Prediction 546
| Model | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PB.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 576.75 | - | 559.85 | - | - | - | - | 594.02 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 497.46 | - | 482.27 | - | - | - | - | 512.99 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 445.54 | - | 431.49 | - | - | - | - | 459.92 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 438.88 | - | 424.98 | - | - | - | - | 453.11 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 427.11 | - | 413.47 | - | - | - | - | 441.08 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 392.39 | - | 379.54 | - | - | - | - | 405.57 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 367.86 | - | 355.56 | - | - | - | - | 380.47 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 314.04 | - | 302.99 | - | - | - | - | 325.39 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 289.07 | - | 278.61 | - | - | - | - | 299.82 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 268.43 | - | 258.47 | - | - | - | - | 278.68 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 260.87 | - | 251.09 | - | - | - | - | 270.94 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 213.67 | - | 205.06 | - | - | - | - | 222.53 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 207.58 | - | 199.15 | - | - | - | - | 216.29 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 186.65 | - | 178.76 | - | - | - | - | 194.79 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 168.11 | - | 160.72 | - | - | - | - | 175.75 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 153.10 | - | 146.13 | - | - | - | - | 160.31 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 133.04 | - | 126.64 | - | - | - | - | 139.67 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 134.65 | - | 128.21 | - | - | - | - | 141.33 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 121.84 | - | 115.78 | - | - | - | - | 128.12 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 116.55 | - | 110.66 | - | - | - | - | 122.68 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 97.39 | - | 92.10 | - | - | - | - | 102.89 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 95.36 | - | 90.14 | - | - | - | - | 100.79 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 96.08 | - | 90.85 | - | - | - | - | 101.54 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 96.31 | - | 91.06 | - | - | - | - | 101.77 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 97.53 | - | 92.24 | - | - | - | - | 103.04 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 110.32 | - | 104.62 | - | - | - | - | 116.24 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 141.08 | - | 134.44 | - | - | - | - | 147.97 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 131.83 | - | 125.48 | - | - | - | - | 138.42 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 126.26 | - | 120.07 | - | - | - | - | 132.69 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 102.62 | - | 97.22 | - | - | - | - | 108.22 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 237.25 | - | 18.94 | - | - | - | - | 1039.21 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 264.23 | - | 21.09 | - | - | - | - | 1157.33 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 323.35 | - | 25.81 | - | - | - | - | 1416.24 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 380.37 | - | 30.37 | - | - | - | - | 1665.96 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 452.57 | - | 36.14 | - | - | - | - | 1982.16 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 493.49 | - | 39.40 | - | - | - | - | 2161.34 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 631.11 | - | 50.40 | - | - | - | - | 2764.06 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 675.03 | - | 53.90 | - | - | - | - | 2956.37 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 856.87 | - | 68.43 | - | - | - | - | 3752.70 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 939.91 | - | 75.06 | - | - | - | - | 4116.35 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 954.95 | - | 76.26 | - | - | - | - | 4182.24 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 942.27 | - | 75.25 | - | - | - | - | 4126.71 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 934.02 | - | 74.59 | - | - | - | - | 4090.56 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1022.12 | - | 81.63 | - | - | - | - | 4476.39 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 1043.16 | - | 83.31 | - | - | - | - | 4568.51 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 1031.63 | - | 82.39 | - | - | - | - | 4518.04 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 1005.46 | - | 80.30 | - | - | - | - | 4403.42 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1133.17 | - | 90.50 | - | - | - | - | 4962.71 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 1188.68 | - | 94.93 | - | - | - | - | 5205.81 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 1221.06 | - | 97.52 | - | - | - | - | 5347.59 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 1050.64 | - | 83.91 | - | - | - | - | 4601.27 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 1023.87 | - | 81.77 | - | - | - | - | 4484.07 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 975.14 | - | 77.87 | - | - | - | - | 4270.67 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 841.07 | - | 67.16 | - | - | - | - | 3683.56 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 753.30 | - | 60.15 | - | - | - | - | 3299.16 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 742.03 | - | 59.25 | - | - | - | - | 3249.83 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 722.13 | - | 57.66 | - | - | - | - | 3162.69 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 663.44 | - | 52.98 | - | - | - | - | 2905.65 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 621.96 | - | 49.66 | - | - | - | - | 2723.98 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 530.96 | - | 42.40 | - | - | - | - | 2325.48 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 488.74 | - | 39.02 | - | - | - | - | 2140.58 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 453.85 | - | 36.24 | - | - | - | - | 1987.77 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 441.07 | - | 35.22 | - | - | - | - | 1931.81 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 361.25 | - | 28.84 | - | - | - | - | 1582.27 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 350.97 | - | 28.02 | - | - | - | - | 1537.23 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 315.57 | - | 25.19 | - | - | - | - | 1382.21 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 284.23 | - | 22.69 | - | - | - | - | 1244.97 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 258.86 | - | 20.66 | - | - | - | - | 1133.83 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 224.94 | - | 17.95 | - | - | - | - | 985.28 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 227.66 | - | 18.17 | - | - | - | - | 997.23 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 206.00 | - | 16.44 | - | - | - | - | 902.35 | - |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
