Prediction 510
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state AP.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 160.21 | - | 145.86 | - | - | - | - | 175.60 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 152.84 | - | 138.88 | - | - | - | - | 167.81 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 138.51 | - | 125.37 | - | - | - | - | 152.64 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 131.34 | - | 118.62 | - | - | - | - | 145.03 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 132.38 | - | 119.60 | - | - | - | - | 146.15 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 119.81 | - | 107.78 | - | - | - | - | 132.79 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 117.49 | - | 105.56 | - | - | - | - | 130.34 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 145.25 | - | 131.72 | - | - | - | - | 159.78 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 183.93 | - | 168.29 | - | - | - | - | 200.63 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 198.30 | - | 181.94 | - | - | - | - | 215.73 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 201.08 | - | 184.57 | - | - | - | - | 218.65 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 201.64 | - | 185.11 | - | - | - | - | 219.24 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 190.56 | - | 174.59 | - | - | - | - | 207.59 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 174.48 | - | 159.34 | - | - | - | - | 190.65 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 172.02 | - | 157.00 | - | - | - | - | 188.05 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 184.32 | - | 168.67 | - | - | - | - | 201.03 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 179.52 | - | 164.11 | - | - | - | - | 195.96 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 192.68 | - | 176.60 | - | - | - | - | 209.84 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 174.78 | - | 159.62 | - | - | - | - | 190.96 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 169.70 | - | 154.83 | - | - | - | - | 185.62 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 155.78 | - | 141.62 | - | - | - | - | 170.92 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 175.92 | - | 160.69 | - | - | - | - | 192.21 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 159.31 | - | 145.00 | - | - | - | - | 174.65 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 144.44 | - | 130.96 | - | - | - | - | 158.94 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 117.10 | - | 105.25 | - | - | - | - | 129.90 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 98.44 | - | 87.78 | - | - | - | - | 110.00 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 95.20 | - | 84.78 | - | - | - | - | 106.55 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 90.63 | - | 80.51 | - | - | - | - | 101.69 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 68.66 | - | 59.84 | - | - | - | - | 78.21 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 97.05 | - | 86.76 | - | - | - | - | 108.15 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 65.07 | - | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | 363.68 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 84.14 | - | 2.08 | - | - | - | - | 470.26 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 84.14 | - | 2.08 | - | - | - | - | 470.26 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 92.78 | - | 2.30 | - | - | - | - | 518.54 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 136.36 | - | 3.38 | - | - | - | - | 762.05 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 136.27 | - | 3.38 | - | - | - | - | 761.54 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 150.64 | - | 3.73 | - | - | - | - | 841.84 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 145.75 | - | 3.61 | - | - | - | - | 814.54 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 163.88 | - | 4.06 | - | - | - | - | 915.82 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 156.89 | - | 3.89 | - | - | - | - | 876.77 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 132.78 | - | 3.29 | - | - | - | - | 742.02 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 109.43 | - | 2.71 | - | - | - | - | 611.57 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 113.46 | - | 2.81 | - | - | - | - | 634.09 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 127.74 | - | 3.16 | - | - | - | - | 713.90 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 102.27 | - | 2.53 | - | - | - | - | 571.55 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 91.59 | - | 2.27 | - | - | - | - | 511.86 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 78.37 | - | 1.94 | - | - | - | - | 438.03 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 75.58 | - | 1.87 | - | - | - | - | 422.40 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 82.72 | - | 2.05 | - | - | - | - | 462.34 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 66.48 | - | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | 371.55 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 53.96 | - | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | 301.63 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 49.14 | - | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | 274.69 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 57.96 | - | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | 323.98 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 55.29 | - | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | 309.08 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 50.11 | - | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | 280.11 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 47.51 | - | 1.17 | - | - | - | - | 265.62 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 47.89 | - | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | 267.71 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 43.34 | - | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | 242.32 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 42.50 | - | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | 237.62 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 52.55 | - | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | 293.74 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 66.54 | - | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | 371.93 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 71.74 | - | 1.78 | - | - | - | - | 400.99 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 72.74 | - | 1.80 | - | - | - | - | 406.60 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 72.95 | - | 1.81 | - | - | - | - | 407.73 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 68.94 | - | 1.71 | - | - | - | - | 385.33 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 63.12 | - | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | 352.84 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 62.23 | - | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | 347.85 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 66.68 | - | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | 372.73 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 64.94 | - | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | 363.01 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 69.71 | - | 1.72 | - | - | - | - | 389.63 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 63.23 | - | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | 353.43 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
