Prediction 504
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PA.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 326.80 | - | 313.51 | - | - | - | - | 340.51 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 304.72 | - | 291.97 | - | - | - | - | 317.89 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 258.00 | - | 246.44 | - | - | - | - | 269.96 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 251.70 | - | 240.30 | - | - | - | - | 263.49 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 225.78 | - | 215.09 | - | - | - | - | 236.86 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 210.13 | - | 199.87 | - | - | - | - | 220.77 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 215.47 | - | 205.06 | - | - | - | - | 226.25 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 218.16 | - | 207.68 | - | - | - | - | 229.03 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 251.41 | - | 240.03 | - | - | - | - | 263.20 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 276.22 | - | 264.18 | - | - | - | - | 288.66 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 263.55 | - | 251.85 | - | - | - | - | 275.66 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 247.87 | - | 236.57 | - | - | - | - | 259.55 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 228.35 | - | 217.59 | - | - | - | - | 239.50 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 227.43 | - | 216.69 | - | - | - | - | 238.55 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 229.44 | - | 218.65 | - | - | - | - | 240.62 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 228.41 | - | 217.65 | - | - | - | - | 239.57 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 219.97 | - | 209.44 | - | - | - | - | 230.89 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 201.59 | - | 191.56 | - | - | - | - | 211.99 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 236.59 | - | 225.59 | - | - | - | - | 247.99 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 213.98 | - | 203.62 | - | - | - | - | 224.73 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 196.81 | - | 186.91 | - | - | - | - | 207.08 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 249.95 | - | 238.60 | - | - | - | - | 261.70 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 288.34 | - | 275.99 | - | - | - | - | 301.08 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 335.88 | - | 322.37 | - | - | - | - | 349.81 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 369.14 | - | 354.84 | - | - | - | - | 383.87 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 400.70 | - | 385.67 | - | - | - | - | 416.16 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 412.64 | - | 397.35 | - | - | - | - | 428.38 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 372.76 | - | 358.37 | - | - | - | - | 387.57 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 283.98 | - | 271.72 | - | - | - | - | 296.64 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 295.93 | - | 283.65 | - | - | - | - | 308.59 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 372.63 | - | 65.08 | - | - | - | - | 1224.40 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 443.14 | - | 77.39 | - | - | - | - | 1456.04 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 532.94 | - | 93.08 | - | - | - | - | 1751.05 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 619.99 | - | 108.29 | - | - | - | - | 2037.04 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 724.40 | - | 126.53 | - | - | - | - | 2380.04 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 684.93 | - | 119.64 | - | - | - | - | 2250.37 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 756.52 | - | 132.14 | - | - | - | - | 2485.58 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 733.21 | - | 128.07 | - | - | - | - | 2408.98 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 760.56 | - | 132.85 | - | - | - | - | 2498.83 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 748.29 | - | 130.71 | - | - | - | - | 2458.54 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 763.46 | - | 133.36 | - | - | - | - | 2508.38 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 680.26 | - | 118.82 | - | - | - | - | 2235.04 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 594.69 | - | 103.87 | - | - | - | - | 1953.90 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 616.54 | - | 107.69 | - | - | - | - | 2025.69 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 560.78 | - | 97.95 | - | - | - | - | 1842.50 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 493.78 | - | 86.24 | - | - | - | - | 1622.40 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 420.88 | - | 73.51 | - | - | - | - | 1382.92 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 425.78 | - | 74.36 | - | - | - | - | 1398.99 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 396.93 | - | 69.32 | - | - | - | - | 1304.23 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 351.82 | - | 61.44 | - | - | - | - | 1156.01 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 281.23 | - | 49.11 | - | - | - | - | 924.11 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 241.20 | - | 42.12 | - | - | - | - | 792.61 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 232.57 | - | 40.60 | - | - | - | - | 764.28 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 216.86 | - | 37.86 | - | - | - | - | 712.66 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 183.61 | - | 32.05 | - | - | - | - | 603.43 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 179.12 | - | 31.27 | - | - | - | - | 588.69 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 160.68 | - | 28.05 | - | - | - | - | 528.10 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 149.54 | - | 26.10 | - | - | - | - | 491.50 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 153.34 | - | 26.76 | - | - | - | - | 503.97 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 155.26 | - | 27.10 | - | - | - | - | 510.28 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 178.92 | - | 31.23 | - | - | - | - | 588.02 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 196.57 | - | 34.32 | - | - | - | - | 646.02 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 187.56 | - | 32.74 | - | - | - | - | 616.41 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 176.40 | - | 30.79 | - | - | - | - | 579.73 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 162.51 | - | 28.36 | - | - | - | - | 534.10 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 161.85 | - | 28.25 | - | - | - | - | 531.94 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 163.28 | - | 28.50 | - | - | - | - | 536.65 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 162.55 | - | 28.37 | - | - | - | - | 534.25 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 156.55 | - | 27.32 | - | - | - | - | 514.52 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 143.46 | - | 25.04 | - | - | - | - | 471.54 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 168.37 | - | 29.39 | - | - | - | - | 553.37 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
