Prediction 518
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state MA.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 277.85 | - | 265.02 | - | - | - | - | 291.13 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 247.72 | - | 235.75 | - | - | - | - | 260.13 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 214.75 | - | 203.77 | - | - | - | - | 226.16 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 184.33 | - | 174.30 | - | - | - | - | 194.78 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 178.89 | - | 169.04 | - | - | - | - | 189.16 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 178.08 | - | 168.25 | - | - | - | - | 188.32 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 166.39 | - | 156.95 | - | - | - | - | 176.24 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 151.84 | - | 142.89 | - | - | - | - | 161.20 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 167.12 | - | 157.65 | - | - | - | - | 176.99 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 187.13 | - | 177.01 | - | - | - | - | 197.67 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 180.33 | - | 170.43 | - | - | - | - | 190.65 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 166.18 | - | 156.74 | - | - | - | - | 176.03 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 126.81 | - | 118.75 | - | - | - | - | 135.25 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 121.54 | - | 113.69 | - | - | - | - | 129.78 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 102.73 | - | 95.62 | - | - | - | - | 110.23 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 93.02 | - | 86.31 | - | - | - | - | 100.12 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 71.31 | - | 65.55 | - | - | - | - | 77.42 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 74.29 | - | 68.41 | - | - | - | - | 80.54 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 67.73 | - | 62.16 | - | - | - | - | 73.66 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 69.30 | - | 63.65 | - | - | - | - | 75.32 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 56.84 | - | 51.78 | - | - | - | - | 62.24 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 70.89 | - | 65.16 | - | - | - | - | 76.99 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 66.39 | - | 60.88 | - | - | - | - | 72.25 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 76.30 | - | 70.33 | - | - | - | - | 82.65 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 76.65 | - | 70.66 | - | - | - | - | 83.01 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 81.75 | - | 75.52 | - | - | - | - | 88.34 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 94.63 | - | 87.85 | - | - | - | - | 101.81 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 82.41 | - | 76.16 | - | - | - | - | 89.03 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 73.30 | - | 67.45 | - | - | - | - | 79.51 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 82.89 | - | 76.71 | - | - | - | - | 89.41 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 91.56 | - | 13.09 | - | - | - | - | 327.43 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 140.32 | - | 20.06 | - | - | - | - | 501.76 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 180.51 | - | 25.81 | - | - | - | - | 645.39 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 200.54 | - | 28.68 | - | - | - | - | 717.01 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 227.41 | - | 32.52 | - | - | - | - | 813.03 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 307.70 | - | 44.01 | - | - | - | - | 1100.04 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 369.58 | - | 52.87 | - | - | - | - | 1321.23 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 385.10 | - | 55.09 | - | - | - | - | 1376.71 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 459.47 | - | 65.73 | - | - | - | - | 1642.53 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 462.11 | - | 66.11 | - | - | - | - | 1651.98 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 464.75 | - | 66.49 | - | - | - | - | 1661.44 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 439.41 | - | 62.86 | - | - | - | - | 1570.85 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 417.75 | - | 59.76 | - | - | - | - | 1493.43 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 402.77 | - | 57.62 | - | - | - | - | 1439.88 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 380.54 | - | 54.44 | - | - | - | - | 1360.40 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 389.86 | - | 55.77 | - | - | - | - | 1393.72 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 346.83 | - | 49.61 | - | - | - | - | 1239.91 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 279.53 | - | 39.98 | - | - | - | - | 999.34 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 237.92 | - | 34.03 | - | - | - | - | 850.63 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 225.41 | - | 32.24 | - | - | - | - | 805.89 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 189.57 | - | 27.11 | - | - | - | - | 677.80 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 163.89 | - | 23.44 | - | - | - | - | 586.01 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 172.34 | - | 24.64 | - | - | - | - | 616.22 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 153.65 | - | 21.97 | - | - | - | - | 549.42 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 133.20 | - | 19.04 | - | - | - | - | 476.32 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 114.33 | - | 16.34 | - | - | - | - | 408.87 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 110.96 | - | 15.86 | - | - | - | - | 396.81 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 110.46 | - | 15.79 | - | - | - | - | 395.01 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 103.21 | - | 14.75 | - | - | - | - | 369.09 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 94.18 | - | 13.46 | - | - | - | - | 336.84 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 103.66 | - | 14.81 | - | - | - | - | 370.71 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 116.07 | - | 16.59 | - | - | - | - | 415.08 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 111.85 | - | 15.99 | - | - | - | - | 400.00 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 103.07 | - | 14.73 | - | - | - | - | 368.62 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 78.65 | - | 11.24 | - | - | - | - | 281.33 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 75.39 | - | 10.77 | - | - | - | - | 269.65 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 63.72 | - | 9.10 | - | - | - | - | 227.95 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 57.70 | - | 8.24 | - | - | - | - | 206.42 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 44.23 | - | 6.31 | - | - | - | - | 158.28 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 46.08 | - | 6.58 | - | - | - | - | 164.88 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 42.01 | - | 5.99 | - | - | - | - | 150.34 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
