Prediction 502
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state AC.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 68.64 | - | 64.98 | - | - | - | - | 72.46 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 62.07 | - | 58.64 | - | - | - | - | 65.66 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 57.27 | - | 54.01 | - | - | - | - | 60.68 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 54.57 | - | 51.40 | - | - | - | - | 57.87 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 49.67 | - | 46.69 | - | - | - | - | 52.79 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 48.13 | - | 45.20 | - | - | - | - | 51.18 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 51.07 | - | 48.03 | - | - | - | - | 54.24 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 44.44 | - | 41.66 | - | - | - | - | 47.35 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 46.66 | - | 43.79 | - | - | - | - | 49.66 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 42.50 | - | 39.80 | - | - | - | - | 45.34 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 46.07 | - | 43.23 | - | - | - | - | 49.05 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 54.23 | - | 51.08 | - | - | - | - | 57.53 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 73.22 | - | 69.40 | - | - | - | - | 77.20 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 92.02 | - | 87.57 | - | - | - | - | 96.64 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 119.12 | - | 113.80 | - | - | - | - | 124.61 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 127.59 | - | 122.01 | - | - | - | - | 133.35 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 127.66 | - | 122.08 | - | - | - | - | 133.43 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 147.69 | - | 141.51 | - | - | - | - | 154.08 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 147.08 | - | 140.91 | - | - | - | - | 153.44 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 161.41 | - | 154.82 | - | - | - | - | 168.21 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 161.87 | - | 155.26 | - | - | - | - | 168.68 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 169.55 | - | 162.72 | - | - | - | - | 176.59 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 187.51 | - | 180.15 | - | - | - | - | 195.08 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 210.67 | - | 202.64 | - | - | - | - | 218.93 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 231.28 | - | 222.66 | - | - | - | - | 240.14 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 247.23 | - | 238.16 | - | - | - | - | 256.56 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 277.81 | - | 267.87 | - | - | - | - | 288.02 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 281.19 | - | 271.16 | - | - | - | - | 291.50 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 250.74 | - | 241.57 | - | - | - | - | 260.17 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 221.04 | - | 213.03 | - | - | - | - | 229.27 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 716.70 | - | 126.30 | - | - | - | - | 2345.40 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 687.31 | - | 121.12 | - | - | - | - | 2249.25 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 723.72 | - | 127.54 | - | - | - | - | 2368.38 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 672.15 | - | 118.45 | - | - | - | - | 2199.64 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 710.47 | - | 125.21 | - | - | - | - | 2325.03 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 681.38 | - | 120.08 | - | - | - | - | 2229.83 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 668.98 | - | 117.89 | - | - | - | - | 2189.27 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 607.19 | - | 107.00 | - | - | - | - | 1987.07 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 607.32 | - | 107.02 | - | - | - | - | 1987.49 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 524.57 | - | 92.44 | - | - | - | - | 1716.72 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 495.99 | - | 87.40 | - | - | - | - | 1623.20 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 455.48 | - | 80.26 | - | - | - | - | 1490.64 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 383.40 | - | 67.56 | - | - | - | - | 1254.77 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 367.24 | - | 64.71 | - | - | - | - | 1201.88 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 317.92 | - | 56.01 | - | - | - | - | 1040.49 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 274.38 | - | 48.34 | - | - | - | - | 898.03 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 233.72 | - | 41.17 | - | - | - | - | 764.97 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 212.88 | - | 37.50 | - | - | - | - | 696.77 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 193.91 | - | 34.16 | - | - | - | - | 634.69 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 168.92 | - | 29.75 | - | - | - | - | 552.92 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 149.59 | - | 26.35 | - | - | - | - | 489.69 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 137.37 | - | 24.19 | - | - | - | - | 449.69 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 126.10 | - | 22.20 | - | - | - | - | 412.81 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 114.03 | - | 20.08 | - | - | - | - | 373.30 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 105.21 | - | 18.52 | - | - | - | - | 344.45 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 100.24 | - | 17.65 | - | - | - | - | 328.18 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 91.25 | - | 16.06 | - | - | - | - | 298.77 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 88.41 | - | 15.56 | - | - | - | - | 289.47 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 93.81 | - | 16.51 | - | - | - | - | 307.15 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 81.63 | - | 14.37 | - | - | - | - | 267.29 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 85.71 | - | 15.08 | - | - | - | - | 280.64 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 78.07 | - | 13.74 | - | - | - | - | 255.66 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 84.64 | - | 14.90 | - | - | - | - | 277.14 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 99.63 | - | 17.54 | - | - | - | - | 326.19 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 134.51 | - | 23.69 | - | - | - | - | 440.33 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 169.04 | - | 29.77 | - | - | - | - | 553.34 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 218.81 | - | 38.54 | - | - | - | - | 716.20 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 234.38 | - | 41.29 | - | - | - | - | 767.13 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 234.51 | - | 41.31 | - | - | - | - | 767.57 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 271.31 | - | 47.80 | - | - | - | - | 887.98 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 270.18 | - | 47.60 | - | - | - | - | 884.27 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
