Prediction 505
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state RO.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 57.59 | - | 53.94 | - | - | - | - | 61.41 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 51.75 | - | 48.34 | - | - | - | - | 55.34 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 51.33 | - | 47.93 | - | - | - | - | 54.90 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 43.51 | - | 40.44 | - | - | - | - | 46.74 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 42.03 | - | 39.03 | - | - | - | - | 45.20 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 38.92 | - | 36.05 | - | - | - | - | 41.95 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 36.29 | - | 33.55 | - | - | - | - | 39.20 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 34.86 | - | 32.18 | - | - | - | - | 37.70 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 33.27 | - | 30.67 | - | - | - | - | 36.03 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 30.48 | - | 28.01 | - | - | - | - | 33.11 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 26.37 | - | 24.11 | - | - | - | - | 28.78 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 23.72 | - | 21.60 | - | - | - | - | 25.99 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 20.71 | - | 18.75 | - | - | - | - | 22.81 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 22.18 | - | 20.14 | - | - | - | - | 24.36 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 22.19 | - | 20.16 | - | - | - | - | 24.38 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 24.38 | - | 22.23 | - | - | - | - | 26.69 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 25.49 | - | 23.28 | - | - | - | - | 27.86 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 28.27 | - | 25.91 | - | - | - | - | 30.78 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 28.95 | - | 26.55 | - | - | - | - | 31.50 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 36.44 | - | 33.69 | - | - | - | - | 39.36 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 39.00 | - | 36.13 | - | - | - | - | 42.04 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 51.79 | - | 48.38 | - | - | - | - | 55.38 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 58.05 | - | 54.38 | - | - | - | - | 61.89 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 75.88 | - | 71.53 | - | - | - | - | 80.41 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 87.49 | - | 82.73 | - | - | - | - | 92.45 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 105.12 | - | 99.74 | - | - | - | - | 110.71 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 108.45 | - | 102.95 | - | - | - | - | 114.15 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 105.47 | - | 100.08 | - | - | - | - | 111.08 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 83.67 | - | 79.03 | - | - | - | - | 88.51 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 125.88 | - | 119.93 | - | - | - | - | 132.04 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 446.54 | - | 69.58 | - | - | - | - | 1541.16 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 490.64 | - | 76.46 | - | - | - | - | 1693.34 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 515.64 | - | 80.36 | - | - | - | - | 1779.61 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 480.96 | - | 74.95 | - | - | - | - | 1659.92 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 479.42 | - | 74.71 | - | - | - | - | 1654.63 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 465.46 | - | 72.53 | - | - | - | - | 1606.43 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 471.79 | - | 73.52 | - | - | - | - | 1628.27 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 413.34 | - | 64.41 | - | - | - | - | 1426.59 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 411.71 | - | 64.16 | - | - | - | - | 1420.96 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 389.15 | - | 60.64 | - | - | - | - | 1343.10 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 351.81 | - | 54.82 | - | - | - | - | 1214.23 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 290.10 | - | 45.20 | - | - | - | - | 1001.29 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 258.98 | - | 40.35 | - | - | - | - | 893.91 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 251.06 | - | 39.11 | - | - | - | - | 866.55 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 225.41 | - | 35.12 | - | - | - | - | 778.04 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 193.90 | - | 30.21 | - | - | - | - | 669.31 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 157.40 | - | 24.52 | - | - | - | - | 543.34 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 159.10 | - | 24.78 | - | - | - | - | 549.20 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 148.06 | - | 23.06 | - | - | - | - | 511.11 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 117.93 | - | 18.36 | - | - | - | - | 407.15 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 96.80 | - | 15.07 | - | - | - | - | 334.20 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 88.81 | - | 13.83 | - | - | - | - | 306.66 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 81.28 | - | 12.65 | - | - | - | - | 280.65 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 73.04 | - | 11.37 | - | - | - | - | 252.22 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 72.44 | - | 11.27 | - | - | - | - | 250.17 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 61.40 | - | 9.55 | - | - | - | - | 212.07 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 59.33 | - | 9.23 | - | - | - | - | 204.90 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 54.93 | - | 8.54 | - | - | - | - | 189.72 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 51.22 | - | 7.97 | - | - | - | - | 176.93 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 49.20 | - | 7.65 | - | - | - | - | 169.95 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 46.95 | - | 7.30 | - | - | - | - | 162.20 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 43.02 | - | 6.69 | - | - | - | - | 148.63 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 37.21 | - | 5.78 | - | - | - | - | 128.59 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 33.48 | - | 5.20 | - | - | - | - | 115.69 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 29.22 | - | 4.54 | - | - | - | - | 101.01 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 31.30 | - | 4.86 | - | - | - | - | 108.17 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 31.32 | - | 4.86 | - | - | - | - | 108.26 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 34.41 | - | 5.35 | - | - | - | - | 118.91 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 35.98 | - | 5.59 | - | - | - | - | 124.33 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 39.90 | - | 6.20 | - | - | - | - | 137.86 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 40.85 | - | 6.35 | - | - | - | - | 141.15 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
