Prediction 515
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state CE.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 579.09 | - | 566.22 | - | - | - | - | 592.17 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 521.61 | - | 509.84 | - | - | - | - | 533.58 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 445.78 | - | 435.45 | - | - | - | - | 456.29 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 389.55 | - | 380.30 | - | - | - | - | 398.96 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 361.32 | - | 352.62 | - | - | - | - | 370.18 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 319.88 | - | 311.98 | - | - | - | - | 327.93 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 285.57 | - | 278.35 | - | - | - | - | 292.94 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 255.38 | - | 248.75 | - | - | - | - | 262.14 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 244.61 | - | 238.19 | - | - | - | - | 251.16 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 218.60 | - | 212.70 | - | - | - | - | 224.62 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 198.24 | - | 192.75 | - | - | - | - | 203.84 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 169.78 | - | 164.87 | - | - | - | - | 174.80 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 140.29 | - | 136.00 | - | - | - | - | 144.68 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 129.29 | - | 125.23 | - | - | - | - | 133.44 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 117.64 | - | 113.83 | - | - | - | - | 121.53 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 114.25 | - | 110.52 | - | - | - | - | 118.07 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 104.70 | - | 101.18 | - | - | - | - | 108.31 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 96.29 | - | 92.96 | - | - | - | - | 99.71 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 91.12 | - | 87.91 | - | - | - | - | 94.41 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 78.69 | - | 75.77 | - | - | - | - | 81.69 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 71.57 | - | 68.82 | - | - | - | - | 74.40 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 75.12 | - | 72.29 | - | - | - | - | 78.04 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 85.56 | - | 82.48 | - | - | - | - | 88.73 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 86.88 | - | 83.76 | - | - | - | - | 90.07 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 90.91 | - | 87.70 | - | - | - | - | 94.20 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 98.29 | - | 94.92 | - | - | - | - | 101.76 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 100.34 | - | 96.92 | - | - | - | - | 103.85 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 87.25 | - | 84.12 | - | - | - | - | 90.45 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 76.00 | - | 73.14 | - | - | - | - | 78.94 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 73.43 | - | 70.71 | - | - | - | - | 76.23 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 399.86 | - | 81.53 | - | - | - | - | 1223.35 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 450.69 | - | 91.90 | - | - | - | - | 1378.85 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 548.70 | - | 111.89 | - | - | - | - | 1678.65 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 643.26 | - | 131.18 | - | - | - | - | 1967.91 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 801.05 | - | 163.37 | - | - | - | - | 2450.61 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 869.87 | - | 177.40 | - | - | - | - | 2661.13 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 974.01 | - | 198.65 | - | - | - | - | 2979.67 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 1049.25 | - | 213.99 | - | - | - | - | 3209.84 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 1229.50 | - | 250.76 | - | - | - | - | 3761.22 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 1411.29 | - | 287.84 | - | - | - | - | 4317.33 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1521.00 | - | 310.22 | - | - | - | - | 4652.93 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1591.51 | - | 324.60 | - | - | - | - | 4868.63 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1786.86 | - | 364.45 | - | - | - | - | 5466.21 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 2206.10 | - | 449.96 | - | - | - | - | 6748.67 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 2404.42 | - | 490.41 | - | - | - | - | 7355.31 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 2450.86 | - | 499.88 | - | - | - | - | 7497.38 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 2473.50 | - | 504.50 | - | - | - | - | 7566.64 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 2599.84 | - | 530.27 | - | - | - | - | 7953.11 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 2774.08 | - | 565.81 | - | - | - | - | 8486.13 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 2725.63 | - | 555.93 | - | - | - | - | 8337.90 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 2282.01 | - | 465.44 | - | - | - | - | 6980.88 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 1968.19 | - | 401.43 | - | - | - | - | 6020.90 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 1834.08 | - | 374.08 | - | - | - | - | 5610.66 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 1652.03 | - | 336.94 | - | - | - | - | 5053.76 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 1411.86 | - | 287.96 | - | - | - | - | 4319.09 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 1233.78 | - | 251.63 | - | - | - | - | 3774.32 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 1144.37 | - | 233.39 | - | - | - | - | 3500.83 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 1013.12 | - | 206.62 | - | - | - | - | 3099.34 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 904.46 | - | 184.46 | - | - | - | - | 2766.94 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 808.83 | - | 164.95 | - | - | - | - | 2474.41 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 774.73 | - | 158.00 | - | - | - | - | 2370.08 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 692.33 | - | 141.19 | - | - | - | - | 2118.03 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 627.86 | - | 128.04 | - | - | - | - | 1920.81 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 537.73 | - | 109.66 | - | - | - | - | 1645.11 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 444.31 | - | 90.60 | - | - | - | - | 1359.34 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 409.49 | - | 83.50 | - | - | - | - | 1252.80 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 372.58 | - | 75.97 | - | - | - | - | 1139.89 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 361.84 | - | 73.78 | - | - | - | - | 1107.05 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 331.60 | - | 67.61 | - | - | - | - | 1014.55 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 304.98 | - | 62.18 | - | - | - | - | 933.11 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 288.58 | - | 58.84 | - | - | - | - | 882.97 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
