Prediction 482
| Model | LSTM model for Infodengue Sprint |
|---|---|
| Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Predictions for 2024 in BA using the baseline architecture
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 190.87 | - | 164.18 | - | - | - | - | 224.13 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 195.33 | - | 171.12 | - | - | - | - | 224.69 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 117.00 | - | 94.49 | - | - | - | - | 141.73 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 17.21 | - | 0.53 | - | - | - | - | 28.69 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 32.14 | - | 13.27 | - | - | - | - | 45.24 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 36.38 | - | 16.59 | - | - | - | - | 48.18 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 26.34 | - | 7.38 | - | - | - | - | 41.04 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 73.44 | - | 54.12 | - | - | - | - | 91.92 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 41.00 | - | 16.13 | - | - | - | - | 54.72 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 30.39 | - | 4.29 | - | - | - | - | 43.36 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 26.64 | - | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | 41.69 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 177.55 | - | 155.62 | - | - | - | - | 204.60 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 745.42 | - | 719.02 | - | - | - | - | 771.50 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 811.94 | - | 778.55 | - | - | - | - | 851.31 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 796.43 | - | 767.82 | - | - | - | - | 827.64 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 1012.89 | - | 969.45 | - | - | - | - | 1045.27 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 1391.94 | - | 1342.93 | - | - | - | - | 1445.43 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 1636.46 | - | 1579.65 | - | - | - | - | 1693.80 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 1755.97 | - | 1690.03 | - | - | - | - | 1825.70 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 1893.69 | - | 1804.36 | - | - | - | - | 1964.54 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 2071.05 | - | 1996.56 | - | - | - | - | 2147.74 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 2300.98 | - | 2213.25 | - | - | - | - | 2395.05 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 2233.11 | - | 2161.81 | - | - | - | - | 2320.73 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 2392.84 | - | 2317.44 | - | - | - | - | 2458.38 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 2276.06 | - | 2209.93 | - | - | - | - | 2351.08 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 2235.66 | - | 2161.20 | - | - | - | - | 2308.94 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 2346.35 | - | 2272.60 | - | - | - | - | 2415.11 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 2220.05 | - | 2129.87 | - | - | - | - | 2299.14 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 2185.44 | - | 2102.26 | - | - | - | - | 2262.13 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 2555.44 | - | 2469.02 | - | - | - | - | 2652.07 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 2441.04 | - | 2314.47 | - | - | - | - | 2542.23 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 2359.51 | - | 2225.70 | - | - | - | - | 2441.24 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 2014.72 | - | 1900.63 | - | - | - | - | 2103.69 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 2115.94 | - | 2001.26 | - | - | - | - | 2208.22 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 1969.02 | - | 1853.92 | - | - | - | - | 2054.10 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 1910.36 | - | 1808.38 | - | - | - | - | 1991.70 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 1791.52 | - | 1690.84 | - | - | - | - | 1861.15 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 1620.82 | - | 1534.90 | - | - | - | - | 1691.37 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 1798.25 | - | 1704.41 | - | - | - | - | 1892.73 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 1891.90 | - | 1806.98 | - | - | - | - | 1985.92 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 1745.69 | - | 1664.86 | - | - | - | - | 1836.13 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 1293.18 | - | 1227.52 | - | - | - | - | 1375.43 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 1184.37 | - | 1102.83 | - | - | - | - | 1264.27 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 983.21 | - | 927.41 | - | - | - | - | 1053.38 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 852.59 | - | 799.09 | - | - | - | - | 904.23 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 676.97 | - | 631.38 | - | - | - | - | 724.51 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 680.64 | - | 639.00 | - | - | - | - | 731.45 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 433.08 | - | 386.41 | - | - | - | - | 494.92 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 403.98 | - | 352.30 | - | - | - | - | 455.71 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 571.96 | - | 524.12 | - | - | - | - | 612.28 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 295.14 | - | 266.56 | - | - | - | - | 324.82 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 480.81 | - | 430.05 | - | - | - | - | 524.28 | - |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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