Prediction 526
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state MS.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 242.16 | - | 235.17 | - | - | - | - | 249.31 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 209.06 | - | 202.67 | - | - | - | - | 215.59 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 173.52 | - | 167.82 | - | - | - | - | 179.36 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 146.02 | - | 140.87 | - | - | - | - | 151.30 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 118.17 | - | 113.62 | - | - | - | - | 122.84 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 97.10 | - | 93.04 | - | - | - | - | 101.28 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 83.57 | - | 79.85 | - | - | - | - | 87.42 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 71.92 | - | 68.50 | - | - | - | - | 75.46 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 71.18 | - | 67.78 | - | - | - | - | 74.71 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 64.08 | - | 60.88 | - | - | - | - | 67.41 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 61.31 | - | 58.19 | - | - | - | - | 64.56 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 55.71 | - | 52.75 | - | - | - | - | 58.79 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 58.18 | - | 55.14 | - | - | - | - | 61.33 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 56.84 | - | 53.85 | - | - | - | - | 59.96 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 62.28 | - | 59.13 | - | - | - | - | 65.55 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 61.50 | - | 58.37 | - | - | - | - | 64.75 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 64.23 | - | 61.02 | - | - | - | - | 67.56 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 63.98 | - | 60.78 | - | - | - | - | 67.30 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 64.82 | - | 61.60 | - | - | - | - | 68.17 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 78.17 | - | 74.59 | - | - | - | - | 81.88 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 86.02 | - | 82.23 | - | - | - | - | 89.93 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 97.25 | - | 93.19 | - | - | - | - | 101.44 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 121.34 | - | 116.73 | - | - | - | - | 126.09 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 146.80 | - | 141.64 | - | - | - | - | 152.10 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 192.74 | - | 186.66 | - | - | - | - | 198.96 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 231.70 | - | 224.90 | - | - | - | - | 238.65 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 259.70 | - | 252.39 | - | - | - | - | 267.16 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 278.11 | - | 270.48 | - | - | - | - | 285.90 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 245.58 | - | 238.52 | - | - | - | - | 252.79 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 290.46 | - | 282.88 | - | - | - | - | 298.19 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 1050.12 | - | 119.39 | - | - | - | - | 4097.08 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 1352.89 | - | 153.81 | - | - | - | - | 5278.27 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 1682.84 | - | 191.33 | - | - | - | - | 6565.55 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 1959.75 | - | 222.82 | - | - | - | - | 7645.89 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 2065.13 | - | 234.80 | - | - | - | - | 8057.01 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 2054.52 | - | 233.59 | - | - | - | - | 8015.59 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 2091.82 | - | 237.83 | - | - | - | - | 8161.14 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 2034.68 | - | 231.34 | - | - | - | - | 7938.19 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 2130.55 | - | 242.24 | - | - | - | - | 8312.24 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 2163.99 | - | 246.04 | - | - | - | - | 8442.70 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 2200.00 | - | 250.13 | - | - | - | - | 8583.19 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 2089.79 | - | 237.60 | - | - | - | - | 8153.20 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1941.48 | - | 220.74 | - | - | - | - | 7574.61 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1867.17 | - | 212.29 | - | - | - | - | 7284.69 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 1844.82 | - | 209.75 | - | - | - | - | 7197.50 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 1652.06 | - | 187.83 | - | - | - | - | 6445.47 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 1466.58 | - | 166.74 | - | - | - | - | 5721.83 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1367.28 | - | 155.45 | - | - | - | - | 5334.41 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 1148.61 | - | 130.59 | - | - | - | - | 4481.33 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 882.61 | - | 100.34 | - | - | - | - | 3443.54 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 648.62 | - | 73.74 | - | - | - | - | 2530.67 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 511.45 | - | 58.14 | - | - | - | - | 1995.51 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 437.36 | - | 49.72 | - | - | - | - | 1706.45 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 377.57 | - | 42.92 | - | - | - | - | 1473.20 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 313.38 | - | 35.62 | - | - | - | - | 1222.78 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 263.72 | - | 29.97 | - | - | - | - | 1029.01 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 213.42 | - | 24.25 | - | - | - | - | 832.77 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 175.37 | - | 19.93 | - | - | - | - | 684.33 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 150.94 | - | 17.15 | - | - | - | - | 589.01 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 129.89 | - | 14.76 | - | - | - | - | 506.92 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 128.56 | - | 14.61 | - | - | - | - | 501.72 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 115.74 | - | 13.15 | - | - | - | - | 451.70 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 110.73 | - | 12.58 | - | - | - | - | 432.17 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 100.62 | - | 11.43 | - | - | - | - | 392.72 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 105.07 | - | 11.93 | - | - | - | - | 410.06 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 102.66 | - | 11.66 | - | - | - | - | 400.68 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 112.48 | - | 12.78 | - | - | - | - | 438.98 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 111.07 | - | 12.62 | - | - | - | - | 433.50 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 116.00 | - | 13.18 | - | - | - | - | 452.70 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 115.56 | - | 13.13 | - | - | - | - | 450.98 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 117.07 | - | 13.30 | - | - | - | - | 456.89 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
