Prediction 532
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PR.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 8611.92 | - | 8479.35 | - | - | - | - | 8746.02 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 7241.50 | - | 7120.42 | - | - | - | - | 7364.09 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 5643.25 | - | 5536.93 | - | - | - | - | 5751.08 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 4865.23 | - | 4766.79 | - | - | - | - | 4965.17 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 3718.05 | - | 3632.41 | - | - | - | - | 3805.17 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 3162.67 | - | 3083.92 | - | - | - | - | 3242.90 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 2715.55 | - | 2642.77 | - | - | - | - | 2789.80 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 2557.00 | - | 2486.45 | - | - | - | - | 2629.02 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 2322.29 | - | 2255.18 | - | - | - | - | 2390.87 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 2179.68 | - | 2114.74 | - | - | - | - | 2246.09 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 2075.39 | - | 2012.07 | - | - | - | - | 2140.17 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 2151.09 | - | 2086.59 | - | - | - | - | 2217.05 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 2057.57 | - | 1994.54 | - | - | - | - | 2122.06 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 1995.80 | - | 1933.74 | - | - | - | - | 2059.32 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 2448.60 | - | 2379.60 | - | - | - | - | 2519.07 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 2330.06 | - | 2262.83 | - | - | - | - | 2398.76 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 2291.81 | - | 2225.14 | - | - | - | - | 2359.93 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 2545.75 | - | 2475.36 | - | - | - | - | 2617.60 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 2668.00 | - | 2595.88 | - | - | - | - | 2741.59 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 3073.88 | - | 2996.27 | - | - | - | - | 3152.97 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 3039.32 | - | 2962.16 | - | - | - | - | 3117.94 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 3270.58 | - | 3190.45 | - | - | - | - | 3352.20 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 3827.15 | - | 3740.22 | - | - | - | - | 3915.56 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 4173.78 | - | 4082.85 | - | - | - | - | 4266.19 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 5186.30 | - | 5084.54 | - | - | - | - | 5289.57 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 5644.13 | - | 5537.80 | - | - | - | - | 5751.97 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 6559.84 | - | 6444.86 | - | - | - | - | 6676.34 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 7638.58 | - | 7514.07 | - | - | - | - | 7764.61 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 6841.03 | - | 6723.50 | - | - | - | - | 6960.08 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 5380.28 | - | 5286.17 | - | - | - | - | 5475.63 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 1464.35 | - | 113.67 | - | - | - | - | 6467.29 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 1831.98 | - | 142.21 | - | - | - | - | 8090.89 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 2360.77 | - | 183.26 | - | - | - | - | 10426.21 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 2864.34 | - | 222.36 | - | - | - | - | 12650.22 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 3262.33 | - | 253.26 | - | - | - | - | 14407.89 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 4123.64 | - | 320.12 | - | - | - | - | 18211.77 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 5182.96 | - | 402.36 | - | - | - | - | 22890.13 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 5706.02 | - | 442.97 | - | - | - | - | 25200.17 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 6497.53 | - | 504.41 | - | - | - | - | 28695.82 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 7566.77 | - | 587.42 | - | - | - | - | 33418.02 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 8298.77 | - | 644.25 | - | - | - | - | 36650.81 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 9184.00 | - | 712.97 | - | - | - | - | 40560.33 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 9304.79 | - | 722.35 | - | - | - | - | 41093.76 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 9829.45 | - | 763.08 | - | - | - | - | 43410.87 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 9837.10 | - | 763.67 | - | - | - | - | 43444.68 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 9191.71 | - | 713.57 | - | - | - | - | 40594.38 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 7684.34 | - | 596.55 | - | - | - | - | 33937.24 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 7529.00 | - | 584.49 | - | - | - | - | 33251.21 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 6846.97 | - | 531.54 | - | - | - | - | 30239.07 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 5375.95 | - | 417.34 | - | - | - | - | 23742.46 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 3588.86 | - | 278.60 | - | - | - | - | 15849.95 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 2329.04 | - | 180.80 | - | - | - | - | 10286.12 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 1850.50 | - | 143.65 | - | - | - | - | 8172.77 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 1556.03 | - | 120.79 | - | - | - | - | 6872.26 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 1212.60 | - | 94.13 | - | - | - | - | 5355.55 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 1045.43 | - | 81.15 | - | - | - | - | 4617.23 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 798.92 | - | 62.01 | - | - | - | - | 3528.57 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 679.58 | - | 52.75 | - | - | - | - | 3001.52 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 583.51 | - | 45.29 | - | - | - | - | 2577.21 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 549.44 | - | 42.64 | - | - | - | - | 2426.75 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 499.01 | - | 38.73 | - | - | - | - | 2204.02 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 468.36 | - | 36.35 | - | - | - | - | 2068.68 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 445.95 | - | 34.61 | - | - | - | - | 1969.71 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 462.22 | - | 35.87 | - | - | - | - | 2041.55 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 442.12 | - | 34.31 | - | - | - | - | 1952.80 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 428.85 | - | 33.28 | - | - | - | - | 1894.18 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 526.15 | - | 40.83 | - | - | - | - | 2323.88 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 500.68 | - | 38.86 | - | - | - | - | 2211.39 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 492.46 | - | 38.22 | - | - | - | - | 2175.09 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 547.02 | - | 42.45 | - | - | - | - | 2416.07 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 573.29 | - | 44.49 | - | - | - | - | 2532.08 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
