Prediction 543
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state AL.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 526.82 | - | 510.88 | - | - | - | - | 543.12 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 510.91 | - | 495.36 | - | - | - | - | 526.83 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 463.49 | - | 449.09 | - | - | - | - | 478.23 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 431.40 | - | 417.78 | - | - | - | - | 445.34 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 418.80 | - | 405.49 | - | - | - | - | 432.43 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 405.18 | - | 392.21 | - | - | - | - | 418.47 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 369.15 | - | 357.07 | - | - | - | - | 381.53 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 337.16 | - | 325.87 | - | - | - | - | 348.73 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 313.20 | - | 302.52 | - | - | - | - | 324.15 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 290.13 | - | 280.04 | - | - | - | - | 300.49 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 271.53 | - | 261.91 | - | - | - | - | 281.40 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 230.08 | - | 221.54 | - | - | - | - | 238.86 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 217.32 | - | 209.12 | - | - | - | - | 225.76 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 203.86 | - | 196.02 | - | - | - | - | 211.93 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 177.27 | - | 170.14 | - | - | - | - | 184.61 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 181.70 | - | 174.46 | - | - | - | - | 189.17 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 166.03 | - | 159.22 | - | - | - | - | 173.05 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 148.84 | - | 142.52 | - | - | - | - | 155.37 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 142.08 | - | 135.95 | - | - | - | - | 148.41 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 152.26 | - | 145.83 | - | - | - | - | 158.89 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 141.08 | - | 134.97 | - | - | - | - | 147.38 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 140.51 | - | 134.42 | - | - | - | - | 146.80 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 164.27 | - | 157.51 | - | - | - | - | 171.25 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 164.13 | - | 157.37 | - | - | - | - | 171.11 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 132.80 | - | 126.93 | - | - | - | - | 138.86 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 124.57 | - | 118.96 | - | - | - | - | 130.38 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 117.98 | - | 112.56 | - | - | - | - | 123.59 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 112.30 | - | 107.05 | - | - | - | - | 117.75 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 85.46 | - | 81.05 | - | - | - | - | 90.05 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 81.23 | - | 77.04 | - | - | - | - | 85.57 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 295.98 | - | 6.65 | - | - | - | - | 1674.62 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 340.78 | - | 7.65 | - | - | - | - | 1928.06 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 359.79 | - | 8.08 | - | - | - | - | 2035.62 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 376.52 | - | 8.46 | - | - | - | - | 2130.31 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 422.87 | - | 9.50 | - | - | - | - | 2392.51 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 476.31 | - | 10.70 | - | - | - | - | 2694.83 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 542.76 | - | 12.19 | - | - | - | - | 3070.79 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 629.57 | - | 14.14 | - | - | - | - | 3561.93 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 756.74 | - | 17.00 | - | - | - | - | 4281.39 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 867.92 | - | 19.50 | - | - | - | - | 4910.39 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 911.11 | - | 20.47 | - | - | - | - | 5154.75 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1060.22 | - | 23.82 | - | - | - | - | 5998.33 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1080.71 | - | 24.28 | - | - | - | - | 6114.24 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1163.60 | - | 26.15 | - | - | - | - | 6583.21 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 1206.74 | - | 27.11 | - | - | - | - | 6827.27 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 1247.22 | - | 28.02 | - | - | - | - | 7056.29 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 1289.77 | - | 28.98 | - | - | - | - | 7297.00 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1479.55 | - | 33.25 | - | - | - | - | 8370.68 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 1571.69 | - | 35.32 | - | - | - | - | 8891.97 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 1614.26 | - | 36.27 | - | - | - | - | 9132.79 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 1509.44 | - | 33.92 | - | - | - | - | 8539.80 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 1461.65 | - | 32.84 | - | - | - | - | 8269.42 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 1477.38 | - | 33.20 | - | - | - | - | 8358.42 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 1432.78 | - | 32.19 | - | - | - | - | 8106.10 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 1299.79 | - | 29.21 | - | - | - | - | 7353.71 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 1209.79 | - | 27.18 | - | - | - | - | 6844.56 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 1174.46 | - | 26.39 | - | - | - | - | 6644.64 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 1136.26 | - | 25.53 | - | - | - | - | 6428.53 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 1035.22 | - | 23.26 | - | - | - | - | 5856.91 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 945.50 | - | 21.24 | - | - | - | - | 5349.33 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 878.31 | - | 19.73 | - | - | - | - | 4969.21 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 813.62 | - | 18.28 | - | - | - | - | 4603.22 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 761.46 | - | 17.11 | - | - | - | - | 4308.08 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 645.22 | - | 14.50 | - | - | - | - | 3650.48 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 609.44 | - | 13.69 | - | - | - | - | 3448.08 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 571.70 | - | 12.84 | - | - | - | - | 3234.52 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 497.12 | - | 11.17 | - | - | - | - | 2812.60 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 509.56 | - | 11.45 | - | - | - | - | 2882.96 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 465.61 | - | 10.46 | - | - | - | - | 2634.33 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 417.41 | - | 9.38 | - | - | - | - | 2361.63 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 398.44 | - | 8.95 | - | - | - | - | 2254.34 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
