Prediction 547
| Model | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PE.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 1148.97 | - | 1127.15 | - | - | - | - | 1171.09 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 978.32 | - | 958.85 | - | - | - | - | 998.10 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 823.49 | - | 806.18 | - | - | - | - | 841.07 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 820.06 | - | 802.80 | - | - | - | - | 837.59 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 780.09 | - | 763.40 | - | - | - | - | 797.04 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 707.43 | - | 691.79 | - | - | - | - | 723.32 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 657.90 | - | 642.99 | - | - | - | - | 673.06 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 551.34 | - | 538.04 | - | - | - | - | 564.89 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 547.98 | - | 534.73 | - | - | - | - | 561.47 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 522.07 | - | 509.23 | - | - | - | - | 535.15 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 486.04 | - | 473.77 | - | - | - | - | 498.56 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 469.78 | - | 457.76 | - | - | - | - | 482.03 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 434.40 | - | 422.96 | - | - | - | - | 446.08 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 420.13 | - | 408.92 | - | - | - | - | 431.57 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 391.93 | - | 381.19 | - | - | - | - | 402.90 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 350.76 | - | 340.71 | - | - | - | - | 361.02 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 359.92 | - | 349.72 | - | - | - | - | 370.34 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 354.65 | - | 344.55 | - | - | - | - | 364.98 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 339.21 | - | 329.37 | - | - | - | - | 349.27 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 360.38 | - | 350.17 | - | - | - | - | 370.80 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 394.53 | - | 383.74 | - | - | - | - | 405.54 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 479.04 | - | 466.88 | - | - | - | - | 491.44 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 560.99 | - | 547.55 | - | - | - | - | 574.68 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 606.56 | - | 592.42 | - | - | - | - | 620.95 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 570.72 | - | 557.12 | - | - | - | - | 584.56 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 678.65 | - | 663.44 | - | - | - | - | 694.13 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 671.90 | - | 656.79 | - | - | - | - | 687.27 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 640.14 | - | 625.50 | - | - | - | - | 655.04 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 498.32 | - | 485.84 | - | - | - | - | 511.02 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 423.35 | - | 412.26 | - | - | - | - | 434.65 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 1239.90 | - | 82.47 | - | - | - | - | 5717.91 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 1317.38 | - | 87.62 | - | - | - | - | 6075.19 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 1414.74 | - | 94.10 | - | - | - | - | 6524.15 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 1514.54 | - | 100.74 | - | - | - | - | 6984.37 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 1695.26 | - | 112.76 | - | - | - | - | 7817.76 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 1883.52 | - | 125.28 | - | - | - | - | 8685.90 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 2009.22 | - | 133.65 | - | - | - | - | 9265.55 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 2168.56 | - | 144.24 | - | - | - | - | 10000.32 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 2284.62 | - | 151.97 | - | - | - | - | 10535.55 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 2387.14 | - | 158.79 | - | - | - | - | 11008.31 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 2525.09 | - | 167.96 | - | - | - | - | 11644.44 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 2542.95 | - | 169.15 | - | - | - | - | 11726.81 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 2320.45 | - | 154.35 | - | - | - | - | 10700.77 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 2569.63 | - | 170.92 | - | - | - | - | 11849.86 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 2563.11 | - | 170.49 | - | - | - | - | 11819.78 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 2676.30 | - | 178.02 | - | - | - | - | 12341.72 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 2645.03 | - | 175.94 | - | - | - | - | 12197.53 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 2732.29 | - | 181.74 | - | - | - | - | 12599.92 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 2645.52 | - | 175.97 | - | - | - | - | 12199.78 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 2622.28 | - | 174.43 | - | - | - | - | 12092.61 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 2324.47 | - | 154.62 | - | - | - | - | 10719.30 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 2179.73 | - | 144.99 | - | - | - | - | 10051.85 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 2074.42 | - | 137.98 | - | - | - | - | 9566.22 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 1766.33 | - | 117.49 | - | - | - | - | 8145.50 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 1486.78 | - | 98.89 | - | - | - | - | 6856.38 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 1480.58 | - | 98.48 | - | - | - | - | 6827.79 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 1408.42 | - | 93.68 | - | - | - | - | 6495.02 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 1277.23 | - | 84.95 | - | - | - | - | 5890.06 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 1187.81 | - | 79.00 | - | - | - | - | 5477.70 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 995.43 | - | 66.21 | - | - | - | - | 4590.56 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 989.36 | - | 65.80 | - | - | - | - | 4562.55 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 942.58 | - | 62.69 | - | - | - | - | 4346.82 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 877.53 | - | 58.36 | - | - | - | - | 4046.89 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 848.17 | - | 56.41 | - | - | - | - | 3911.49 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 784.30 | - | 52.16 | - | - | - | - | 3616.94 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 758.53 | - | 50.45 | - | - | - | - | 3498.10 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 707.62 | - | 47.06 | - | - | - | - | 3263.32 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 633.28 | - | 42.12 | - | - | - | - | 2920.52 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 649.82 | - | 43.22 | - | - | - | - | 2996.79 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 640.31 | - | 42.58 | - | - | - | - | 2952.96 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 612.43 | - | 40.73 | - | - | - | - | 2824.39 | - |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
