Prediction 501
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state AM.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 155.66 | - | 148.84 | - | - | - | - | 162.72 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 135.97 | - | 129.70 | - | - | - | - | 142.46 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 126.04 | - | 120.06 | - | - | - | - | 132.24 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 110.78 | - | 105.26 | - | - | - | - | 116.52 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 118.42 | - | 112.67 | - | - | - | - | 124.39 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 121.41 | - | 115.57 | - | - | - | - | 127.47 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 108.50 | - | 103.05 | - | - | - | - | 114.16 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 96.53 | - | 91.45 | - | - | - | - | 101.80 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 96.63 | - | 91.55 | - | - | - | - | 101.91 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 91.01 | - | 86.12 | - | - | - | - | 96.11 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 85.55 | - | 80.84 | - | - | - | - | 90.46 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 78.62 | - | 74.15 | - | - | - | - | 83.30 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 74.18 | - | 69.85 | - | - | - | - | 78.69 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 73.10 | - | 68.81 | - | - | - | - | 77.58 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 86.11 | - | 81.38 | - | - | - | - | 91.05 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 83.30 | - | 78.67 | - | - | - | - | 88.14 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 87.77 | - | 82.99 | - | - | - | - | 92.76 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 93.42 | - | 88.45 | - | - | - | - | 98.60 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 86.36 | - | 81.62 | - | - | - | - | 91.30 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 93.59 | - | 88.61 | - | - | - | - | 98.77 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 91.09 | - | 86.19 | - | - | - | - | 96.19 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 100.90 | - | 95.69 | - | - | - | - | 106.32 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 106.18 | - | 100.80 | - | - | - | - | 111.77 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 126.08 | - | 120.10 | - | - | - | - | 132.28 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 147.00 | - | 140.41 | - | - | - | - | 153.81 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 158.56 | - | 151.65 | - | - | - | - | 165.70 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 174.90 | - | 167.54 | - | - | - | - | 182.49 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 177.62 | - | 170.20 | - | - | - | - | 185.29 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 167.39 | - | 160.23 | - | - | - | - | 174.77 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 161.96 | - | 155.12 | - | - | - | - | 169.01 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 328.57 | - | 66.94 | - | - | - | - | 1005.67 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 381.94 | - | 77.82 | - | - | - | - | 1168.98 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 454.53 | - | 92.61 | - | - | - | - | 1391.13 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 526.26 | - | 107.23 | - | - | - | - | 1610.66 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 567.86 | - | 115.71 | - | - | - | - | 1737.95 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 650.62 | - | 132.58 | - | - | - | - | 1991.21 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 688.88 | - | 140.38 | - | - | - | - | 2108.29 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 765.59 | - | 156.01 | - | - | - | - | 2343.05 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 711.39 | - | 144.96 | - | - | - | - | 2177.18 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 642.58 | - | 130.94 | - | - | - | - | 1966.61 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 572.22 | - | 116.60 | - | - | - | - | 1751.29 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 480.45 | - | 97.90 | - | - | - | - | 1470.45 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 389.31 | - | 79.32 | - | - | - | - | 1191.54 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 385.09 | - | 78.46 | - | - | - | - | 1178.64 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 317.43 | - | 64.67 | - | - | - | - | 971.57 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 268.38 | - | 54.67 | - | - | - | - | 821.46 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 228.37 | - | 46.52 | - | - | - | - | 699.04 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 209.04 | - | 42.58 | - | - | - | - | 639.86 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 202.20 | - | 41.19 | - | - | - | - | 618.94 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 190.62 | - | 38.83 | - | - | - | - | 583.50 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 163.11 | - | 33.22 | - | - | - | - | 499.31 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 153.31 | - | 31.22 | - | - | - | - | 469.32 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 161.80 | - | 32.95 | - | - | - | - | 495.33 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 141.33 | - | 28.78 | - | - | - | - | 432.67 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 131.01 | - | 26.68 | - | - | - | - | 401.10 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 115.15 | - | 23.45 | - | - | - | - | 352.57 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 123.09 | - | 25.06 | - | - | - | - | 376.87 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 126.20 | - | 25.70 | - | - | - | - | 386.37 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 112.78 | - | 22.96 | - | - | - | - | 345.31 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 100.33 | - | 20.42 | - | - | - | - | 307.21 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 100.44 | - | 20.45 | - | - | - | - | 307.53 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 94.61 | - | 19.26 | - | - | - | - | 289.68 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 88.93 | - | 18.10 | - | - | - | - | 272.30 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 81.73 | - | 16.63 | - | - | - | - | 250.26 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 77.10 | - | 15.69 | - | - | - | - | 236.11 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 75.99 | - | 15.46 | - | - | - | - | 232.71 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 89.51 | - | 18.22 | - | - | - | - | 274.09 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 86.59 | - | 17.62 | - | - | - | - | 265.16 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 91.23 | - | 18.57 | - | - | - | - | 279.37 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 97.11 | - | 19.77 | - | - | - | - | 297.34 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 89.77 | - | 18.27 | - | - | - | - | 274.87 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
