Prediction 538
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PA.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 326.71 | - | 313.43 | - | - | - | - | 340.42 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 304.64 | - | 291.89 | - | - | - | - | 317.80 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 257.94 | - | 246.37 | - | - | - | - | 269.89 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 251.63 | - | 240.24 | - | - | - | - | 263.42 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 225.72 | - | 215.03 | - | - | - | - | 236.80 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 210.08 | - | 199.82 | - | - | - | - | 220.71 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 215.41 | - | 205.01 | - | - | - | - | 226.19 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 218.10 | - | 207.62 | - | - | - | - | 228.97 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 251.35 | - | 239.96 | - | - | - | - | 263.13 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 276.14 | - | 264.11 | - | - | - | - | 288.58 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 263.48 | - | 251.78 | - | - | - | - | 275.58 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 247.80 | - | 236.51 | - | - | - | - | 259.48 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 228.29 | - | 217.53 | - | - | - | - | 239.44 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 227.36 | - | 216.63 | - | - | - | - | 238.49 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 229.38 | - | 218.59 | - | - | - | - | 240.56 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 228.35 | - | 217.59 | - | - | - | - | 239.50 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 219.91 | - | 209.39 | - | - | - | - | 230.83 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 201.54 | - | 191.51 | - | - | - | - | 211.93 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 236.53 | - | 225.53 | - | - | - | - | 247.93 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 213.92 | - | 203.56 | - | - | - | - | 224.67 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 196.76 | - | 186.86 | - | - | - | - | 207.03 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 249.89 | - | 238.54 | - | - | - | - | 261.63 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 288.26 | - | 275.92 | - | - | - | - | 301.00 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 335.79 | - | 322.28 | - | - | - | - | 349.72 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 369.04 | - | 354.75 | - | - | - | - | 383.76 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 400.59 | - | 385.57 | - | - | - | - | 416.05 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 412.54 | - | 397.24 | - | - | - | - | 428.26 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 372.66 | - | 358.27 | - | - | - | - | 387.47 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 283.91 | - | 271.65 | - | - | - | - | 296.56 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 295.84 | - | 283.57 | - | - | - | - | 308.50 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 610.51 | - | 174.80 | - | - | - | - | 1567.38 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 726.02 | - | 207.89 | - | - | - | - | 1863.86 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 873.15 | - | 250.04 | - | - | - | - | 2241.48 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 1015.77 | - | 290.89 | - | - | - | - | 2607.55 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 1186.82 | - | 339.89 | - | - | - | - | 3046.58 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 1122.16 | - | 321.37 | - | - | - | - | 2880.61 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 1239.45 | - | 354.97 | - | - | - | - | 3181.67 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 1201.25 | - | 344.02 | - | - | - | - | 3083.62 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 1246.06 | - | 356.86 | - | - | - | - | 3198.63 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 1225.97 | - | 351.10 | - | - | - | - | 3147.06 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1250.82 | - | 358.22 | - | - | - | - | 3210.85 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1114.51 | - | 319.18 | - | - | - | - | 2860.99 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 974.31 | - | 279.01 | - | - | - | - | 2501.13 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1010.11 | - | 289.27 | - | - | - | - | 2593.02 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 918.75 | - | 263.10 | - | - | - | - | 2358.54 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 808.99 | - | 231.66 | - | - | - | - | 2076.81 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 689.56 | - | 197.45 | - | - | - | - | 1770.27 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 697.57 | - | 199.74 | - | - | - | - | 1790.84 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 650.32 | - | 186.21 | - | - | - | - | 1669.55 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 576.40 | - | 165.03 | - | - | - | - | 1479.83 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 460.75 | - | 131.90 | - | - | - | - | 1183.00 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 395.18 | - | 113.12 | - | - | - | - | 1014.68 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 381.03 | - | 109.05 | - | - | - | - | 978.44 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 355.28 | - | 101.68 | - | - | - | - | 912.36 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 300.81 | - | 86.08 | - | - | - | - | 772.55 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 293.46 | - | 83.97 | - | - | - | - | 753.67 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 263.25 | - | 75.32 | - | - | - | - | 676.12 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 245.00 | - | 70.09 | - | - | - | - | 629.28 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 251.22 | - | 71.87 | - | - | - | - | 645.24 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 254.36 | - | 72.77 | - | - | - | - | 653.31 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 293.13 | - | 83.88 | - | - | - | - | 752.82 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 322.05 | - | 92.16 | - | - | - | - | 827.06 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 307.28 | - | 87.93 | - | - | - | - | 789.15 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 288.99 | - | 82.69 | - | - | - | - | 742.20 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 266.24 | - | 76.18 | - | - | - | - | 683.81 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 265.16 | - | 75.87 | - | - | - | - | 681.03 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 267.51 | - | 76.54 | - | - | - | - | 687.06 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 266.31 | - | 76.20 | - | - | - | - | 683.99 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 256.47 | - | 73.38 | - | - | - | - | 658.73 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 235.04 | - | 67.24 | - | - | - | - | 603.72 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 275.85 | - | 78.93 | - | - | - | - | 708.47 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
