Prediction 536
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state AC.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 68.64 | - | 64.97 | - | - | - | - | 72.45 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 62.07 | - | 58.63 | - | - | - | - | 65.65 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 57.27 | - | 54.00 | - | - | - | - | 60.67 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 54.56 | - | 51.40 | - | - | - | - | 57.87 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 49.67 | - | 46.69 | - | - | - | - | 52.79 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 48.12 | - | 45.20 | - | - | - | - | 51.18 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 51.06 | - | 48.03 | - | - | - | - | 54.24 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 44.43 | - | 41.65 | - | - | - | - | 47.34 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 46.65 | - | 43.79 | - | - | - | - | 49.65 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 42.50 | - | 39.80 | - | - | - | - | 45.33 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 46.07 | - | 43.23 | - | - | - | - | 49.05 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 54.23 | - | 51.08 | - | - | - | - | 57.52 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 73.22 | - | 69.39 | - | - | - | - | 77.20 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 92.01 | - | 87.56 | - | - | - | - | 96.63 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 119.10 | - | 113.79 | - | - | - | - | 124.60 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 127.57 | - | 122.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.33 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 127.65 | - | 122.07 | - | - | - | - | 133.41 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 147.68 | - | 141.49 | - | - | - | - | 154.06 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 147.06 | - | 140.89 | - | - | - | - | 153.42 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 161.39 | - | 154.80 | - | - | - | - | 168.19 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 161.85 | - | 155.24 | - | - | - | - | 168.66 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 169.53 | - | 162.70 | - | - | - | - | 176.57 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 187.48 | - | 180.12 | - | - | - | - | 195.06 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 210.64 | - | 202.61 | - | - | - | - | 218.90 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 231.25 | - | 222.63 | - | - | - | - | 240.11 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 247.20 | - | 238.13 | - | - | - | - | 256.52 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 277.77 | - | 267.84 | - | - | - | - | 287.98 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 281.15 | - | 271.12 | - | - | - | - | 291.46 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 250.71 | - | 241.54 | - | - | - | - | 260.14 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 221.01 | - | 213.00 | - | - | - | - | 229.24 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 561.40 | - | 73.02 | - | - | - | - | 2083.63 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 538.39 | - | 70.03 | - | - | - | - | 1998.28 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 566.91 | - | 73.74 | - | - | - | - | 2104.13 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 526.52 | - | 68.48 | - | - | - | - | 1954.21 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 556.53 | - | 72.39 | - | - | - | - | 2065.61 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 533.74 | - | 69.42 | - | - | - | - | 1981.03 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 524.03 | - | 68.16 | - | - | - | - | 1945.00 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 475.63 | - | 61.86 | - | - | - | - | 1765.36 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 475.73 | - | 61.88 | - | - | - | - | 1765.73 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 410.91 | - | 53.44 | - | - | - | - | 1525.16 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 388.52 | - | 50.53 | - | - | - | - | 1442.08 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 356.79 | - | 46.40 | - | - | - | - | 1324.31 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 300.33 | - | 39.06 | - | - | - | - | 1114.75 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 287.67 | - | 37.41 | - | - | - | - | 1067.77 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 249.03 | - | 32.39 | - | - | - | - | 924.37 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 214.93 | - | 27.95 | - | - | - | - | 797.81 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 183.08 | - | 23.81 | - | - | - | - | 679.60 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 166.75 | - | 21.68 | - | - | - | - | 619.00 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 151.89 | - | 19.75 | - | - | - | - | 563.85 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 132.32 | - | 17.20 | - | - | - | - | 491.20 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 117.18 | - | 15.23 | - | - | - | - | 435.02 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 107.61 | - | 13.99 | - | - | - | - | 399.49 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 98.78 | - | 12.84 | - | - | - | - | 366.72 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 89.32 | - | 11.61 | - | - | - | - | 331.63 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 82.41 | - | 10.71 | - | - | - | - | 305.99 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 78.52 | - | 10.20 | - | - | - | - | 291.54 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 71.48 | - | 9.29 | - | - | - | - | 265.41 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 69.25 | - | 9.00 | - | - | - | - | 257.14 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 73.48 | - | 9.55 | - | - | - | - | 272.85 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 63.94 | - | 8.31 | - | - | - | - | 237.44 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 67.14 | - | 8.72 | - | - | - | - | 249.30 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 61.16 | - | 7.95 | - | - | - | - | 227.13 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 66.30 | - | 8.61 | - | - | - | - | 246.21 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 78.04 | - | 10.14 | - | - | - | - | 289.79 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 105.37 | - | 13.70 | - | - | - | - | 391.19 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 132.42 | - | 17.21 | - | - | - | - | 491.58 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 171.40 | - | 22.29 | - | - | - | - | 636.27 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 183.59 | - | 23.87 | - | - | - | - | 681.51 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 183.70 | - | 23.88 | - | - | - | - | 681.91 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 212.52 | - | 27.63 | - | - | - | - | 788.88 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 211.63 | - | 27.52 | - | - | - | - | 785.59 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
