Prediction 521
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PI.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 545.14 | - | 526.78 | - | - | - | - | 563.96 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 497.59 | - | 480.31 | - | - | - | - | 515.32 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 431.70 | - | 415.96 | - | - | - | - | 447.87 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 377.54 | - | 363.10 | - | - | - | - | 392.39 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 321.79 | - | 308.74 | - | - | - | - | 335.24 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 273.38 | - | 261.59 | - | - | - | - | 285.56 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 243.18 | - | 232.20 | - | - | - | - | 254.54 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 201.16 | - | 191.36 | - | - | - | - | 211.31 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 184.57 | - | 175.27 | - | - | - | - | 194.23 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 159.28 | - | 150.76 | - | - | - | - | 168.15 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 129.98 | - | 122.41 | - | - | - | - | 137.88 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 125.23 | - | 117.83 | - | - | - | - | 132.97 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 104.07 | - | 97.43 | - | - | - | - | 111.03 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 93.23 | - | 87.01 | - | - | - | - | 99.78 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 80.54 | - | 74.83 | - | - | - | - | 86.57 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 76.89 | - | 71.33 | - | - | - | - | 82.78 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 60.38 | - | 55.55 | - | - | - | - | 65.51 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 54.85 | - | 50.29 | - | - | - | - | 59.71 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 51.55 | - | 47.15 | - | - | - | - | 56.24 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 48.38 | - | 44.15 | - | - | - | - | 52.90 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 45.33 | - | 41.25 | - | - | - | - | 49.68 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 47.51 | - | 43.32 | - | - | - | - | 51.99 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 53.13 | - | 48.66 | - | - | - | - | 57.90 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 57.64 | - | 52.94 | - | - | - | - | 62.63 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 58.78 | - | 54.03 | - | - | - | - | 63.83 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 63.37 | - | 58.41 | - | - | - | - | 68.64 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 63.76 | - | 58.78 | - | - | - | - | 69.05 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 60.67 | - | 55.83 | - | - | - | - | 65.81 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 57.21 | - | 52.54 | - | - | - | - | 62.19 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 52.47 | - | 48.04 | - | - | - | - | 57.15 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 75.92 | - | 14.56 | - | - | - | - | 239.06 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 95.42 | - | 18.30 | - | - | - | - | 300.43 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 98.55 | - | 18.90 | - | - | - | - | 310.27 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 119.31 | - | 22.89 | - | - | - | - | 375.63 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 152.81 | - | 29.33 | - | - | - | - | 481.03 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 176.54 | - | 33.89 | - | - | - | - | 555.71 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 197.82 | - | 37.97 | - | - | - | - | 622.67 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 225.41 | - | 43.27 | - | - | - | - | 709.49 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 256.72 | - | 49.29 | - | - | - | - | 808.02 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 312.74 | - | 60.05 | - | - | - | - | 984.30 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 382.47 | - | 73.44 | - | - | - | - | 1203.73 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 441.07 | - | 84.70 | - | - | - | - | 1388.12 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 471.34 | - | 90.51 | - | - | - | - | 1483.38 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 531.67 | - | 102.10 | - | - | - | - | 1673.23 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 566.34 | - | 108.76 | - | - | - | - | 1782.33 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 605.11 | - | 116.20 | - | - | - | - | 1904.33 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 602.96 | - | 115.79 | - | - | - | - | 1897.56 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 566.56 | - | 108.80 | - | - | - | - | 1783.01 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 583.37 | - | 112.03 | - | - | - | - | 1835.90 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 539.69 | - | 103.64 | - | - | - | - | 1698.46 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 446.24 | - | 85.69 | - | - | - | - | 1404.39 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 400.74 | - | 76.95 | - | - | - | - | 1261.20 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 377.42 | - | 72.47 | - | - | - | - | 1187.85 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 344.50 | - | 66.14 | - | - | - | - | 1084.26 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 298.88 | - | 57.38 | - | - | - | - | 940.71 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 261.38 | - | 50.18 | - | - | - | - | 822.71 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 222.79 | - | 42.77 | - | - | - | - | 701.25 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 189.27 | - | 36.33 | - | - | - | - | 595.79 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 168.36 | - | 32.31 | - | - | - | - | 530.00 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 139.27 | - | 26.72 | - | - | - | - | 438.44 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 127.78 | - | 24.52 | - | - | - | - | 402.30 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 110.27 | - | 21.15 | - | - | - | - | 347.20 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 89.99 | - | 17.26 | - | - | - | - | 283.36 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 86.70 | - | 16.63 | - | - | - | - | 273.02 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 72.05 | - | 13.81 | - | - | - | - | 226.92 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 64.55 | - | 12.37 | - | - | - | - | 203.30 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 55.76 | - | 10.69 | - | - | - | - | 175.66 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 53.23 | - | 10.20 | - | - | - | - | 167.70 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 41.80 | - | 8.00 | - | - | - | - | 131.72 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 37.98 | - | 7.27 | - | - | - | - | 119.68 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 35.69 | - | 6.83 | - | - | - | - | 112.48 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
