Prediction 528
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state MG.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 27563.15 | - | 27317.00 | - | - | - | - | 27810.94 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 20354.93 | - | 20144.87 | - | - | - | - | 20566.60 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 14230.94 | - | 14056.43 | - | - | - | - | 14407.05 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 10733.28 | - | 10582.35 | - | - | - | - | 10885.80 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 8200.30 | - | 8068.83 | - | - | - | - | 8333.35 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 6098.27 | - | 5985.29 | - | - | - | - | 6212.83 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 4888.28 | - | 4787.38 | - | - | - | - | 4990.74 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 4129.87 | - | 4037.31 | - | - | - | - | 4223.99 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 3695.40 | - | 3607.95 | - | - | - | - | 3784.39 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 3428.96 | - | 3344.81 | - | - | - | - | 3514.67 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 3247.67 | - | 3165.82 | - | - | - | - | 3331.07 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 3211.74 | - | 3130.36 | - | - | - | - | 3294.67 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 3051.41 | - | 2972.14 | - | - | - | - | 3132.24 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 3069.60 | - | 2990.08 | - | - | - | - | 3150.67 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 3632.86 | - | 3546.18 | - | - | - | - | 3721.11 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 3648.57 | - | 3561.69 | - | - | - | - | 3737.00 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 3512.14 | - | 3426.95 | - | - | - | - | 3598.89 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 3637.38 | - | 3550.64 | - | - | - | - | 3725.67 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 3686.50 | - | 3599.16 | - | - | - | - | 3775.39 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 4400.01 | - | 4304.39 | - | - | - | - | 4497.19 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 4423.48 | - | 4327.61 | - | - | - | - | 4520.92 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 4550.60 | - | 4453.32 | - | - | - | - | 4649.44 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 5595.26 | - | 5487.14 | - | - | - | - | 5704.95 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 5957.60 | - | 5845.96 | - | - | - | - | 6070.82 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 7747.77 | - | 7620.06 | - | - | - | - | 7877.05 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 8718.34 | - | 8582.68 | - | - | - | - | 8855.58 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 10194.44 | - | 10047.44 | - | - | - | - | 10343.02 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 11395.74 | - | 11240.09 | - | - | - | - | 11552.98 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 11321.87 | - | 11166.73 | - | - | - | - | 11478.59 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 13264.76 | - | 13100.63 | - | - | - | - | 13430.42 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 4611.01 | - | 179.08 | - | - | - | - | 24018.16 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 5833.76 | - | 226.58 | - | - | - | - | 30387.32 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 7616.66 | - | 295.82 | - | - | - | - | 39674.23 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 9996.58 | - | 388.26 | - | - | - | - | 52070.85 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 12790.28 | - | 496.76 | - | - | - | - | 66622.82 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 14867.22 | - | 577.43 | - | - | - | - | 77441.24 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 17737.70 | - | 688.92 | - | - | - | - | 92393.17 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 21321.87 | - | 828.12 | - | - | - | - | 111062.59 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 22768.62 | - | 884.31 | - | - | - | - | 118598.50 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 23254.55 | - | 903.19 | - | - | - | - | 121129.64 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 24848.37 | - | 965.09 | - | - | - | - | 129431.62 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 25484.56 | - | 989.80 | - | - | - | - | 132745.44 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 23323.33 | - | 905.86 | - | - | - | - | 121487.92 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 25208.97 | - | 979.09 | - | - | - | - | 131309.91 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 24220.40 | - | 940.70 | - | - | - | - | 126160.59 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 21189.71 | - | 822.99 | - | - | - | - | 110374.21 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 19366.60 | - | 752.18 | - | - | - | - | 100877.88 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 17063.22 | - | 662.72 | - | - | - | - | 88879.93 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 14564.43 | - | 565.67 | - | - | - | - | 75864.08 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 11532.10 | - | 447.89 | - | - | - | - | 60069.14 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 8461.25 | - | 328.63 | - | - | - | - | 44073.52 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 5957.42 | - | 231.38 | - | - | - | - | 31031.44 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 6372.23 | - | 247.49 | - | - | - | - | 33192.21 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 4705.79 | - | 182.76 | - | - | - | - | 24511.94 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 3290.00 | - | 127.78 | - | - | - | - | 17137.32 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 2481.39 | - | 96.37 | - | - | - | - | 12925.37 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 1895.80 | - | 73.63 | - | - | - | - | 9875.12 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 1409.84 | - | 54.75 | - | - | - | - | 7343.82 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 1130.10 | - | 43.89 | - | - | - | - | 5886.72 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 954.77 | - | 37.08 | - | - | - | - | 4973.43 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 854.33 | - | 33.18 | - | - | - | - | 4450.23 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 792.73 | - | 30.78 | - | - | - | - | 4129.39 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 750.82 | - | 29.16 | - | - | - | - | 3911.07 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 742.51 | - | 28.83 | - | - | - | - | 3867.80 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 705.45 | - | 27.39 | - | - | - | - | 3674.74 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 709.65 | - | 27.56 | - | - | - | - | 3696.63 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 839.87 | - | 32.61 | - | - | - | - | 4374.93 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 843.50 | - | 32.75 | - | - | - | - | 4393.84 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 811.96 | - | 31.53 | - | - | - | - | 4229.55 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 840.91 | - | 32.65 | - | - | - | - | 4380.37 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 852.27 | - | 33.10 | - | - | - | - | 4439.51 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
