Prediction 525
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state MT.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 763.83 | - | 742.89 | - | - | - | - | 785.21 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 693.35 | - | 673.56 | - | - | - | - | 713.58 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 634.72 | - | 615.91 | - | - | - | - | 653.95 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 533.85 | - | 516.82 | - | - | - | - | 551.29 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 486.34 | - | 470.19 | - | - | - | - | 502.91 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 394.97 | - | 380.60 | - | - | - | - | 409.73 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 351.85 | - | 338.38 | - | - | - | - | 365.71 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 310.68 | - | 298.11 | - | - | - | - | 323.63 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 310.11 | - | 297.56 | - | - | - | - | 323.06 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 281.39 | - | 269.50 | - | - | - | - | 293.67 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 273.42 | - | 261.72 | - | - | - | - | 285.51 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 237.03 | - | 226.21 | - | - | - | - | 248.22 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 201.24 | - | 191.36 | - | - | - | - | 211.50 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 202.27 | - | 192.37 | - | - | - | - | 212.55 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 215.94 | - | 205.67 | - | - | - | - | 226.59 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 218.10 | - | 207.77 | - | - | - | - | 228.80 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 211.10 | - | 200.95 | - | - | - | - | 221.61 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 225.89 | - | 215.36 | - | - | - | - | 236.79 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 241.45 | - | 230.52 | - | - | - | - | 252.75 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 279.26 | - | 267.41 | - | - | - | - | 291.49 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 285.34 | - | 273.35 | - | - | - | - | 297.71 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 331.07 | - | 318.05 | - | - | - | - | 344.48 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 401.67 | - | 387.17 | - | - | - | - | 416.57 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 460.37 | - | 444.71 | - | - | - | - | 476.44 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 585.07 | - | 567.12 | - | - | - | - | 603.43 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 722.49 | - | 702.21 | - | - | - | - | 743.20 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 808.44 | - | 786.78 | - | - | - | - | 830.54 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 768.68 | - | 747.65 | - | - | - | - | 790.14 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 602.19 | - | 583.92 | - | - | - | - | 620.87 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 714.74 | - | 695.48 | - | - | - | - | 734.39 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 1024.20 | - | 274.31 | - | - | - | - | 2727.55 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 1118.49 | - | 299.57 | - | - | - | - | 2978.68 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 1171.76 | - | 313.84 | - | - | - | - | 3120.54 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 1236.79 | - | 331.26 | - | - | - | - | 3293.69 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 1290.54 | - | 345.66 | - | - | - | - | 3436.83 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 1270.94 | - | 340.41 | - | - | - | - | 3384.62 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 1282.34 | - | 343.46 | - | - | - | - | 3414.99 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 1217.08 | - | 325.98 | - | - | - | - | 3241.22 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 1260.48 | - | 337.61 | - | - | - | - | 3356.79 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 1170.26 | - | 313.44 | - | - | - | - | 3116.53 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1183.39 | - | 316.96 | - | - | - | - | 3151.49 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1134.54 | - | 303.87 | - | - | - | - | 3021.42 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1032.47 | - | 276.53 | - | - | - | - | 2749.60 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1091.07 | - | 292.23 | - | - | - | - | 2905.66 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 1109.30 | - | 297.11 | - | - | - | - | 2954.20 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 1131.28 | - | 303.00 | - | - | - | - | 3012.73 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 1054.80 | - | 282.51 | - | - | - | - | 2809.06 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1032.54 | - | 276.55 | - | - | - | - | 2749.80 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 976.87 | - | 261.64 | - | - | - | - | 2601.54 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 851.25 | - | 227.99 | - | - | - | - | 2267.03 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 728.17 | - | 195.02 | - | - | - | - | 1939.29 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 569.20 | - | 152.43 | - | - | - | - | 1515.96 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 496.55 | - | 132.96 | - | - | - | - | 1322.51 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 450.73 | - | 120.69 | - | - | - | - | 1200.50 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 412.61 | - | 110.48 | - | - | - | - | 1099.01 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 347.04 | - | 92.92 | - | - | - | - | 924.39 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 316.16 | - | 84.64 | - | - | - | - | 842.15 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 256.76 | - | 68.73 | - | - | - | - | 683.97 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 228.73 | - | 61.22 | - | - | - | - | 609.33 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 201.96 | - | 54.05 | - | - | - | - | 538.06 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 201.60 | - | 53.96 | - | - | - | - | 537.08 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 182.92 | - | 48.95 | - | - | - | - | 487.36 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 177.74 | - | 47.57 | - | - | - | - | 473.56 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 154.09 | - | 41.23 | - | - | - | - | 410.56 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 130.82 | - | 35.00 | - | - | - | - | 348.61 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 131.49 | - | 35.18 | - | - | - | - | 350.39 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 140.38 | - | 37.56 | - | - | - | - | 374.06 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 141.78 | - | 37.93 | - | - | - | - | 377.79 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 137.23 | - | 36.71 | - | - | - | - | 365.67 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 146.84 | - | 39.29 | - | - | - | - | 391.27 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 156.96 | - | 42.00 | - | - | - | - | 418.21 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
