Prediction 530
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state SP.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 27726.50 | - | 27510.32 | - | - | - | - | 27943.94 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 22570.96 | - | 22376.94 | - | - | - | - | 22766.23 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 17504.12 | - | 17334.19 | - | - | - | - | 17675.28 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 14662.29 | - | 14507.27 | - | - | - | - | 14818.54 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 10798.95 | - | 10666.54 | - | - | - | - | 10932.58 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 9221.19 | - | 9099.10 | - | - | - | - | 9344.49 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 7933.49 | - | 7820.46 | - | - | - | - | 8047.73 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 7253.35 | - | 7145.39 | - | - | - | - | 7362.51 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 6553.76 | - | 6451.26 | - | - | - | - | 6657.46 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 6298.95 | - | 6198.51 | - | - | - | - | 6400.59 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 5777.38 | - | 5681.28 | - | - | - | - | 5874.67 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 5662.91 | - | 5567.79 | - | - | - | - | 5759.22 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 5535.16 | - | 5441.15 | - | - | - | - | 5630.38 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 5636.60 | - | 5541.70 | - | - | - | - | 5732.69 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 6726.53 | - | 6622.66 | - | - | - | - | 6831.61 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 6905.37 | - | 6800.10 | - | - | - | - | 7011.85 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 6685.66 | - | 6582.11 | - | - | - | - | 6790.42 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 7119.52 | - | 7012.58 | - | - | - | - | 7227.65 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 7314.77 | - | 7206.34 | - | - | - | - | 7424.40 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 7997.18 | - | 7883.68 | - | - | - | - | 8111.88 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 7567.92 | - | 7457.59 | - | - | - | - | 7679.46 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 8060.83 | - | 7946.87 | - | - | - | - | 8175.99 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 8739.41 | - | 8620.63 | - | - | - | - | 8859.40 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 8916.37 | - | 8796.36 | - | - | - | - | 9037.58 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 10293.42 | - | 10164.24 | - | - | - | - | 10423.82 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 11351.07 | - | 11215.22 | - | - | - | - | 11488.14 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 12642.14 | - | 12498.54 | - | - | - | - | 12786.96 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 13502.43 | - | 13353.87 | - | - | - | - | 13652.22 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 12566.90 | - | 12423.74 | - | - | - | - | 12711.28 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 12517.14 | - | 12381.99 | - | - | - | - | 12653.37 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 3967.69 | - | 417.10 | - | - | - | - | 15912.59 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 4777.35 | - | 502.22 | - | - | - | - | 19159.72 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 6305.82 | - | 662.91 | - | - | - | - | 25289.67 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 8094.47 | - | 850.94 | - | - | - | - | 32463.08 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 9893.02 | - | 1040.02 | - | - | - | - | 39676.17 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 11958.91 | - | 1257.20 | - | - | - | - | 47961.44 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 14414.72 | - | 1515.38 | - | - | - | - | 57810.45 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 16770.77 | - | 1763.06 | - | - | - | - | 67259.39 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 19921.82 | - | 2094.33 | - | - | - | - | 79896.68 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 22398.48 | - | 2354.69 | - | - | - | - | 89829.30 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 25070.17 | - | 2635.56 | - | - | - | - | 100544.12 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 26855.92 | - | 2823.29 | - | - | - | - | 107705.91 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 26253.98 | - | 2760.01 | - | - | - | - | 105291.82 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 28940.98 | - | 3042.49 | - | - | - | - | 116068.05 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 29780.27 | - | 3130.72 | - | - | - | - | 119434.03 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 28454.23 | - | 2991.32 | - | - | - | - | 114115.94 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 26473.80 | - | 2783.12 | - | - | - | - | 106173.40 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 24358.23 | - | 2560.72 | - | - | - | - | 97688.89 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 22144.25 | - | 2327.96 | - | - | - | - | 88809.72 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 18505.67 | - | 1945.45 | - | - | - | - | 74217.20 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 12870.59 | - | 1353.05 | - | - | - | - | 51617.72 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 8434.36 | - | 886.67 | - | - | - | - | 33826.18 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 6443.11 | - | 677.33 | - | - | - | - | 25840.31 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 5245.06 | - | 551.39 | - | - | - | - | 21035.53 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 4067.62 | - | 427.60 | - | - | - | - | 16313.41 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 3407.23 | - | 358.18 | - | - | - | - | 13664.93 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 2509.47 | - | 263.80 | - | - | - | - | 10064.44 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 2142.83 | - | 225.26 | - | - | - | - | 8594.02 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 1843.59 | - | 193.80 | - | - | - | - | 7393.93 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 1685.54 | - | 177.18 | - | - | - | - | 6760.06 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 1522.97 | - | 160.09 | - | - | - | - | 6108.07 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 1463.75 | - | 153.87 | - | - | - | - | 5870.59 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 1342.55 | - | 141.12 | - | - | - | - | 5384.51 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 1315.95 | - | 138.33 | - | - | - | - | 5277.83 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 1286.27 | - | 135.21 | - | - | - | - | 5158.78 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 1309.84 | - | 137.68 | - | - | - | - | 5253.31 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 1563.12 | - | 164.31 | - | - | - | - | 6269.09 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 1604.68 | - | 168.68 | - | - | - | - | 6435.76 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 1553.62 | - | 163.31 | - | - | - | - | 6231.00 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 1654.44 | - | 173.91 | - | - | - | - | 6635.33 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 1699.81 | - | 178.68 | - | - | - | - | 6817.30 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
