Prediction 544
Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state BA.
Mostrar Tabela
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-06-02 | 8135.67 | - | 8018.56 | - | - | - | - | 8254.05 | - |
2024-06-09 | 6719.14 | - | 6613.94 | - | - | - | - | 6825.57 | - |
2024-06-16 | 5273.64 | - | 5181.57 | - | - | - | - | 5366.91 | - |
2024-06-23 | 4882.90 | - | 4794.63 | - | - | - | - | 4972.37 | - |
2024-06-30 | 5053.02 | - | 4963.09 | - | - | - | - | 5144.16 | - |
2024-07-07 | 4816.03 | - | 4728.42 | - | - | - | - | 4904.84 | - |
2024-07-14 | 4189.68 | - | 4108.44 | - | - | - | - | 4272.10 | - |
2024-07-21 | 3510.60 | - | 3436.74 | - | - | - | - | 3585.62 | - |
2024-07-28 | 3253.77 | - | 3182.87 | - | - | - | - | 3325.84 | - |
2024-08-04 | 2889.77 | - | 2823.23 | - | - | - | - | 2957.47 | - |
2024-08-11 | 2509.47 | - | 2447.75 | - | - | - | - | 2572.34 | - |
2024-08-18 | 2229.90 | - | 2171.93 | - | - | - | - | 2289.00 | - |
2024-08-25 | 2103.49 | - | 2047.30 | - | - | - | - | 2160.82 | - |
2024-09-01 | 1999.24 | - | 1944.54 | - | - | - | - | 2055.07 | - |
2024-09-08 | 1898.04 | - | 1844.83 | - | - | - | - | 1952.37 | - |
2024-09-15 | 1809.04 | - | 1757.17 | - | - | - | - | 1862.03 | - |
2024-09-22 | 1711.35 | - | 1660.99 | - | - | - | - | 1762.83 | - |
2024-09-29 | 1672.40 | - | 1622.65 | - | - | - | - | 1723.27 | - |
2024-10-06 | 1565.60 | - | 1517.55 | - | - | - | - | 1614.76 | - |
2024-10-13 | 1621.72 | - | 1572.77 | - | - | - | - | 1671.79 | - |
2024-10-20 | 1495.76 | - | 1448.86 | - | - | - | - | 1543.77 | - |
2024-10-27 | 1558.39 | - | 1510.47 | - | - | - | - | 1607.42 | - |
2024-11-03 | 1690.99 | - | 1640.95 | - | - | - | - | 1742.15 | - |
2024-11-10 | 1737.01 | - | 1686.25 | - | - | - | - | 1788.90 | - |
2024-11-17 | 1922.63 | - | 1869.06 | - | - | - | - | 1977.33 | - |
2024-11-24 | 2122.49 | - | 2066.03 | - | - | - | - | 2180.09 | - |
2024-12-01 | 2253.22 | - | 2194.93 | - | - | - | - | 2312.66 | - |
2024-12-08 | 2099.38 | - | 2043.25 | - | - | - | - | 2156.66 | - |
2024-12-15 | 1819.43 | - | 1767.38 | - | - | - | - | 1872.59 | - |
2024-12-22 | 1854.26 | - | 1804.74 | - | - | - | - | 1904.77 | - |
2024-12-29 | 4371.25 | - | 374.12 | - | - | - | - | 18752.66 | - |
2025-01-05 | 5298.38 | - | 453.48 | - | - | - | - | 22729.83 | - |
2025-01-12 | 5930.18 | - | 507.56 | - | - | - | - | 25440.14 | - |
2025-01-19 | 7208.39 | - | 616.97 | - | - | - | - | 30923.38 | - |
2025-01-26 | 9091.53 | - | 778.17 | - | - | - | - | 39001.68 | - |
2025-02-02 | 11022.92 | - | 943.49 | - | - | - | - | 47286.93 | - |
2025-02-09 | 13911.34 | - | 1190.74 | - | - | - | - | 59677.67 | - |
2025-02-16 | 17485.82 | - | 1496.71 | - | - | - | - | 75011.47 | - |
2025-02-23 | 20440.73 | - | 1749.64 | - | - | - | - | 87687.42 | - |
2025-03-02 | 22395.28 | - | 1916.95 | - | - | - | - | 96072.04 | - |
2025-03-09 | 23924.97 | - | 2047.89 | - | - | - | - | 102634.09 | - |
2025-03-16 | 24473.66 | - | 2094.86 | - | - | - | - | 104987.83 | - |
2025-03-23 | 22461.12 | - | 1922.59 | - | - | - | - | 96354.45 | - |
2025-03-30 | 24706.37 | - | 2114.78 | - | - | - | - | 105986.10 | - |
2025-04-06 | 23604.00 | - | 2020.42 | - | - | - | - | 101257.20 | - |
2025-04-13 | 22021.29 | - | 1884.94 | - | - | - | - | 94467.69 | - |
2025-04-20 | 20076.52 | - | 1718.47 | - | - | - | - | 86125.03 | - |
2025-04-27 | 19500.60 | - | 1669.17 | - | - | - | - | 83654.44 | - |
2025-05-04 | 18476.95 | - | 1581.55 | - | - | - | - | 79263.22 | - |
2025-05-11 | 16104.36 | - | 1378.46 | - | - | - | - | 69085.29 | - |
2025-05-18 | 13439.25 | - | 1150.33 | - | - | - | - | 57652.50 | - |
2025-05-25 | 11221.95 | - | 960.53 | - | - | - | - | 48140.72 | - |
2025-06-01 | 13423.33 | - | 1148.94 | - | - | - | - | 57584.69 | - |
2025-06-08 | 11086.14 | - | 948.88 | - | - | - | - | 47558.60 | - |
2025-06-15 | 8701.17 | - | 744.73 | - | - | - | - | 37327.51 | - |
2025-06-22 | 8056.47 | - | 689.54 | - | - | - | - | 34561.91 | - |
2025-06-29 | 8337.16 | - | 713.57 | - | - | - | - | 35766.01 | - |
2025-07-06 | 7946.14 | - | 680.10 | - | - | - | - | 34088.59 | - |
2025-07-13 | 6912.70 | - | 591.64 | - | - | - | - | 29655.34 | - |
2025-07-20 | 5792.26 | - | 495.73 | - | - | - | - | 24848.86 | - |
2025-07-27 | 5368.52 | - | 459.46 | - | - | - | - | 23031.10 | - |
2025-08-03 | 4767.94 | - | 408.05 | - | - | - | - | 20454.72 | - |
2025-08-10 | 4140.46 | - | 354.34 | - | - | - | - | 17762.99 | - |
2025-08-17 | 3679.19 | - | 314.85 | - | - | - | - | 15784.21 | - |
2025-08-24 | 3470.62 | - | 297.00 | - | - | - | - | 14889.50 | - |
2025-08-31 | 3298.62 | - | 282.28 | - | - | - | - | 14151.63 | - |
2025-09-07 | 3131.64 | - | 267.98 | - | - | - | - | 13435.33 | - |
2025-09-14 | 2984.80 | - | 255.42 | - | - | - | - | 12805.43 | - |
2025-09-21 | 2823.62 | - | 241.62 | - | - | - | - | 12113.99 | - |
2025-09-28 | 2759.35 | - | 236.12 | - | - | - | - | 11838.28 | - |
2025-10-05 | 2583.14 | - | 221.03 | - | - | - | - | 11082.37 | - |