Prediction 531
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state RJ.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-06-02 | 6801.40 | - | 6709.00 | - | - | - | - | 6894.72 | - |
2024-06-09 | 5758.59 | - | 5674.27 | - | - | - | - | 5843.83 | - |
2024-06-16 | 4574.59 | - | 4500.17 | - | - | - | - | 4649.91 | - |
2024-06-23 | 3699.85 | - | 3633.45 | - | - | - | - | 3767.15 | - |
2024-06-30 | 3161.59 | - | 3100.52 | - | - | - | - | 3223.54 | - |
2024-07-07 | 2432.46 | - | 2379.31 | - | - | - | - | 2486.49 | - |
2024-07-14 | 2051.20 | - | 2002.62 | - | - | - | - | 2100.65 | - |
2024-07-21 | 1703.21 | - | 1659.14 | - | - | - | - | 1748.13 | - |
2024-07-28 | 1674.42 | - | 1630.76 | - | - | - | - | 1718.95 | - |
2024-08-04 | 1589.03 | - | 1546.55 | - | - | - | - | 1632.37 | - |
2024-08-11 | 1431.63 | - | 1391.42 | - | - | - | - | 1472.70 | - |
2024-08-18 | 1286.73 | - | 1248.70 | - | - | - | - | 1325.60 | - |
2024-08-25 | 1155.08 | - | 1119.16 | - | - | - | - | 1191.86 | - |
2024-09-01 | 1023.18 | - | 989.46 | - | - | - | - | 1057.73 | - |
2024-09-08 | 1055.69 | - | 1021.43 | - | - | - | - | 1090.81 | - |
2024-09-15 | 1014.94 | - | 981.38 | - | - | - | - | 1049.34 | - |
2024-09-22 | 962.63 | - | 929.99 | - | - | - | - | 996.11 | - |
2024-09-29 | 960.83 | - | 928.22 | - | - | - | - | 994.28 | - |
2024-10-06 | 965.43 | - | 932.73 | - | - | - | - | 998.96 | - |
2024-10-13 | 1051.62 | - | 1017.42 | - | - | - | - | 1086.66 | - |
2024-10-20 | 1075.89 | - | 1041.28 | - | - | - | - | 1111.34 | - |
2024-10-27 | 1159.15 | - | 1123.16 | - | - | - | - | 1195.99 | - |
2024-11-03 | 1333.85 | - | 1295.10 | - | - | - | - | 1373.45 | - |
2024-11-10 | 1395.44 | - | 1355.75 | - | - | - | - | 1435.98 | - |
2024-11-17 | 1768.81 | - | 1723.87 | - | - | - | - | 1814.61 | - |
2024-11-24 | 2066.66 | - | 2017.88 | - | - | - | - | 2116.30 | - |
2024-12-01 | 2638.86 | - | 2583.37 | - | - | - | - | 2695.23 | - |
2024-12-08 | 2953.55 | - | 2894.65 | - | - | - | - | 3013.35 | - |
2024-12-15 | 2662.76 | - | 2606.99 | - | - | - | - | 2719.41 | - |
2024-12-22 | 3188.86 | - | 3128.00 | - | - | - | - | 3250.59 | - |
2024-12-29 | 1975.02 | - | 27.84 | - | - | - | - | 11635.42 | - |
2025-01-05 | 2202.60 | - | 31.05 | - | - | - | - | 12976.17 | - |
2025-01-12 | 2711.97 | - | 38.23 | - | - | - | - | 15977.02 | - |
2025-01-19 | 3117.33 | - | 43.94 | - | - | - | - | 18365.07 | - |
2025-01-26 | 3582.65 | - | 50.50 | - | - | - | - | 21106.39 | - |
2025-02-02 | 4414.74 | - | 62.23 | - | - | - | - | 26008.45 | - |
2025-02-09 | 5467.44 | - | 77.07 | - | - | - | - | 32210.18 | - |
2025-02-16 | 6534.26 | - | 92.11 | - | - | - | - | 38495.12 | - |
2025-02-23 | 7018.70 | - | 98.94 | - | - | - | - | 41349.06 | - |
2025-03-02 | 7266.28 | - | 102.43 | - | - | - | - | 42807.61 | - |
2025-03-09 | 7904.52 | - | 111.43 | - | - | - | - | 46567.68 | - |
2025-03-16 | 7929.68 | - | 111.78 | - | - | - | - | 46715.88 | - |
2025-03-23 | 7391.63 | - | 104.20 | - | - | - | - | 43546.12 | - |
2025-03-30 | 8371.13 | - | 118.01 | - | - | - | - | 49316.61 | - |
2025-04-06 | 8320.98 | - | 117.30 | - | - | - | - | 49021.15 | - |
2025-04-13 | 7559.31 | - | 106.56 | - | - | - | - | 44533.96 | - |
2025-04-20 | 7009.73 | - | 98.82 | - | - | - | - | 41296.21 | - |
2025-04-27 | 6434.81 | - | 90.71 | - | - | - | - | 37909.25 | - |
2025-05-04 | 6054.78 | - | 85.35 | - | - | - | - | 35670.40 | - |
2025-05-11 | 5092.87 | - | 71.79 | - | - | - | - | 30003.53 | - |
2025-05-18 | 4109.62 | - | 57.93 | - | - | - | - | 24210.93 | - |
2025-05-25 | 3152.96 | - | 44.45 | - | - | - | - | 18574.99 | - |
2025-06-01 | 3056.04 | - | 43.08 | - | - | - | - | 18004.04 | - |
2025-06-08 | 2587.48 | - | 36.47 | - | - | - | - | 15243.64 | - |
2025-06-15 | 2055.48 | - | 28.97 | - | - | - | - | 12109.46 | - |
2025-06-22 | 1662.44 | - | 23.43 | - | - | - | - | 9793.95 | - |
2025-06-29 | 1420.58 | - | 20.02 | - | - | - | - | 8369.12 | - |
2025-07-06 | 1092.97 | - | 15.41 | - | - | - | - | 6439.05 | - |
2025-07-13 | 921.66 | - | 12.99 | - | - | - | - | 5429.83 | - |
2025-07-20 | 765.29 | - | 10.79 | - | - | - | - | 4508.64 | - |
2025-07-27 | 752.36 | - | 10.60 | - | - | - | - | 4432.45 | - |
2025-08-03 | 713.99 | - | 10.06 | - | - | - | - | 4206.40 | - |
2025-08-10 | 643.27 | - | 9.07 | - | - | - | - | 3789.76 | - |
2025-08-17 | 578.16 | - | 8.15 | - | - | - | - | 3406.17 | - |
2025-08-24 | 519.01 | - | 7.31 | - | - | - | - | 3057.71 | - |
2025-08-31 | 459.74 | - | 6.48 | - | - | - | - | 2708.54 | - |
2025-09-07 | 474.35 | - | 6.68 | - | - | - | - | 2794.61 | - |
2025-09-14 | 456.04 | - | 6.43 | - | - | - | - | 2686.73 | - |
2025-09-21 | 432.53 | - | 6.10 | - | - | - | - | 2548.26 | - |
2025-09-28 | 431.73 | - | 6.08 | - | - | - | - | 2543.50 | - |
2025-10-05 | 433.79 | - | 6.11 | - | - | - | - | 2555.66 | - |