Prediction 520
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PE.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 1149.02 | - | 1127.21 | - | - | - | - | 1171.14 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 978.37 | - | 958.89 | - | - | - | - | 998.14 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 823.53 | - | 806.22 | - | - | - | - | 841.11 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 820.09 | - | 802.83 | - | - | - | - | 837.63 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 780.12 | - | 763.44 | - | - | - | - | 797.08 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 707.46 | - | 691.82 | - | - | - | - | 723.35 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 657.93 | - | 643.02 | - | - | - | - | 673.09 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 551.37 | - | 538.07 | - | - | - | - | 564.91 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 548.01 | - | 534.76 | - | - | - | - | 561.49 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 522.09 | - | 509.25 | - | - | - | - | 535.18 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 486.07 | - | 473.79 | - | - | - | - | 498.58 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 469.80 | - | 457.79 | - | - | - | - | 482.05 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 434.42 | - | 422.98 | - | - | - | - | 446.10 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 420.15 | - | 408.94 | - | - | - | - | 431.59 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 391.95 | - | 381.21 | - | - | - | - | 402.91 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 350.77 | - | 340.73 | - | - | - | - | 361.03 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 359.94 | - | 349.74 | - | - | - | - | 370.35 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 354.67 | - | 344.56 | - | - | - | - | 365.00 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 339.23 | - | 329.39 | - | - | - | - | 349.28 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 360.39 | - | 350.19 | - | - | - | - | 370.82 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 394.55 | - | 383.76 | - | - | - | - | 405.56 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 479.06 | - | 466.90 | - | - | - | - | 491.46 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 561.02 | - | 547.57 | - | - | - | - | 574.71 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 606.59 | - | 592.45 | - | - | - | - | 620.98 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 570.75 | - | 557.14 | - | - | - | - | 584.59 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 678.68 | - | 663.47 | - | - | - | - | 694.16 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 671.93 | - | 656.82 | - | - | - | - | 687.30 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 640.17 | - | 625.53 | - | - | - | - | 655.07 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 498.34 | - | 485.87 | - | - | - | - | 511.05 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 423.37 | - | 412.29 | - | - | - | - | 434.67 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 787.46 | - | 109.60 | - | - | - | - | 2846.10 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 836.67 | - | 116.45 | - | - | - | - | 3023.93 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 898.50 | - | 125.06 | - | - | - | - | 3247.40 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 961.88 | - | 133.88 | - | - | - | - | 3476.47 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 1076.66 | - | 149.86 | - | - | - | - | 3891.28 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 1196.22 | - | 166.50 | - | - | - | - | 4323.39 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 1276.05 | - | 177.61 | - | - | - | - | 4611.91 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 1377.25 | - | 191.70 | - | - | - | - | 4977.63 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 1450.96 | - | 201.96 | - | - | - | - | 5244.03 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 1516.07 | - | 211.02 | - | - | - | - | 5479.35 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1603.68 | - | 223.22 | - | - | - | - | 5795.97 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1615.02 | - | 224.80 | - | - | - | - | 5836.97 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1473.72 | - | 205.13 | - | - | - | - | 5326.27 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1631.97 | - | 227.16 | - | - | - | - | 5898.22 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 1627.83 | - | 226.58 | - | - | - | - | 5883.25 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 1699.71 | - | 236.59 | - | - | - | - | 6143.04 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 1679.85 | - | 233.82 | - | - | - | - | 6071.27 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1735.27 | - | 241.54 | - | - | - | - | 6271.55 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 1680.16 | - | 233.86 | - | - | - | - | 6072.39 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 1665.40 | - | 231.81 | - | - | - | - | 6019.05 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 1476.27 | - | 205.48 | - | - | - | - | 5335.49 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 1384.34 | - | 192.69 | - | - | - | - | 5003.28 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 1317.46 | - | 183.37 | - | - | - | - | 4761.56 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 1121.79 | - | 156.14 | - | - | - | - | 4054.41 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 944.25 | - | 131.42 | - | - | - | - | 3412.76 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 940.31 | - | 130.88 | - | - | - | - | 3398.53 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 894.48 | - | 124.50 | - | - | - | - | 3232.90 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 811.17 | - | 112.90 | - | - | - | - | 2931.79 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 754.38 | - | 104.99 | - | - | - | - | 2726.54 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 632.20 | - | 87.99 | - | - | - | - | 2284.97 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 628.34 | - | 87.45 | - | - | - | - | 2271.03 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 598.63 | - | 83.31 | - | - | - | - | 2163.65 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 557.32 | - | 77.56 | - | - | - | - | 2014.37 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 538.67 | - | 74.97 | - | - | - | - | 1946.97 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 498.11 | - | 69.32 | - | - | - | - | 1800.36 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 481.74 | - | 67.04 | - | - | - | - | 1741.21 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 449.41 | - | 62.54 | - | - | - | - | 1624.35 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 402.20 | - | 55.97 | - | - | - | - | 1453.73 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 412.70 | - | 57.43 | - | - | - | - | 1491.69 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 406.66 | - | 56.59 | - | - | - | - | 1469.87 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 388.96 | - | 54.13 | - | - | - | - | 1405.88 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
