Prediction 4662
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=SP (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 1112.0 | 249.0 | 326.0 | 437.0 | 689.0 | 1759.0 | 2634.0 | 3343.0 | 4106.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 1201.0 | 262.0 | 345.0 | 464.0 | 738.0 | 1920.0 | 2902.0 | 3705.0 | 4573.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 1215.0 | 254.0 | 337.0 | 458.0 | 737.0 | 1965.0 | 3000.0 | 3853.0 | 4780.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 1306.0 | 267.0 | 356.0 | 484.0 | 786.0 | 2132.0 | 3283.0 | 4239.0 | 5285.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 1429.0 | 287.0 | 383.0 | 523.0 | 853.0 | 2353.0 | 3653.0 | 4741.0 | 5937.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 1535.0 | 302.0 | 404.0 | 554.0 | 909.0 | 2548.0 | 3989.0 | 5202.0 | 6543.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 1766.0 | 346.0 | 462.0 | 632.0 | 1041.0 | 2952.0 | 4653.0 | 6096.0 | 7698.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 1987.0 | 386.0 | 514.0 | 705.0 | 1164.0 | 3345.0 | 5311.0 | 6989.0 | 8860.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 2341.0 | 454.0 | 603.0 | 825.0 | 1365.0 | 3966.0 | 6338.0 | 8375.0 | 10657.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2652.0 | 509.0 | 676.0 | 926.0 | 1538.0 | 4525.0 | 7280.0 | 9662.0 | 12341.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2671.0 | 498.0 | 665.0 | 917.0 | 1535.0 | 4597.0 | 7452.0 | 9934.0 | 12739.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2731.0 | 497.0 | 667.0 | 923.0 | 1557.0 | 4737.0 | 7735.0 | 10356.0 | 13329.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 4772.0 | 904.0 | 1194.0 | 1634.0 | 2729.0 | 8292.0 | 13588.0 | 18245.0 | 23550.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 5905.0 | 1110.0 | 1465.0 | 2007.0 | 3360.0 | 10322.0 | 17018.0 | 22936.0 | 29704.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 7390.0 | 1377.0 | 1817.0 | 2491.0 | 4184.0 | 12997.0 | 21557.0 | 29163.0 | 37893.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 9003.0 | 1657.0 | 2189.0 | 3005.0 | 5068.0 | 15933.0 | 26585.0 | 36099.0 | 47057.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 11211.0 | 2039.0 | 2696.0 | 3707.0 | 6277.0 | 19964.0 | 33507.0 | 45662.0 | 59713.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 12718.0 | 2276.0 | 3016.0 | 4158.0 | 7077.0 | 22794.0 | 38486.0 | 52636.0 | 69049.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 14915.0 | 2630.0 | 3491.0 | 4825.0 | 8251.0 | 26898.0 | 45679.0 | 62692.0 | 82493.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 16631.0 | 2885.0 | 3838.0 | 5320.0 | 9145.0 | 30180.0 | 51544.0 | 70986.0 | 93687.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 18907.0 | 3229.0 | 4305.0 | 5984.0 | 10336.0 | 34518.0 | 59280.0 | 81914.0 | 108425.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 20773.0 | 3491.0 | 4665.0 | 6503.0 | 11290.0 | 38151.0 | 65877.0 | 91329.0 | 121233.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 23197.0 | 3838.0 | 5141.0 | 7187.0 | 12537.0 | 42851.0 | 74387.0 | 103457.0 | 137714.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 24219.0 | 3942.0 | 5293.0 | 7422.0 | 13014.0 | 44998.0 | 78524.0 | 109553.0 | 146228.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 23715.0 | 3793.0 | 5109.0 | 7187.0 | 12669.0 | 44316.0 | 77735.0 | 108788.0 | 145595.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 25182.0 | 3966.0 | 5355.0 | 7554.0 | 13380.0 | 47315.0 | 83408.0 | 117076.0 | 157093.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 25297.0 | 3921.0 | 5307.0 | 7510.0 | 13368.0 | 47792.0 | 84663.0 | 119185.0 | 160330.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 24184.0 | 3685.0 | 5004.0 | 7103.0 | 12710.0 | 45936.0 | 81767.0 | 115440.0 | 155678.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 22123.0 | 3312.0 | 4512.0 | 6427.0 | 11562.0 | 42248.0 | 75560.0 | 106978.0 | 144620.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 19288.0 | 2834.0 | 3874.0 | 5540.0 | 10023.0 | 37033.0 | 66547.0 | 94479.0 | 128029.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 16317.0 | 2349.0 | 3225.0 | 4631.0 | 8429.0 | 31499.0 | 56866.0 | 80956.0 | 109963.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 13675.0 | 1926.0 | 2657.0 | 3834.0 | 7022.0 | 26542.0 | 48139.0 | 68717.0 | 93555.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 9813.0 | 1338.0 | 1862.0 | 2706.0 | 5002.0 | 19164.0 | 34928.0 | 49998.0 | 68229.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 7276.0 | 956.0 | 1343.0 | 1969.0 | 3678.0 | 14299.0 | 26191.0 | 37595.0 | 51424.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 5357.0 | 671.0 | 956.0 | 1418.0 | 2683.0 | 10601.0 | 19517.0 | 28095.0 | 38520.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 4175.0 | 496.0 | 719.0 | 1079.0 | 2070.0 | 8320.0 | 15398.0 | 22227.0 | 30545.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 3129.0 | 345.0 | 512.0 | 783.0 | 1532.0 | 6287.0 | 11702.0 | 16942.0 | 23338.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 2474.0 | 248.0 | 380.0 | 596.0 | 1193.0 | 5025.0 | 9424.0 | 13701.0 | 18938.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 1748.0 | 145.0 | 239.0 | 393.0 | 822.0 | 3604.0 | 6826.0 | 9972.0 | 13839.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 1424.0 | 98.0 | 175.0 | 302.0 | 656.0 | 2976.0 | 5686.0 | 8344.0 | 11621.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 1213.0 | 68.0 | 133.0 | 242.0 | 546.0 | 2565.0 | 4943.0 | 7285.0 | 10182.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 1054.0 | 45.0 | 102.0 | 197.0 | 465.0 | 2258.0 | 4385.0 | 6491.0 | 9104.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 960.0 | 31.0 | 83.0 | 169.0 | 415.0 | 2079.0 | 4069.0 | 6046.0 | 8507.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 829.0 | 12.0 | 58.0 | 134.0 | 349.0 | 1821.0 | 3596.0 | 5366.0 | 7576.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 744.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 110.0 | 306.0 | 1655.0 | 3294.0 | 4935.0 | 6990.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 688.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 94.0 | 277.0 | 1549.0 | 3105.0 | 4670.0 | 6635.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 648.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 82.0 | 256.0 | 1474.0 | 2973.0 | 4488.0 | 6394.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 635.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 77.0 | 248.0 | 1455.0 | 2952.0 | 4469.0 | 6384.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 720.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 95.0 | 286.0 | 1643.0 | 3338.0 | 5061.0 | 7242.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 747.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 100.0 | 296.0 | 1710.0 | 3486.0 | 5299.0 | 7599.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 728.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 | 94.0 | 285.0 | 1679.0 | 3441.0 | 5246.0 | 7541.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 755.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 98.0 | 296.0 | 1746.0 | 3590.0 | 5485.0 | 7902.0 |
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