Prediction 535
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state AM.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 155.66 | - | 148.83 | - | - | - | - | 162.72 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 135.97 | - | 129.70 | - | - | - | - | 142.46 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 126.04 | - | 120.06 | - | - | - | - | 132.24 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 110.78 | - | 105.26 | - | - | - | - | 116.52 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 118.42 | - | 112.67 | - | - | - | - | 124.39 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 121.41 | - | 115.57 | - | - | - | - | 127.47 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 108.50 | - | 103.05 | - | - | - | - | 114.16 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 96.52 | - | 91.45 | - | - | - | - | 101.80 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 96.62 | - | 91.55 | - | - | - | - | 101.91 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 91.01 | - | 86.12 | - | - | - | - | 96.11 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 85.55 | - | 80.84 | - | - | - | - | 90.46 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 78.62 | - | 74.15 | - | - | - | - | 83.30 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 74.18 | - | 69.85 | - | - | - | - | 78.69 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 73.10 | - | 68.81 | - | - | - | - | 77.58 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 86.11 | - | 81.38 | - | - | - | - | 91.05 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 83.30 | - | 78.67 | - | - | - | - | 88.14 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 87.77 | - | 82.98 | - | - | - | - | 92.76 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 93.42 | - | 88.45 | - | - | - | - | 98.60 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 86.36 | - | 81.61 | - | - | - | - | 91.30 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 93.59 | - | 88.61 | - | - | - | - | 98.77 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 91.09 | - | 86.19 | - | - | - | - | 96.19 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 100.90 | - | 95.69 | - | - | - | - | 106.32 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 106.18 | - | 100.80 | - | - | - | - | 111.77 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 126.08 | - | 120.10 | - | - | - | - | 132.28 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 147.00 | - | 140.41 | - | - | - | - | 153.81 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 158.56 | - | 151.65 | - | - | - | - | 165.69 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 174.89 | - | 167.54 | - | - | - | - | 182.49 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 177.62 | - | 170.19 | - | - | - | - | 185.29 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 167.38 | - | 160.23 | - | - | - | - | 174.77 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 161.95 | - | 155.12 | - | - | - | - | 169.01 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 478.08 | - | 53.10 | - | - | - | - | 1880.90 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 555.75 | - | 61.73 | - | - | - | - | 2186.45 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 661.37 | - | 73.47 | - | - | - | - | 2601.97 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 765.75 | - | 85.07 | - | - | - | - | 3012.59 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 826.28 | - | 91.79 | - | - | - | - | 3250.70 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 946.70 | - | 105.17 | - | - | - | - | 3724.41 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 1002.36 | - | 111.36 | - | - | - | - | 3943.41 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 1113.99 | - | 123.76 | - | - | - | - | 4382.53 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 1035.12 | - | 115.00 | - | - | - | - | 4072.27 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 935.00 | - | 103.88 | - | - | - | - | 3678.41 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 832.62 | - | 92.50 | - | - | - | - | 3275.64 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 699.09 | - | 77.66 | - | - | - | - | 2750.34 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 566.47 | - | 62.93 | - | - | - | - | 2228.64 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 560.34 | - | 62.25 | - | - | - | - | 2204.52 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 461.88 | - | 51.31 | - | - | - | - | 1817.20 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 390.51 | - | 43.38 | - | - | - | - | 1536.41 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 332.30 | - | 36.91 | - | - | - | - | 1307.42 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 304.16 | - | 33.78 | - | - | - | - | 1196.73 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 294.21 | - | 32.68 | - | - | - | - | 1157.60 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 277.36 | - | 30.80 | - | - | - | - | 1091.31 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 237.33 | - | 26.36 | - | - | - | - | 933.83 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 223.08 | - | 24.77 | - | - | - | - | 877.75 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 235.44 | - | 26.14 | - | - | - | - | 926.40 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 205.65 | - | 22.83 | - | - | - | - | 809.20 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 190.63 | - | 21.17 | - | - | - | - | 750.14 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 167.56 | - | 18.60 | - | - | - | - | 659.36 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 179.11 | - | 19.89 | - | - | - | - | 704.81 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 183.63 | - | 20.39 | - | - | - | - | 722.59 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 164.11 | - | 18.22 | - | - | - | - | 645.78 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 145.99 | - | 16.21 | - | - | - | - | 574.52 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 146.14 | - | 16.22 | - | - | - | - | 575.12 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 137.66 | - | 15.28 | - | - | - | - | 541.74 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 129.39 | - | 14.36 | - | - | - | - | 509.22 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 118.92 | - | 13.20 | - | - | - | - | 468.01 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 112.19 | - | 12.45 | - | - | - | - | 441.54 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 110.57 | - | 12.27 | - | - | - | - | 435.17 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 130.25 | - | 14.46 | - | - | - | - | 512.58 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 126.00 | - | 13.98 | - | - | - | - | 495.86 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 132.75 | - | 14.73 | - | - | - | - | 522.44 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 141.30 | - | 15.68 | - | - | - | - | 556.06 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 130.62 | - | 14.50 | - | - | - | - | 514.03 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
