | 270.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 90.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 49.0 | 143.0 | 204.0 | 246.0 | 288.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 96.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 53.0 | 150.0 | 212.0 | 256.0 | 299.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 91.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 144.0 | 205.0 | 248.0 | 290.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 94.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 52.0 | 148.0 | 209.0 | 253.0 | 296.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 47.0 | 140.0 | 200.0 | 242.0 | 284.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 91.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 49.0 | 144.0 | 204.0 | 247.0 | 289.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 47.0 | 140.0 | 200.0 | 243.0 | 284.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 81.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 132.0 | 189.0 | 230.0 | 271.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 73.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 121.0 | 176.0 | 216.0 | 254.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 40.0 | 129.0 | 186.0 | 226.0 | 266.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 76.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 38.0 | 125.0 | 181.0 | 221.0 | 260.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 36.0 | 123.0 | 179.0 | 218.0 | 257.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 65.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 29.0 | 112.0 | 164.0 | 202.0 | 238.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 68.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 115.0 | 169.0 | 207.0 | 244.0 |
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