Prediction 523
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state SE.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 150.94 | - | 142.29 | - | - | - | - | 159.99 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 145.52 | - | 137.08 | - | - | - | - | 154.33 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 138.57 | - | 130.43 | - | - | - | - | 147.08 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 145.99 | - | 137.53 | - | - | - | - | 154.83 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 167.81 | - | 158.42 | - | - | - | - | 177.61 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 156.08 | - | 147.20 | - | - | - | - | 165.36 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 150.21 | - | 141.57 | - | - | - | - | 159.23 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 153.57 | - | 144.79 | - | - | - | - | 162.74 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 143.41 | - | 135.06 | - | - | - | - | 152.13 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 129.32 | - | 121.58 | - | - | - | - | 137.42 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 124.95 | - | 117.40 | - | - | - | - | 132.85 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 113.27 | - | 106.23 | - | - | - | - | 120.64 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 99.57 | - | 93.13 | - | - | - | - | 106.32 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 107.12 | - | 100.37 | - | - | - | - | 114.21 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 109.34 | - | 102.49 | - | - | - | - | 116.54 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 109.03 | - | 102.18 | - | - | - | - | 116.22 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 89.20 | - | 83.25 | - | - | - | - | 95.46 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 88.41 | - | 82.51 | - | - | - | - | 94.63 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 78.37 | - | 72.94 | - | - | - | - | 84.09 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 77.63 | - | 72.24 | - | - | - | - | 83.31 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 76.38 | - | 71.04 | - | - | - | - | 82.01 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 86.35 | - | 80.54 | - | - | - | - | 92.46 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 101.10 | - | 94.61 | - | - | - | - | 107.93 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 95.51 | - | 89.26 | - | - | - | - | 102.07 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 111.81 | - | 104.83 | - | - | - | - | 119.14 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 103.97 | - | 97.35 | - | - | - | - | 110.92 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 87.52 | - | 81.66 | - | - | - | - | 93.68 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 81.22 | - | 75.64 | - | - | - | - | 87.10 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 58.79 | - | 54.32 | - | - | - | - | 63.51 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 49.16 | - | 45.20 | - | - | - | - | 53.33 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 66.57 | - | 6.13 | - | - | - | - | 279.07 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 65.92 | - | 6.07 | - | - | - | - | 276.36 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 72.03 | - | 6.63 | - | - | - | - | 301.92 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 84.73 | - | 7.80 | - | - | - | - | 355.14 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 89.15 | - | 8.21 | - | - | - | - | 373.68 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 107.72 | - | 9.92 | - | - | - | - | 451.47 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 109.03 | - | 10.04 | - | - | - | - | 456.99 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 123.21 | - | 11.35 | - | - | - | - | 516.40 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 126.64 | - | 11.66 | - | - | - | - | 530.75 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 117.77 | - | 10.84 | - | - | - | - | 493.61 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 134.50 | - | 12.39 | - | - | - | - | 563.70 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 136.56 | - | 12.58 | - | - | - | - | 572.34 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 133.62 | - | 12.30 | - | - | - | - | 560.00 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 156.36 | - | 14.40 | - | - | - | - | 655.29 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 166.04 | - | 15.29 | - | - | - | - | 695.86 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 155.50 | - | 14.32 | - | - | - | - | 651.69 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 141.19 | - | 13.00 | - | - | - | - | 591.72 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 157.68 | - | 14.52 | - | - | - | - | 660.83 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 156.52 | - | 14.41 | - | - | - | - | 655.96 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 158.85 | - | 14.63 | - | - | - | - | 665.73 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 151.07 | - | 13.91 | - | - | - | - | 633.12 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 147.56 | - | 13.59 | - | - | - | - | 618.44 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 148.68 | - | 13.69 | - | - | - | - | 623.11 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 143.33 | - | 13.20 | - | - | - | - | 600.71 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 136.49 | - | 12.57 | - | - | - | - | 572.04 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 143.80 | - | 13.24 | - | - | - | - | 602.68 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 165.29 | - | 15.22 | - | - | - | - | 692.71 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 153.74 | - | 14.16 | - | - | - | - | 644.32 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 147.96 | - | 13.62 | - | - | - | - | 620.09 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 151.26 | - | 13.93 | - | - | - | - | 633.94 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 141.25 | - | 13.01 | - | - | - | - | 592.01 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 127.38 | - | 11.73 | - | - | - | - | 533.88 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 123.07 | - | 11.33 | - | - | - | - | 515.83 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 111.56 | - | 10.27 | - | - | - | - | 467.60 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 98.07 | - | 9.03 | - | - | - | - | 411.08 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 105.52 | - | 9.71 | - | - | - | - | 442.26 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 107.70 | - | 9.92 | - | - | - | - | 451.42 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 107.39 | - | 9.89 | - | - | - | - | 450.11 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 87.86 | - | 8.09 | - | - | - | - | 368.30 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 87.08 | - | 8.02 | - | - | - | - | 365.03 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 77.19 | - | 7.10 | - | - | - | - | 323.57 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
