Prediction 527
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state DF.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 11243.07 | - | 11024.19 | - | - | - | - | 11465.17 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 9127.20 | - | 8931.90 | - | - | - | - | 9325.64 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 6702.20 | - | 6536.73 | - | - | - | - | 6870.76 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 5304.68 | - | 5158.59 | - | - | - | - | 5453.82 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 4232.94 | - | 4103.33 | - | - | - | - | 4365.55 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 3521.84 | - | 3404.26 | - | - | - | - | 3642.40 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 3118.47 | - | 3008.24 | - | - | - | - | 3231.67 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 2635.17 | - | 2534.34 | - | - | - | - | 2738.92 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 2467.58 | - | 2370.23 | - | - | - | - | 2567.87 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 2124.13 | - | 2034.24 | - | - | - | - | 2216.91 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 1998.78 | - | 1911.78 | - | - | - | - | 2088.68 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 1857.93 | - | 1774.26 | - | - | - | - | 1944.48 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 1795.92 | - | 1713.74 | - | - | - | - | 1880.96 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 1925.16 | - | 1839.89 | - | - | - | - | 2013.33 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 2012.56 | - | 1925.23 | - | - | - | - | 2102.80 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 1939.35 | - | 1853.72 | - | - | - | - | 2027.85 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 2042.30 | - | 1954.28 | - | - | - | - | 2133.24 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 1909.62 | - | 1824.71 | - | - | - | - | 1997.42 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 1703.25 | - | 1623.31 | - | - | - | - | 1786.01 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 1870.93 | - | 1786.90 | - | - | - | - | 1957.89 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 1645.21 | - | 1566.76 | - | - | - | - | 1726.49 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 1755.47 | - | 1674.30 | - | - | - | - | 1839.51 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 1988.98 | - | 1902.21 | - | - | - | - | 2078.65 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 2204.86 | - | 2113.16 | - | - | - | - | 2299.45 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 2694.30 | - | 2592.29 | - | - | - | - | 2799.24 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 3117.25 | - | 3007.03 | - | - | - | - | 3230.43 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 3980.09 | - | 3854.64 | - | - | - | - | 4108.53 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 5024.48 | - | 4882.50 | - | - | - | - | 5169.51 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 5207.00 | - | 5062.33 | - | - | - | - | 5354.70 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 4993.64 | - | 4863.45 | - | - | - | - | 5126.38 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 807.93 | - | 34.61 | - | - | - | - | 4129.44 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 837.06 | - | 35.86 | - | - | - | - | 4278.31 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 1172.53 | - | 50.23 | - | - | - | - | 5992.94 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 1638.68 | - | 70.20 | - | - | - | - | 8375.44 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 1929.20 | - | 82.64 | - | - | - | - | 9860.28 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 1962.29 | - | 84.06 | - | - | - | - | 10029.41 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 1921.34 | - | 82.31 | - | - | - | - | 9820.12 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 2097.01 | - | 89.83 | - | - | - | - | 10717.96 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 2127.06 | - | 91.12 | - | - | - | - | 10871.52 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 2033.61 | - | 87.12 | - | - | - | - | 10393.92 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1996.19 | - | 85.51 | - | - | - | - | 10202.65 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1919.80 | - | 82.24 | - | - | - | - | 9812.23 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1618.77 | - | 69.35 | - | - | - | - | 8273.66 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1669.96 | - | 71.54 | - | - | - | - | 8535.29 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 1702.86 | - | 72.95 | - | - | - | - | 8703.46 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 1573.16 | - | 67.39 | - | - | - | - | 8040.57 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 1436.64 | - | 61.54 | - | - | - | - | 7342.78 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1317.55 | - | 56.44 | - | - | - | - | 6734.13 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 1200.79 | - | 51.44 | - | - | - | - | 6137.35 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 1149.32 | - | 49.23 | - | - | - | - | 5874.28 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 1027.78 | - | 44.03 | - | - | - | - | 5253.09 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 921.55 | - | 39.48 | - | - | - | - | 4710.17 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 1432.88 | - | 61.38 | - | - | - | - | 7323.68 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 1163.22 | - | 49.83 | - | - | - | - | 5945.44 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 854.17 | - | 36.59 | - | - | - | - | 4365.85 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 676.06 | - | 28.96 | - | - | - | - | 3455.54 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 539.47 | - | 23.10 | - | - | - | - | 2757.43 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 448.84 | - | 19.22 | - | - | - | - | 2294.23 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 397.44 | - | 17.02 | - | - | - | - | 2031.49 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 335.84 | - | 14.38 | - | - | - | - | 1716.67 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 314.48 | - | 13.47 | - | - | - | - | 1607.51 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 270.71 | - | 11.59 | - | - | - | - | 1383.79 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 254.74 | - | 10.91 | - | - | - | - | 1302.14 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 236.79 | - | 10.14 | - | - | - | - | 1210.40 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 228.88 | - | 9.80 | - | - | - | - | 1170.00 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 245.35 | - | 10.50 | - | - | - | - | 1254.19 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 256.49 | - | 10.98 | - | - | - | - | 1311.12 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 247.16 | - | 10.58 | - | - | - | - | 1263.43 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 260.28 | - | 11.14 | - | - | - | - | 1330.49 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 243.37 | - | 10.42 | - | - | - | - | 1244.07 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 217.07 | - | 9.29 | - | - | - | - | 1109.64 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
