Prediction 513
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state RR.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 23.39 | - | 20.57 | - | - | - | - | 26.49 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 21.52 | - | 18.90 | - | - | - | - | 24.38 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 19.90 | - | 17.47 | - | - | - | - | 22.58 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 21.17 | - | 18.60 | - | - | - | - | 24.01 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 17.62 | - | 15.45 | - | - | - | - | 20.02 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 18.68 | - | 16.39 | - | - | - | - | 21.20 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 18.66 | - | 16.37 | - | - | - | - | 21.18 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 16.10 | - | 14.09 | - | - | - | - | 18.30 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 18.32 | - | 16.07 | - | - | - | - | 20.80 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 18.74 | - | 16.44 | - | - | - | - | 21.27 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 18.08 | - | 15.86 | - | - | - | - | 20.53 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 16.47 | - | 14.43 | - | - | - | - | 18.72 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 14.34 | - | 12.54 | - | - | - | - | 16.33 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 13.37 | - | 11.68 | - | - | - | - | 15.23 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 12.53 | - | 10.94 | - | - | - | - | 14.29 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 11.95 | - | 10.43 | - | - | - | - | 13.64 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 9.72 | - | 8.45 | - | - | - | - | 11.12 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 9.23 | - | 8.01 | - | - | - | - | 10.57 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 9.49 | - | 8.24 | - | - | - | - | 10.86 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 9.47 | - | 8.23 | - | - | - | - | 10.84 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 8.30 | - | 7.19 | - | - | - | - | 9.53 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 8.85 | - | 7.69 | - | - | - | - | 10.15 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 9.22 | - | 8.01 | - | - | - | - | 10.56 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 9.16 | - | 7.95 | - | - | - | - | 10.49 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 9.26 | - | 8.05 | - | - | - | - | 10.61 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 9.00 | - | 7.82 | - | - | - | - | 10.32 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 8.10 | - | 7.01 | - | - | - | - | 9.30 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 8.90 | - | 7.72 | - | - | - | - | 10.20 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 7.98 | - | 6.92 | - | - | - | - | 9.16 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 6.96 | - | 6.01 | - | - | - | - | 8.01 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 49.48 | - | 0.89 | - | - | - | - | 286.50 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 50.55 | - | 0.91 | - | - | - | - | 292.69 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 54.99 | - | 0.99 | - | - | - | - | 318.38 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 54.34 | - | 0.97 | - | - | - | - | 314.62 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 58.26 | - | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | 337.31 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 66.10 | - | 1.19 | - | - | - | - | 382.68 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 62.82 | - | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | 363.72 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 64.19 | - | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | 371.63 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 73.61 | - | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | 426.16 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 72.96 | - | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | 422.37 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 81.23 | - | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | 470.27 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 84.82 | - | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | 491.06 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 75.02 | - | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | 434.32 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 84.70 | - | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | 490.35 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 73.25 | - | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | 424.07 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 76.48 | - | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | 442.77 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 73.72 | - | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | 426.81 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 83.33 | - | 1.49 | - | - | - | - | 482.41 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 100.61 | - | 1.80 | - | - | - | - | 582.43 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 118.62 | - | 2.13 | - | - | - | - | 686.71 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 125.21 | - | 2.25 | - | - | - | - | 724.87 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 132.61 | - | 2.38 | - | - | - | - | 767.70 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 138.29 | - | 2.48 | - | - | - | - | 800.55 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 127.20 | - | 2.28 | - | - | - | - | 736.39 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 117.67 | - | 2.11 | - | - | - | - | 681.23 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 125.18 | - | 2.25 | - | - | - | - | 724.70 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 104.19 | - | 1.87 | - | - | - | - | 603.16 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 110.46 | - | 1.98 | - | - | - | - | 639.45 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 110.34 | - | 1.98 | - | - | - | - | 638.74 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 95.16 | - | 1.71 | - | - | - | - | 550.91 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 108.31 | - | 1.94 | - | - | - | - | 627.05 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 110.78 | - | 1.99 | - | - | - | - | 641.32 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 106.89 | - | 1.92 | - | - | - | - | 618.80 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 97.37 | - | 1.75 | - | - | - | - | 563.67 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 84.79 | - | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | 490.87 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 79.04 | - | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | 457.58 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 74.10 | - | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | 429.01 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 70.67 | - | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | 409.16 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 57.44 | - | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | 332.58 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 54.55 | - | 0.98 | - | - | - | - | 315.85 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 56.09 | - | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | 324.72 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
