Prediction 529
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state ES.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 1972.45 | - | 1936.78 | - | - | - | - | 2008.60 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 1736.73 | - | 1703.76 | - | - | - | - | 1770.17 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 1525.60 | - | 1495.13 | - | - | - | - | 1556.52 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 1417.92 | - | 1388.76 | - | - | - | - | 1447.53 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 1282.44 | - | 1254.98 | - | - | - | - | 1310.35 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 1079.03 | - | 1054.22 | - | - | - | - | 1104.27 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 912.44 | - | 889.92 | - | - | - | - | 935.38 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 834.47 | - | 813.07 | - | - | - | - | 856.28 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 802.89 | - | 781.96 | - | - | - | - | 824.23 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 725.68 | - | 705.91 | - | - | - | - | 745.85 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 628.26 | - | 610.03 | - | - | - | - | 646.88 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 602.18 | - | 584.39 | - | - | - | - | 620.38 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 525.43 | - | 508.94 | - | - | - | - | 542.31 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 491.87 | - | 475.96 | - | - | - | - | 508.16 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 577.56 | - | 560.16 | - | - | - | - | 595.35 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 543.74 | - | 526.93 | - | - | - | - | 560.94 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 523.01 | - | 506.56 | - | - | - | - | 539.85 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 553.55 | - | 536.58 | - | - | - | - | 570.93 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 523.08 | - | 506.62 | - | - | - | - | 539.92 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 567.74 | - | 550.52 | - | - | - | - | 585.35 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 545.78 | - | 528.94 | - | - | - | - | 563.02 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 560.52 | - | 543.42 | - | - | - | - | 578.01 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 633.43 | - | 615.12 | - | - | - | - | 652.14 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 609.60 | - | 591.67 | - | - | - | - | 627.92 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 697.98 | - | 678.65 | - | - | - | - | 717.72 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 806.42 | - | 785.44 | - | - | - | - | 827.82 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 921.17 | - | 898.53 | - | - | - | - | 944.23 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 973.11 | - | 949.74 | - | - | - | - | 996.90 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 894.94 | - | 872.67 | - | - | - | - | 917.63 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 906.38 | - | 884.78 | - | - | - | - | 928.37 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 101616.40 | - | 0.54 | - | - | - | - | 125260.99 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 119737.96 | - | 0.63 | - | - | - | - | 147600.65 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 138063.19 | - | 0.73 | - | - | - | - | 170190.51 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 142730.73 | - | 0.75 | - | - | - | - | 175944.67 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 163852.43 | - | 0.87 | - | - | - | - | 201981.67 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 172451.10 | - | 0.91 | - | - | - | - | 212581.91 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 212463.39 | - | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | 261905.29 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 221175.54 | - | 1.17 | - | - | - | - | 272645.33 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 276578.27 | - | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | 340940.18 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 280178.71 | - | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | 345379.00 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 323178.09 | - | 1.71 | - | - | - | - | 398383.74 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 235628.33 | - | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | 290461.63 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 242365.57 | - | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | 298766.34 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 285405.03 | - | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | 351820.55 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 214784.90 | - | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | 264767.67 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 203648.95 | - | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | 251040.20 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 197638.43 | - | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | 243631.29 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 199551.65 | - | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | 245989.51 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 196600.03 | - | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | 242351.05 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 177425.07 | - | 0.94 | - | - | - | - | 218713.16 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 154732.68 | - | 0.82 | - | - | - | - | 190739.83 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 152330.22 | - | 0.80 | - | - | - | - | 187778.13 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 157556.54 | - | 0.83 | - | - | - | - | 194219.95 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 138727.80 | - | 0.73 | - | - | - | - | 171009.53 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 121863.01 | - | 0.64 | - | - | - | - | 150219.97 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 113262.04 | - | 0.60 | - | - | - | - | 139617.17 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 102440.32 | - | 0.54 | - | - | - | - | 126276.87 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 86191.51 | - | 0.46 | - | - | - | - | 106247.21 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 72884.59 | - | 0.39 | - | - | - | - | 89843.76 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 66656.30 | - | 0.35 | - | - | - | - | 82166.02 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 64133.65 | - | 0.34 | - | - | - | - | 79056.13 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 57967.53 | - | 0.31 | - | - | - | - | 71454.31 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 50185.41 | - | 0.27 | - | - | - | - | 61861.44 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 48103.08 | - | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | 59294.23 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 41971.83 | - | 0.22 | - | - | - | - | 51736.45 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 39290.79 | - | 0.21 | - | - | - | - | 48431.73 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 46135.93 | - | 0.24 | - | - | - | - | 56869.09 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 43434.56 | - | 0.23 | - | - | - | - | 53539.46 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 41778.49 | - | 0.22 | - | - | - | - | 51498.13 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 44218.45 | - | 0.23 | - | - | - | - | 54505.58 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 41783.87 | - | 0.22 | - | - | - | - | 51504.82 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
