Prediction 522
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state RN.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 761.20 | - | 742.49 | - | - | - | - | 780.26 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 675.98 | - | 658.79 | - | - | - | - | 693.51 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 622.62 | - | 606.38 | - | - | - | - | 639.17 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 541.36 | - | 526.61 | - | - | - | - | 556.41 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 535.80 | - | 521.15 | - | - | - | - | 550.74 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 519.82 | - | 505.47 | - | - | - | - | 534.46 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 483.60 | - | 469.93 | - | - | - | - | 497.56 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 427.47 | - | 414.87 | - | - | - | - | 440.34 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 404.32 | - | 392.17 | - | - | - | - | 416.74 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 392.40 | - | 380.49 | - | - | - | - | 404.58 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 328.15 | - | 317.53 | - | - | - | - | 339.02 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 288.34 | - | 278.55 | - | - | - | - | 298.38 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 242.83 | - | 234.03 | - | - | - | - | 251.87 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 223.38 | - | 215.02 | - | - | - | - | 231.98 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 201.45 | - | 193.60 | - | - | - | - | 209.54 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 180.90 | - | 173.55 | - | - | - | - | 188.49 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 151.40 | - | 144.78 | - | - | - | - | 158.25 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 151.73 | - | 145.11 | - | - | - | - | 158.58 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 148.88 | - | 142.33 | - | - | - | - | 155.66 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 147.72 | - | 141.20 | - | - | - | - | 154.47 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 127.74 | - | 121.75 | - | - | - | - | 133.94 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 121.88 | - | 116.05 | - | - | - | - | 127.92 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 133.88 | - | 127.73 | - | - | - | - | 140.25 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 132.46 | - | 126.34 | - | - | - | - | 138.79 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 135.96 | - | 129.75 | - | - | - | - | 142.38 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 140.58 | - | 134.25 | - | - | - | - | 147.13 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 134.37 | - | 128.21 | - | - | - | - | 140.76 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 133.27 | - | 127.13 | - | - | - | - | 139.62 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 126.39 | - | 120.45 | - | - | - | - | 132.55 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 116.75 | - | 111.15 | - | - | - | - | 122.54 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 212.18 | - | 30.97 | - | - | - | - | 752.40 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 237.31 | - | 34.64 | - | - | - | - | 841.50 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 292.23 | - | 42.66 | - | - | - | - | 1036.19 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 352.91 | - | 51.52 | - | - | - | - | 1251.33 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 471.21 | - | 68.80 | - | - | - | - | 1670.75 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 593.03 | - | 86.59 | - | - | - | - | 2102.61 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 750.13 | - | 109.53 | - | - | - | - | 2659.59 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 838.06 | - | 122.37 | - | - | - | - | 2971.30 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 979.29 | - | 143.00 | - | - | - | - | 3472.01 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 989.00 | - | 144.42 | - | - | - | - | 3506.44 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1027.13 | - | 149.99 | - | - | - | - | 3641.63 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 963.07 | - | 140.63 | - | - | - | - | 3414.53 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 881.62 | - | 128.73 | - | - | - | - | 3125.75 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1032.78 | - | 150.81 | - | - | - | - | 3661.67 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 1067.90 | - | 155.94 | - | - | - | - | 3786.17 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 1059.77 | - | 154.75 | - | - | - | - | 3757.33 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 1019.37 | - | 148.85 | - | - | - | - | 3614.10 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1030.79 | - | 150.52 | - | - | - | - | 3654.61 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 987.32 | - | 144.17 | - | - | - | - | 3500.48 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 1011.04 | - | 147.63 | - | - | - | - | 3584.56 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 910.13 | - | 132.90 | - | - | - | - | 3226.81 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 847.08 | - | 123.69 | - | - | - | - | 3003.29 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 846.52 | - | 123.61 | - | - | - | - | 3001.34 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 751.75 | - | 109.77 | - | - | - | - | 2665.35 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 692.40 | - | 101.10 | - | - | - | - | 2454.94 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 602.04 | - | 87.90 | - | - | - | - | 2134.58 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 595.85 | - | 87.00 | - | - | - | - | 2112.64 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 578.08 | - | 84.40 | - | - | - | - | 2049.64 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 537.81 | - | 78.52 | - | - | - | - | 1906.86 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 475.38 | - | 69.41 | - | - | - | - | 1685.54 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 449.64 | - | 65.65 | - | - | - | - | 1594.26 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 436.38 | - | 63.71 | - | - | - | - | 1547.27 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 364.93 | - | 53.28 | - | - | - | - | 1293.94 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 320.66 | - | 46.81 | - | - | - | - | 1136.99 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 270.04 | - | 39.42 | - | - | - | - | 957.55 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 248.42 | - | 36.26 | - | - | - | - | 880.89 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 224.04 | - | 32.70 | - | - | - | - | 794.44 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 201.18 | - | 29.36 | - | - | - | - | 713.42 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 168.37 | - | 24.57 | - | - | - | - | 597.11 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 168.74 | - | 24.63 | - | - | - | - | 598.41 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 165.57 | - | 24.16 | - | - | - | - | 587.17 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
