Prediction 534
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state SC.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 9604.30 | - | 9384.84 | - | - | - | - | 9827.53 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 7935.76 | - | 7737.35 | - | - | - | - | 8137.90 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 5541.66 | - | 5377.34 | - | - | - | - | 5709.65 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 4097.40 | - | 3957.07 | - | - | - | - | 4241.39 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 3179.14 | - | 3056.21 | - | - | - | - | 3305.71 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 2251.56 | - | 2148.89 | - | - | - | - | 2357.82 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 1583.14 | - | 1497.79 | - | - | - | - | 1672.03 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 1158.89 | - | 1086.49 | - | - | - | - | 1234.78 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 1086.25 | - | 1016.32 | - | - | - | - | 1159.70 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 832.91 | - | 772.22 | - | - | - | - | 897.04 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 811.89 | - | 752.05 | - | - | - | - | 875.20 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 671.15 | - | 617.16 | - | - | - | - | 728.55 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 639.38 | - | 586.80 | - | - | - | - | 695.35 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 657.40 | - | 604.02 | - | - | - | - | 714.18 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 739.50 | - | 682.60 | - | - | - | - | 799.85 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 701.13 | - | 645.86 | - | - | - | - | 759.83 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 623.44 | - | 571.59 | - | - | - | - | 678.69 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 543.11 | - | 495.00 | - | - | - | - | 594.55 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 579.61 | - | 529.78 | - | - | - | - | 632.81 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 661.64 | - | 608.08 | - | - | - | - | 718.64 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 660.03 | - | 606.54 | - | - | - | - | 716.93 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 680.52 | - | 626.12 | - | - | - | - | 738.33 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 828.31 | - | 767.82 | - | - | - | - | 892.27 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 852.29 | - | 790.82 | - | - | - | - | 917.19 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 1206.12 | - | 1132.20 | - | - | - | - | 1283.57 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 1536.28 | - | 1452.27 | - | - | - | - | 1623.83 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 1923.34 | - | 1828.80 | - | - | - | - | 2021.45 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 2268.38 | - | 2165.30 | - | - | - | - | 2375.05 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 2117.71 | - | 2018.25 | - | - | - | - | 2220.76 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 1397.35 | - | 1318.90 | - | - | - | - | 1479.19 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 205.05 | - | 0.26 | - | - | - | - | 1081.41 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 227.48 | - | 0.29 | - | - | - | - | 1199.72 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 297.43 | - | 0.38 | - | - | - | - | 1568.60 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 387.82 | - | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | 2045.32 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 563.45 | - | 0.73 | - | - | - | - | 2971.63 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 910.49 | - | 1.17 | - | - | - | - | 4801.90 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 1330.46 | - | 1.71 | - | - | - | - | 7016.86 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 1886.98 | - | 2.43 | - | - | - | - | 9951.98 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 2540.87 | - | 3.27 | - | - | - | - | 13400.52 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 3185.15 | - | 4.10 | - | - | - | - | 16798.54 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 4029.70 | - | 5.19 | - | - | - | - | 21252.71 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 5516.48 | - | 7.10 | - | - | - | - | 29094.11 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 6177.86 | - | 7.96 | - | - | - | - | 32582.26 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 6730.70 | - | 8.67 | - | - | - | - | 35497.98 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 7148.22 | - | 9.21 | - | - | - | - | 37700.00 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 7130.96 | - | 9.18 | - | - | - | - | 37608.93 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 6357.55 | - | 8.19 | - | - | - | - | 33529.94 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 5800.02 | - | 7.47 | - | - | - | - | 30589.55 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 5440.77 | - | 7.01 | - | - | - | - | 28694.82 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 4443.22 | - | 5.72 | - | - | - | - | 23433.68 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 2733.59 | - | 3.52 | - | - | - | - | 14416.98 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 1924.68 | - | 2.48 | - | - | - | - | 10150.77 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 2121.94 | - | 2.73 | - | - | - | - | 11191.11 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 1753.30 | - | 2.26 | - | - | - | - | 9246.88 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 1224.35 | - | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | 6457.21 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 905.27 | - | 1.17 | - | - | - | - | 4774.32 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 702.39 | - | 0.90 | - | - | - | - | 3704.35 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 497.45 | - | 0.64 | - | - | - | - | 2623.50 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 349.77 | - | 0.45 | - | - | - | - | 1844.64 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 256.04 | - | 0.33 | - | - | - | - | 1350.29 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 239.99 | - | 0.31 | - | - | - | - | 1265.66 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 184.02 | - | 0.24 | - | - | - | - | 970.46 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 179.38 | - | 0.23 | - | - | - | - | 945.96 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 148.28 | - | 0.19 | - | - | - | - | 781.97 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 141.26 | - | 0.18 | - | - | - | - | 744.95 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 145.24 | - | 0.19 | - | - | - | - | 765.95 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 163.38 | - | 0.21 | - | - | - | - | 861.61 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 154.90 | - | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | 816.90 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 137.74 | - | 0.18 | - | - | - | - | 726.37 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 119.99 | - | 0.15 | - | - | - | - | 632.77 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 128.06 | - | 0.16 | - | - | - | - | 675.30 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
