Prediction 514
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state TO.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 150.87 | - | 144.95 | - | - | - | - | 156.96 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 134.84 | - | 129.37 | - | - | - | - | 140.47 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 108.50 | - | 103.79 | - | - | - | - | 113.36 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 90.45 | - | 86.28 | - | - | - | - | 94.77 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 73.65 | - | 70.00 | - | - | - | - | 77.43 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 61.49 | - | 58.24 | - | - | - | - | 64.87 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 55.70 | - | 52.65 | - | - | - | - | 58.88 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 50.60 | - | 47.72 | - | - | - | - | 53.60 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 51.50 | - | 48.60 | - | - | - | - | 54.54 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 45.94 | - | 43.24 | - | - | - | - | 48.77 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 45.34 | - | 42.66 | - | - | - | - | 48.15 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 40.20 | - | 37.71 | - | - | - | - | 42.82 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 34.99 | - | 32.70 | - | - | - | - | 37.40 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 32.79 | - | 30.59 | - | - | - | - | 35.10 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 34.20 | - | 31.94 | - | - | - | - | 36.57 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 34.22 | - | 31.96 | - | - | - | - | 36.59 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 34.90 | - | 32.61 | - | - | - | - | 37.30 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 33.61 | - | 31.38 | - | - | - | - | 35.96 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 36.52 | - | 34.17 | - | - | - | - | 38.98 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 44.57 | - | 41.91 | - | - | - | - | 47.35 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 51.00 | - | 48.11 | - | - | - | - | 54.02 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 63.19 | - | 59.89 | - | - | - | - | 66.63 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 74.32 | - | 70.65 | - | - | - | - | 78.13 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 90.87 | - | 86.69 | - | - | - | - | 95.20 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 111.01 | - | 106.23 | - | - | - | - | 115.95 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 146.10 | - | 140.31 | - | - | - | - | 152.05 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 169.86 | - | 163.42 | - | - | - | - | 176.49 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 182.80 | - | 176.01 | - | - | - | - | 189.79 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 136.80 | - | 131.28 | - | - | - | - | 142.49 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 123.80 | - | 118.72 | - | - | - | - | 129.05 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 510.70 | - | 75.26 | - | - | - | - | 1803.87 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 568.39 | - | 83.77 | - | - | - | - | 2007.64 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 623.63 | - | 91.91 | - | - | - | - | 2202.76 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 666.76 | - | 98.27 | - | - | - | - | 2355.09 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 746.07 | - | 109.96 | - | - | - | - | 2635.18 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 765.31 | - | 112.80 | - | - | - | - | 2703.13 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 774.17 | - | 114.11 | - | - | - | - | 2734.45 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 745.24 | - | 109.84 | - | - | - | - | 2632.25 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 741.52 | - | 109.29 | - | - | - | - | 2619.11 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 698.59 | - | 102.96 | - | - | - | - | 2467.48 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 725.52 | - | 106.93 | - | - | - | - | 2562.62 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 729.23 | - | 107.48 | - | - | - | - | 2575.71 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 684.36 | - | 100.87 | - | - | - | - | 2417.23 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 710.43 | - | 104.71 | - | - | - | - | 2509.30 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 708.28 | - | 104.39 | - | - | - | - | 2501.72 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 650.17 | - | 95.83 | - | - | - | - | 2296.48 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 650.55 | - | 95.88 | - | - | - | - | 2297.82 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 637.88 | - | 94.01 | - | - | - | - | 2253.06 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 595.75 | - | 87.80 | - | - | - | - | 2104.28 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 543.45 | - | 80.09 | - | - | - | - | 1919.57 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 471.73 | - | 69.52 | - | - | - | - | 1666.26 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 404.84 | - | 59.66 | - | - | - | - | 1430.03 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 340.75 | - | 50.21 | - | - | - | - | 1203.66 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 304.53 | - | 44.87 | - | - | - | - | 1075.75 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 245.04 | - | 36.10 | - | - | - | - | 865.65 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 204.29 | - | 30.09 | - | - | - | - | 721.70 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 166.34 | - | 24.50 | - | - | - | - | 587.68 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 138.88 | - | 20.45 | - | - | - | - | 490.70 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 125.80 | - | 18.53 | - | - | - | - | 444.51 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 114.28 | - | 16.83 | - | - | - | - | 403.79 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 116.33 | - | 17.13 | - | - | - | - | 411.03 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 103.77 | - | 15.28 | - | - | - | - | 366.69 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 102.41 | - | 15.08 | - | - | - | - | 361.89 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 90.80 | - | 13.37 | - | - | - | - | 320.89 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 79.03 | - | 11.63 | - | - | - | - | 279.33 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 74.05 | - | 10.90 | - | - | - | - | 261.74 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 77.24 | - | 11.37 | - | - | - | - | 272.97 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 77.28 | - | 11.37 | - | - | - | - | 273.13 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 78.82 | - | 11.60 | - | - | - | - | 278.57 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 75.92 | - | 11.17 | - | - | - | - | 268.32 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 82.47 | - | 12.14 | - | - | - | - | 291.48 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
