Prediction 533
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state RS.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 2703.47 | - | 2586.76 | - | - | - | - | 2824.03 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 2327.28 | - | 2219.37 | - | - | - | - | 2439.03 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 1242.25 | - | 1164.79 | - | - | - | - | 1323.41 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 1096.91 | - | 1024.52 | - | - | - | - | 1173.01 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 1039.08 | - | 968.73 | - | - | - | - | 1113.17 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 700.70 | - | 643.84 | - | - | - | - | 761.20 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 478.71 | - | 432.52 | - | - | - | - | 528.39 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 438.55 | - | 394.61 | - | - | - | - | 485.98 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 441.62 | - | 397.53 | - | - | - | - | 489.24 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 436.84 | - | 392.98 | - | - | - | - | 484.25 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 334.45 | - | 296.74 | - | - | - | - | 375.57 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 286.54 | - | 252.03 | - | - | - | - | 324.41 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 243.98 | - | 212.55 | - | - | - | - | 278.72 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 195.91 | - | 168.23 | - | - | - | - | 226.71 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 208.62 | - | 179.96 | - | - | - | - | 240.52 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 218.03 | - | 188.61 | - | - | - | - | 250.69 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 239.63 | - | 208.54 | - | - | - | - | 274.05 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 244.48 | - | 213.01 | - | - | - | - | 279.25 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 257.99 | - | 225.52 | - | - | - | - | 293.79 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 264.86 | - | 231.89 | - | - | - | - | 301.16 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 285.34 | - | 250.92 | - | - | - | - | 323.13 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 307.60 | - | 271.66 | - | - | - | - | 346.94 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 345.92 | - | 307.48 | - | - | - | - | 387.78 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 422.72 | - | 379.69 | - | - | - | - | 469.26 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 502.93 | - | 455.53 | - | - | - | - | 553.89 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 578.80 | - | 527.58 | - | - | - | - | 633.61 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 673.09 | - | 617.46 | - | - | - | - | 732.34 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 812.93 | - | 751.29 | - | - | - | - | 878.23 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 859.59 | - | 796.07 | - | - | - | - | 926.81 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 737.27 | - | 679.64 | - | - | - | - | 798.45 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 67.56 | - | 0.49 | - | - | - | - | 405.90 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 76.26 | - | 0.55 | - | - | - | - | 458.13 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 104.04 | - | 0.75 | - | - | - | - | 625.05 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 131.67 | - | 0.95 | - | - | - | - | 791.02 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 174.36 | - | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | 1047.49 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 261.47 | - | 1.88 | - | - | - | - | 1570.83 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 429.74 | - | 3.09 | - | - | - | - | 2581.69 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 585.78 | - | 4.21 | - | - | - | - | 3519.09 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 808.18 | - | 5.81 | - | - | - | - | 4855.17 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 1109.89 | - | 7.98 | - | - | - | - | 6667.71 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1352.66 | - | 9.72 | - | - | - | - | 8126.12 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1680.82 | - | 12.08 | - | - | - | - | 10097.57 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1819.53 | - | 13.08 | - | - | - | - | 10930.84 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 2083.32 | - | 14.98 | - | - | - | - | 12515.59 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 2320.07 | - | 16.68 | - | - | - | - | 13937.85 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 2354.94 | - | 16.93 | - | - | - | - | 14147.35 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 2038.31 | - | 14.65 | - | - | - | - | 12245.19 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1769.58 | - | 12.72 | - | - | - | - | 10630.79 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 1476.30 | - | 10.61 | - | - | - | - | 8868.89 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 1304.37 | - | 9.38 | - | - | - | - | 7836.05 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 594.31 | - | 4.27 | - | - | - | - | 3570.34 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 439.80 | - | 3.16 | - | - | - | - | 2642.09 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 338.14 | - | 2.43 | - | - | - | - | 2031.45 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 291.09 | - | 2.09 | - | - | - | - | 1748.78 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 155.38 | - | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | 933.48 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 137.20 | - | 0.99 | - | - | - | - | 824.28 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 129.97 | - | 0.93 | - | - | - | - | 780.82 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 87.64 | - | 0.63 | - | - | - | - | 526.56 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 59.88 | - | 0.43 | - | - | - | - | 359.75 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 54.85 | - | 0.39 | - | - | - | - | 329.57 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 55.24 | - | 0.40 | - | - | - | - | 331.89 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 54.64 | - | 0.39 | - | - | - | - | 328.29 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 41.83 | - | 0.30 | - | - | - | - | 251.35 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 35.84 | - | 0.26 | - | - | - | - | 215.35 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 30.52 | - | 0.22 | - | - | - | - | 183.37 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 24.50 | - | 0.18 | - | - | - | - | 147.25 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 26.09 | - | 0.19 | - | - | - | - | 156.80 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 27.27 | - | 0.19 | - | - | - | - | 163.87 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 29.97 | - | 0.21 | - | - | - | - | 180.10 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 30.58 | - | 0.22 | - | - | - | - | 183.75 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 32.27 | - | 0.23 | - | - | - | - | 193.90 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
