Prediction 516
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state AL.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 526.86 | - | 510.92 | - | - | - | - | 543.16 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 510.95 | - | 495.40 | - | - | - | - | 526.87 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 463.53 | - | 449.12 | - | - | - | - | 478.27 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 431.43 | - | 417.82 | - | - | - | - | 445.38 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 418.83 | - | 405.52 | - | - | - | - | 432.46 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 405.21 | - | 392.24 | - | - | - | - | 418.50 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 369.18 | - | 357.10 | - | - | - | - | 381.56 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 337.18 | - | 325.90 | - | - | - | - | 348.75 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 313.22 | - | 302.54 | - | - | - | - | 324.18 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 290.15 | - | 280.06 | - | - | - | - | 300.51 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 271.55 | - | 261.93 | - | - | - | - | 281.43 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 230.10 | - | 221.55 | - | - | - | - | 238.88 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 217.34 | - | 209.14 | - | - | - | - | 225.78 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 203.88 | - | 196.03 | - | - | - | - | 211.95 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 177.28 | - | 170.16 | - | - | - | - | 184.62 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 181.72 | - | 174.47 | - | - | - | - | 189.18 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 166.04 | - | 159.24 | - | - | - | - | 173.07 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 148.86 | - | 142.53 | - | - | - | - | 155.38 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 142.09 | - | 135.96 | - | - | - | - | 148.43 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 152.27 | - | 145.84 | - | - | - | - | 158.90 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 141.09 | - | 134.98 | - | - | - | - | 147.39 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 140.52 | - | 134.43 | - | - | - | - | 146.81 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 164.28 | - | 157.52 | - | - | - | - | 171.26 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 164.14 | - | 157.38 | - | - | - | - | 171.12 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 132.81 | - | 126.94 | - | - | - | - | 138.87 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 124.58 | - | 118.97 | - | - | - | - | 130.39 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 117.99 | - | 112.57 | - | - | - | - | 123.60 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 112.31 | - | 107.06 | - | - | - | - | 117.76 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 85.47 | - | 81.06 | - | - | - | - | 90.05 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 81.24 | - | 77.05 | - | - | - | - | 85.58 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 163.38 | - | 12.49 | - | - | - | - | 724.78 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 188.11 | - | 14.38 | - | - | - | - | 834.46 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 198.60 | - | 15.18 | - | - | - | - | 881.01 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 207.84 | - | 15.89 | - | - | - | - | 921.99 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 233.43 | - | 17.84 | - | - | - | - | 1035.46 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 262.92 | - | 20.10 | - | - | - | - | 1166.29 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 299.61 | - | 22.91 | - | - | - | - | 1328.99 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 347.53 | - | 26.57 | - | - | - | - | 1541.54 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 417.73 | - | 31.94 | - | - | - | - | 1852.89 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 479.10 | - | 36.63 | - | - | - | - | 2125.09 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 502.94 | - | 38.46 | - | - | - | - | 2230.84 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 585.25 | - | 44.75 | - | - | - | - | 2595.91 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 596.56 | - | 45.62 | - | - | - | - | 2646.07 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 642.32 | - | 49.12 | - | - | - | - | 2849.02 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 666.13 | - | 50.94 | - | - | - | - | 2954.64 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 688.48 | - | 52.65 | - | - | - | - | 3053.75 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 711.96 | - | 54.44 | - | - | - | - | 3157.92 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 816.72 | - | 62.45 | - | - | - | - | 3622.56 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 867.58 | - | 66.34 | - | - | - | - | 3848.15 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 891.08 | - | 68.14 | - | - | - | - | 3952.37 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 833.22 | - | 63.72 | - | - | - | - | 3695.75 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 806.84 | - | 61.70 | - | - | - | - | 3578.75 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 815.52 | - | 62.36 | - | - | - | - | 3617.24 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 790.90 | - | 60.48 | - | - | - | - | 3508.05 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 717.49 | - | 54.86 | - | - | - | - | 3182.45 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 667.81 | - | 51.07 | - | - | - | - | 2962.11 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 648.31 | - | 49.57 | - | - | - | - | 2875.60 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 627.22 | - | 47.96 | - | - | - | - | 2782.07 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 571.45 | - | 43.70 | - | - | - | - | 2534.70 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 521.92 | - | 39.91 | - | - | - | - | 2315.04 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 484.83 | - | 37.07 | - | - | - | - | 2150.54 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 449.13 | - | 34.34 | - | - | - | - | 1992.16 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 420.33 | - | 32.14 | - | - | - | - | 1864.43 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 356.17 | - | 27.23 | - | - | - | - | 1579.85 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 336.42 | - | 25.72 | - | - | - | - | 1492.26 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 315.58 | - | 24.13 | - | - | - | - | 1399.85 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 274.41 | - | 20.98 | - | - | - | - | 1217.26 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 281.28 | - | 21.50 | - | - | - | - | 1247.70 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 257.02 | - | 19.65 | - | - | - | - | 1140.11 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 230.41 | - | 17.61 | - | - | - | - | 1022.10 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 219.94 | - | 16.81 | - | - | - | - | 975.67 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
