Prediction 519
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PB.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 576.72 | - | 559.83 | - | - | - | - | 593.99 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 497.43 | - | 482.25 | - | - | - | - | 512.97 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 445.52 | - | 431.47 | - | - | - | - | 459.90 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 438.86 | - | 424.96 | - | - | - | - | 453.09 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 427.09 | - | 413.45 | - | - | - | - | 441.05 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 392.38 | - | 379.52 | - | - | - | - | 405.55 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 367.84 | - | 355.54 | - | - | - | - | 380.45 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 314.02 | - | 302.97 | - | - | - | - | 325.37 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 289.05 | - | 278.59 | - | - | - | - | 299.80 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 268.43 | - | 258.47 | - | - | - | - | 278.67 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 260.87 | - | 251.09 | - | - | - | - | 270.94 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 213.66 | - | 205.06 | - | - | - | - | 222.53 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 207.58 | - | 199.14 | - | - | - | - | 216.28 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 186.64 | - | 178.75 | - | - | - | - | 194.78 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 168.11 | - | 160.72 | - | - | - | - | 175.74 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 153.10 | - | 146.13 | - | - | - | - | 160.31 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 133.03 | - | 126.64 | - | - | - | - | 139.66 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 134.65 | - | 128.21 | - | - | - | - | 141.32 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 121.83 | - | 115.78 | - | - | - | - | 128.12 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 116.55 | - | 110.65 | - | - | - | - | 122.67 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 97.38 | - | 92.09 | - | - | - | - | 102.89 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 95.35 | - | 90.14 | - | - | - | - | 100.78 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 96.08 | - | 90.84 | - | - | - | - | 101.53 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 96.30 | - | 91.05 | - | - | - | - | 101.76 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 97.52 | - | 92.23 | - | - | - | - | 103.03 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 110.31 | - | 104.61 | - | - | - | - | 116.24 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 141.08 | - | 134.43 | - | - | - | - | 147.97 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 131.82 | - | 125.47 | - | - | - | - | 138.41 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 126.26 | - | 120.07 | - | - | - | - | 132.68 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 102.61 | - | 97.21 | - | - | - | - | 108.21 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 138.81 | - | 31.77 | - | - | - | - | 401.31 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 154.59 | - | 35.38 | - | - | - | - | 446.90 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 189.18 | - | 43.30 | - | - | - | - | 546.86 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 222.54 | - | 50.95 | - | - | - | - | 643.27 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 264.78 | - | 60.62 | - | - | - | - | 765.35 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 288.72 | - | 66.10 | - | - | - | - | 834.52 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 369.24 | - | 84.55 | - | - | - | - | 1067.21 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 394.93 | - | 90.43 | - | - | - | - | 1141.45 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 501.32 | - | 114.80 | - | - | - | - | 1448.89 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 549.90 | - | 125.93 | - | - | - | - | 1589.28 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 558.70 | - | 127.95 | - | - | - | - | 1614.71 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 551.28 | - | 126.25 | - | - | - | - | 1593.28 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 546.45 | - | 125.14 | - | - | - | - | 1579.32 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 598.00 | - | 136.95 | - | - | - | - | 1728.27 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 610.30 | - | 139.77 | - | - | - | - | 1763.84 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 603.56 | - | 138.22 | - | - | - | - | 1744.35 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 588.25 | - | 134.72 | - | - | - | - | 1700.10 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 662.97 | - | 151.83 | - | - | - | - | 1916.02 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 695.44 | - | 159.27 | - | - | - | - | 2009.87 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 714.39 | - | 163.61 | - | - | - | - | 2064.61 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 614.68 | - | 140.77 | - | - | - | - | 1776.48 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 599.02 | - | 137.18 | - | - | - | - | 1731.24 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 570.51 | - | 130.65 | - | - | - | - | 1648.85 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 492.07 | - | 112.68 | - | - | - | - | 1422.18 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 440.72 | - | 100.92 | - | - | - | - | 1273.78 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 434.13 | - | 99.41 | - | - | - | - | 1254.74 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 422.49 | - | 96.74 | - | - | - | - | 1221.10 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 388.15 | - | 88.88 | - | - | - | - | 1121.86 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 363.88 | - | 83.32 | - | - | - | - | 1051.73 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 310.64 | - | 71.12 | - | - | - | - | 897.89 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 285.94 | - | 65.47 | - | - | - | - | 826.50 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 265.54 | - | 60.79 | - | - | - | - | 767.55 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 258.06 | - | 59.08 | - | - | - | - | 745.94 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 211.36 | - | 48.38 | - | - | - | - | 610.98 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 205.34 | - | 47.01 | - | - | - | - | 593.60 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 184.63 | - | 42.26 | - | - | - | - | 533.74 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 166.30 | - | 38.06 | - | - | - | - | 480.75 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 151.45 | - | 34.66 | - | - | - | - | 437.84 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 131.60 | - | 30.11 | - | - | - | - | 380.49 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 133.20 | - | 30.48 | - | - | - | - | 385.10 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 120.52 | - | 27.58 | - | - | - | - | 348.46 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
