Prediction 537
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state AP.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 160.19 | - | 145.84 | - | - | - | - | 175.58 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 152.82 | - | 138.86 | - | - | - | - | 167.78 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 138.49 | - | 125.35 | - | - | - | - | 152.61 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 131.32 | - | 118.60 | - | - | - | - | 145.01 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 132.36 | - | 119.58 | - | - | - | - | 146.13 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 119.80 | - | 107.77 | - | - | - | - | 132.77 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 117.47 | - | 105.54 | - | - | - | - | 130.32 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 145.23 | - | 131.70 | - | - | - | - | 159.75 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 183.90 | - | 168.27 | - | - | - | - | 200.60 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 198.27 | - | 181.91 | - | - | - | - | 215.70 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 201.05 | - | 184.55 | - | - | - | - | 218.62 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 201.61 | - | 185.08 | - | - | - | - | 219.21 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 190.53 | - | 174.56 | - | - | - | - | 207.56 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 174.46 | - | 159.32 | - | - | - | - | 190.62 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 171.99 | - | 156.98 | - | - | - | - | 188.02 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 184.30 | - | 168.65 | - | - | - | - | 201.00 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 179.49 | - | 164.09 | - | - | - | - | 195.93 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 192.66 | - | 176.57 | - | - | - | - | 209.81 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 174.75 | - | 159.60 | - | - | - | - | 190.93 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 169.68 | - | 154.80 | - | - | - | - | 185.59 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 155.75 | - | 141.60 | - | - | - | - | 170.89 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 175.89 | - | 160.67 | - | - | - | - | 192.18 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 159.29 | - | 144.98 | - | - | - | - | 174.62 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 144.42 | - | 130.94 | - | - | - | - | 158.92 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 117.08 | - | 105.23 | - | - | - | - | 129.89 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 98.43 | - | 87.76 | - | - | - | - | 109.99 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 95.19 | - | 84.77 | - | - | - | - | 106.53 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 90.62 | - | 80.50 | - | - | - | - | 101.67 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 68.64 | - | 59.83 | - | - | - | - | 78.19 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 97.03 | - | 86.74 | - | - | - | - | 108.13 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 344.47 | - | 19.51 | - | - | - | - | 1654.58 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 445.44 | - | 25.24 | - | - | - | - | 2139.39 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 445.44 | - | 25.24 | - | - | - | - | 2139.39 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 491.18 | - | 27.83 | - | - | - | - | 2359.00 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 721.89 | - | 40.92 | - | - | - | - | 3466.66 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 721.40 | - | 40.89 | - | - | - | - | 3464.31 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 797.48 | - | 45.21 | - | - | - | - | 3829.55 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 771.62 | - | 43.74 | - | - | - | - | 3705.39 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 867.57 | - | 49.19 | - | - | - | - | 4166.06 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 830.58 | - | 47.09 | - | - | - | - | 3988.47 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 702.91 | - | 39.84 | - | - | - | - | 3375.51 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 579.32 | - | 32.83 | - | - | - | - | 2782.16 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 600.65 | - | 34.04 | - | - | - | - | 2884.57 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 676.27 | - | 38.33 | - | - | - | - | 3247.62 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 541.41 | - | 30.68 | - | - | - | - | 2600.12 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 484.86 | - | 27.47 | - | - | - | - | 2328.63 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 414.91 | - | 23.50 | - | - | - | - | 1992.80 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 400.10 | - | 22.66 | - | - | - | - | 1921.66 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 437.94 | - | 24.81 | - | - | - | - | 2103.35 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 351.92 | - | 19.93 | - | - | - | - | 1690.37 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 285.68 | - | 16.17 | - | - | - | - | 1372.33 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 260.16 | - | 14.73 | - | - | - | - | 1249.81 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 306.83 | - | 17.36 | - | - | - | - | 1474.20 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 292.72 | - | 16.56 | - | - | - | - | 1406.41 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 265.28 | - | 15.00 | - | - | - | - | 1274.65 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 251.54 | - | 14.22 | - | - | - | - | 1208.72 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 253.53 | - | 14.34 | - | - | - | - | 1218.24 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 229.47 | - | 12.97 | - | - | - | - | 1102.70 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 225.01 | - | 12.72 | - | - | - | - | 1081.33 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 278.19 | - | 15.74 | - | - | - | - | 1336.65 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 352.26 | - | 19.94 | - | - | - | - | 1692.31 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 379.79 | - | 21.50 | - | - | - | - | 1824.49 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 385.11 | - | 21.80 | - | - | - | - | 1850.03 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 386.17 | - | 21.86 | - | - | - | - | 1855.16 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 364.96 | - | 20.66 | - | - | - | - | 1753.29 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 334.17 | - | 18.91 | - | - | - | - | 1605.46 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 329.45 | - | 18.64 | - | - | - | - | 1582.78 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 353.02 | - | 19.98 | - | - | - | - | 1695.95 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 343.81 | - | 19.46 | - | - | - | - | 1651.76 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 369.03 | - | 20.89 | - | - | - | - | 1772.84 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 334.73 | - | 18.94 | - | - | - | - | 1608.17 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
