Prediction 524
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state GO.
Mostrar Tabela
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-06-02 | 7454.14 | - | 7366.05 | - | - | - | - | 7543.00 | - |
2024-06-09 | 6204.39 | - | 6124.85 | - | - | - | - | 6284.68 | - |
2024-06-16 | 5063.12 | - | 4991.98 | - | - | - | - | 5135.00 | - |
2024-06-23 | 3962.93 | - | 3900.63 | - | - | - | - | 4025.97 | - |
2024-06-30 | 3178.03 | - | 3122.66 | - | - | - | - | 3234.11 | - |
2024-07-07 | 2720.46 | - | 2669.48 | - | - | - | - | 2772.16 | - |
2024-07-14 | 2394.98 | - | 2347.33 | - | - | - | - | 2443.35 | - |
2024-07-21 | 2012.51 | - | 1969.02 | - | - | - | - | 2056.70 | - |
2024-07-28 | 1985.39 | - | 1942.22 | - | - | - | - | 2029.27 | - |
2024-08-04 | 1849.69 | - | 1808.09 | - | - | - | - | 1891.99 | - |
2024-08-11 | 1864.00 | - | 1822.23 | - | - | - | - | 1906.47 | - |
2024-08-18 | 1718.50 | - | 1678.47 | - | - | - | - | 1759.22 | - |
2024-08-25 | 1641.06 | - | 1601.99 | - | - | - | - | 1680.83 | - |
2024-09-01 | 1631.32 | - | 1592.37 | - | - | - | - | 1670.96 | - |
2024-09-08 | 1762.43 | - | 1721.87 | - | - | - | - | 1803.68 | - |
2024-09-15 | 1852.20 | - | 1810.58 | - | - | - | - | 1894.54 | - |
2024-09-22 | 1882.23 | - | 1840.25 | - | - | - | - | 1924.92 | - |
2024-09-29 | 2038.09 | - | 1994.32 | - | - | - | - | 2082.57 | - |
2024-10-06 | 2015.53 | - | 1972.01 | - | - | - | - | 2059.76 | - |
2024-10-13 | 2201.38 | - | 2155.79 | - | - | - | - | 2247.68 | - |
2024-10-20 | 2108.39 | - | 2063.83 | - | - | - | - | 2153.66 | - |
2024-10-27 | 2148.81 | - | 2103.80 | - | - | - | - | 2194.53 | - |
2024-11-03 | 2562.95 | - | 2513.56 | - | - | - | - | 2613.06 | - |
2024-11-10 | 2756.04 | - | 2704.71 | - | - | - | - | 2808.08 | - |
2024-11-17 | 3194.76 | - | 3139.24 | - | - | - | - | 3251.00 | - |
2024-11-24 | 3514.44 | - | 3456.02 | - | - | - | - | 3573.58 | - |
2024-12-01 | 3959.77 | - | 3897.50 | - | - | - | - | 4022.79 | - |
2024-12-08 | 3862.75 | - | 3801.30 | - | - | - | - | 3924.94 | - |
2024-12-15 | 3133.85 | - | 3078.89 | - | - | - | - | 3189.54 | - |
2024-12-22 | 3345.71 | - | 3291.54 | - | - | - | - | 3400.53 | - |
2024-12-29 | 2434.88 | - | 531.48 | - | - | - | - | 7207.62 | - |
2025-01-05 | 2833.75 | - | 618.55 | - | - | - | - | 8388.31 | - |
2025-01-12 | 3281.42 | - | 716.27 | - | - | - | - | 9713.45 | - |
2025-01-19 | 3714.11 | - | 810.72 | - | - | - | - | 10994.24 | - |
2025-01-26 | 4527.95 | - | 988.37 | - | - | - | - | 13403.29 | - |
2025-02-02 | 4638.16 | - | 1012.43 | - | - | - | - | 13729.52 | - |
2025-02-09 | 4970.12 | - | 1084.89 | - | - | - | - | 14712.14 | - |
2025-02-16 | 5264.93 | - | 1149.25 | - | - | - | - | 15584.80 | - |
2025-02-23 | 5640.51 | - | 1231.23 | - | - | - | - | 16696.56 | - |
2025-03-02 | 5703.54 | - | 1244.99 | - | - | - | - | 16883.13 | - |
2025-03-09 | 5927.21 | - | 1293.82 | - | - | - | - | 17545.22 | - |
2025-03-16 | 5853.74 | - | 1277.78 | - | - | - | - | 17327.72 | - |
2025-03-23 | 5434.17 | - | 1186.19 | - | - | - | - | 16085.77 | - |
2025-03-30 | 5914.67 | - | 1291.08 | - | - | - | - | 17508.09 | - |
2025-04-06 | 5608.44 | - | 1224.23 | - | - | - | - | 16601.62 | - |
2025-04-13 | 5474.58 | - | 1195.01 | - | - | - | - | 16205.39 | - |
2025-04-20 | 5342.47 | - | 1166.17 | - | - | - | - | 15814.33 | - |
2025-04-27 | 5259.23 | - | 1148.00 | - | - | - | - | 15567.94 | - |
2025-05-04 | 4821.50 | - | 1052.45 | - | - | - | - | 14272.23 | - |
2025-05-11 | 4142.59 | - | 904.25 | - | - | - | - | 12262.59 | - |
2025-05-18 | 3269.13 | - | 713.59 | - | - | - | - | 9677.07 | - |
2025-05-25 | 2653.87 | - | 579.28 | - | - | - | - | 7855.84 | - |
2025-06-01 | 2612.40 | - | 570.22 | - | - | - | - | 7733.15 | - |
2025-06-08 | 2174.41 | - | 474.61 | - | - | - | - | 6436.66 | - |
2025-06-15 | 1774.44 | - | 387.30 | - | - | - | - | 5252.71 | - |
2025-06-22 | 1388.86 | - | 303.14 | - | - | - | - | 4111.38 | - |
2025-06-29 | 1113.78 | - | 243.09 | - | - | - | - | 3297.11 | - |
2025-07-06 | 953.42 | - | 208.09 | - | - | - | - | 2822.44 | - |
2025-07-13 | 839.35 | - | 183.19 | - | - | - | - | 2484.79 | - |
2025-07-20 | 705.31 | - | 153.93 | - | - | - | - | 2088.01 | - |
2025-07-27 | 695.81 | - | 151.85 | - | - | - | - | 2059.88 | - |
2025-08-03 | 648.25 | - | 141.47 | - | - | - | - | 1919.10 | - |
2025-08-10 | 653.26 | - | 142.57 | - | - | - | - | 1933.95 | - |
2025-08-17 | 602.27 | - | 131.43 | - | - | - | - | 1783.00 | - |
2025-08-24 | 575.13 | - | 125.51 | - | - | - | - | 1702.66 | - |
2025-08-31 | 571.72 | - | 124.76 | - | - | - | - | 1692.56 | - |
2025-09-07 | 617.67 | - | 134.79 | - | - | - | - | 1828.57 | - |
2025-09-14 | 649.13 | - | 141.66 | - | - | - | - | 1921.71 | - |
2025-09-21 | 659.65 | - | 143.96 | - | - | - | - | 1952.86 | - |
2025-09-28 | 714.28 | - | 155.88 | - | - | - | - | 2114.55 | - |
2025-10-05 | 706.37 | - | 154.16 | - | - | - | - | 2091.14 | - |