Prediction 542
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state CE.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 578.95 | - | 566.09 | - | - | - | - | 592.03 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 521.48 | - | 509.71 | - | - | - | - | 533.46 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 445.67 | - | 435.35 | - | - | - | - | 456.18 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 389.46 | - | 380.21 | - | - | - | - | 398.87 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 361.24 | - | 352.54 | - | - | - | - | 370.09 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 319.81 | - | 311.91 | - | - | - | - | 327.85 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 285.50 | - | 278.28 | - | - | - | - | 292.87 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 255.32 | - | 248.69 | - | - | - | - | 262.08 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 244.55 | - | 238.13 | - | - | - | - | 251.10 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 218.54 | - | 212.64 | - | - | - | - | 224.56 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 198.19 | - | 192.70 | - | - | - | - | 203.79 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 169.74 | - | 164.83 | - | - | - | - | 174.76 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 140.25 | - | 135.96 | - | - | - | - | 144.64 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 129.26 | - | 125.20 | - | - | - | - | 133.41 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 117.61 | - | 113.80 | - | - | - | - | 121.50 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 114.22 | - | 110.49 | - | - | - | - | 118.04 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 104.67 | - | 101.16 | - | - | - | - | 108.28 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 96.27 | - | 92.94 | - | - | - | - | 99.68 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 91.10 | - | 87.89 | - | - | - | - | 94.39 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 78.67 | - | 75.75 | - | - | - | - | 81.67 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 71.55 | - | 68.80 | - | - | - | - | 74.38 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 75.11 | - | 72.27 | - | - | - | - | 78.02 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 85.54 | - | 82.46 | - | - | - | - | 88.71 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 86.85 | - | 83.74 | - | - | - | - | 90.05 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 90.88 | - | 87.68 | - | - | - | - | 94.17 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 98.27 | - | 94.90 | - | - | - | - | 101.73 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 100.32 | - | 96.90 | - | - | - | - | 103.83 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 87.22 | - | 84.10 | - | - | - | - | 90.43 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 75.98 | - | 73.13 | - | - | - | - | 78.92 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 73.41 | - | 70.69 | - | - | - | - | 76.21 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 160.16 | - | 32.37 | - | - | - | - | 492.13 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 180.52 | - | 36.48 | - | - | - | - | 554.68 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 219.78 | - | 44.42 | - | - | - | - | 675.29 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 257.66 | - | 52.08 | - | - | - | - | 791.64 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 320.86 | - | 64.85 | - | - | - | - | 985.83 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 348.43 | - | 70.43 | - | - | - | - | 1070.51 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 390.14 | - | 78.86 | - | - | - | - | 1198.66 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 420.28 | - | 84.95 | - | - | - | - | 1291.25 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 492.47 | - | 99.55 | - | - | - | - | 1513.06 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 565.29 | - | 114.27 | - | - | - | - | 1736.77 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 609.24 | - | 123.15 | - | - | - | - | 1871.77 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 637.48 | - | 128.86 | - | - | - | - | 1958.54 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 715.73 | - | 144.68 | - | - | - | - | 2198.94 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 883.66 | - | 178.63 | - | - | - | - | 2714.84 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 963.09 | - | 194.69 | - | - | - | - | 2958.88 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 981.69 | - | 198.45 | - | - | - | - | 3016.03 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 990.76 | - | 200.28 | - | - | - | - | 3043.90 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1041.37 | - | 210.51 | - | - | - | - | 3199.36 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 1111.16 | - | 224.62 | - | - | - | - | 3413.79 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 1091.75 | - | 220.70 | - | - | - | - | 3354.15 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 914.06 | - | 184.77 | - | - | - | - | 2808.26 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 788.36 | - | 159.36 | - | - | - | - | 2422.08 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 734.64 | - | 148.50 | - | - | - | - | 2257.05 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 661.72 | - | 133.76 | - | - | - | - | 2033.02 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 565.52 | - | 114.31 | - | - | - | - | 1737.48 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 494.19 | - | 99.89 | - | - | - | - | 1518.33 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 458.38 | - | 92.65 | - | - | - | - | 1408.31 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 405.81 | - | 82.03 | - | - | - | - | 1246.80 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 362.28 | - | 73.23 | - | - | - | - | 1113.08 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 323.98 | - | 65.48 | - | - | - | - | 995.40 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 310.32 | - | 62.72 | - | - | - | - | 953.43 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 277.31 | - | 56.05 | - | - | - | - | 852.04 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 251.49 | - | 50.83 | - | - | - | - | 772.70 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 215.39 | - | 43.53 | - | - | - | - | 661.79 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 177.97 | - | 35.97 | - | - | - | - | 546.83 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 164.02 | - | 33.15 | - | - | - | - | 503.98 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 149.23 | - | 30.16 | - | - | - | - | 458.55 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 144.93 | - | 29.29 | - | - | - | - | 445.34 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 132.82 | - | 26.84 | - | - | - | - | 408.13 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 122.16 | - | 24.68 | - | - | - | - | 375.37 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 115.59 | - | 23.36 | - | - | - | - | 355.20 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
