Prediction 545
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state MA.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 277.86 | - | 265.03 | - | - | - | - | 291.14 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 247.72 | - | 235.76 | - | - | - | - | 260.14 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 214.75 | - | 203.77 | - | - | - | - | 226.17 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 184.33 | - | 174.30 | - | - | - | - | 194.78 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 178.89 | - | 169.04 | - | - | - | - | 189.16 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 178.08 | - | 168.26 | - | - | - | - | 188.32 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 166.39 | - | 156.95 | - | - | - | - | 176.24 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 151.85 | - | 142.90 | - | - | - | - | 161.20 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 167.12 | - | 157.66 | - | - | - | - | 177.00 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 187.13 | - | 177.01 | - | - | - | - | 197.68 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 180.33 | - | 170.43 | - | - | - | - | 190.65 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 166.18 | - | 156.74 | - | - | - | - | 176.03 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 126.81 | - | 118.75 | - | - | - | - | 135.25 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 121.54 | - | 113.69 | - | - | - | - | 129.79 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 102.73 | - | 95.62 | - | - | - | - | 110.23 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 93.02 | - | 86.31 | - | - | - | - | 100.12 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 71.31 | - | 65.55 | - | - | - | - | 77.42 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 74.29 | - | 68.41 | - | - | - | - | 80.54 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 67.73 | - | 62.16 | - | - | - | - | 73.66 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 69.30 | - | 63.65 | - | - | - | - | 75.32 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 56.85 | - | 51.78 | - | - | - | - | 62.24 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 70.89 | - | 65.16 | - | - | - | - | 76.99 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 66.39 | - | 60.88 | - | - | - | - | 72.25 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 76.30 | - | 70.33 | - | - | - | - | 82.65 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 76.65 | - | 70.66 | - | - | - | - | 83.01 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 81.75 | - | 75.53 | - | - | - | - | 88.34 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 94.64 | - | 87.85 | - | - | - | - | 101.82 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 82.41 | - | 76.16 | - | - | - | - | 89.03 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 73.30 | - | 67.45 | - | - | - | - | 79.51 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 82.89 | - | 76.71 | - | - | - | - | 89.41 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 232.27 | - | 22.85 | - | - | - | - | 952.65 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 355.99 | - | 35.03 | - | - | - | - | 1459.91 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 457.94 | - | 45.07 | - | - | - | - | 1877.88 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 508.76 | - | 50.08 | - | - | - | - | 2086.26 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 576.91 | - | 56.79 | - | - | - | - | 2365.69 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 780.61 | - | 76.85 | - | - | - | - | 3200.82 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 937.59 | - | 92.32 | - | - | - | - | 3844.46 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 976.97 | - | 96.19 | - | - | - | - | 4005.89 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 1165.63 | - | 114.78 | - | - | - | - | 4779.40 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 1172.33 | - | 115.44 | - | - | - | - | 4806.88 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1179.05 | - | 116.10 | - | - | - | - | 4834.41 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1114.75 | - | 109.76 | - | - | - | - | 4570.81 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1059.81 | - | 104.35 | - | - | - | - | 4345.54 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1021.80 | - | 100.61 | - | - | - | - | 4189.72 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 965.39 | - | 95.05 | - | - | - | - | 3958.45 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 989.04 | - | 97.38 | - | - | - | - | 4055.40 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 879.88 | - | 86.63 | - | - | - | - | 3607.84 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 709.14 | - | 69.82 | - | - | - | - | 2907.79 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 603.59 | - | 59.42 | - | - | - | - | 2475.07 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 571.84 | - | 56.29 | - | - | - | - | 2344.91 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 480.93 | - | 47.34 | - | - | - | - | 1972.18 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 415.79 | - | 40.92 | - | - | - | - | 1705.08 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 437.22 | - | 43.03 | - | - | - | - | 1793.02 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 389.81 | - | 38.36 | - | - | - | - | 1598.63 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 337.93 | - | 33.25 | - | - | - | - | 1385.91 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 290.06 | - | 28.54 | - | - | - | - | 1189.66 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 281.50 | - | 27.69 | - | - | - | - | 1154.56 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 280.22 | - | 27.57 | - | - | - | - | 1149.31 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 261.83 | - | 25.76 | - | - | - | - | 1073.90 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 238.94 | - | 23.50 | - | - | - | - | 980.06 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 262.97 | - | 25.87 | - | - | - | - | 1078.59 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 294.46 | - | 28.97 | - | - | - | - | 1207.70 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 283.76 | - | 27.92 | - | - | - | - | 1163.82 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 261.49 | - | 25.72 | - | - | - | - | 1072.52 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 199.54 | - | 19.62 | - | - | - | - | 818.50 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 191.25 | - | 18.81 | - | - | - | - | 784.53 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 161.66 | - | 15.89 | - | - | - | - | 663.19 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 146.38 | - | 14.39 | - | - | - | - | 600.54 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 112.21 | - | 11.02 | - | - | - | - | 460.45 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 116.90 | - | 11.48 | - | - | - | - | 479.66 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 106.58 | - | 10.47 | - | - | - | - | 437.37 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
