Prediction 548
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state PI.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-02 | 545.20 | - | 526.85 | - | - | - | - | 564.03 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 497.65 | - | 480.37 | - | - | - | - | 515.38 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 431.75 | - | 416.01 | - | - | - | - | 447.93 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 377.58 | - | 363.14 | - | - | - | - | 392.44 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 321.83 | - | 308.77 | - | - | - | - | 335.28 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 273.41 | - | 261.62 | - | - | - | - | 285.60 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 243.21 | - | 232.23 | - | - | - | - | 254.57 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 201.18 | - | 191.39 | - | - | - | - | 211.34 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 184.59 | - | 175.29 | - | - | - | - | 194.25 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 159.29 | - | 150.77 | - | - | - | - | 168.16 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 129.99 | - | 122.42 | - | - | - | - | 137.89 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 125.24 | - | 117.84 | - | - | - | - | 132.98 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 104.08 | - | 97.44 | - | - | - | - | 111.04 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 93.24 | - | 87.02 | - | - | - | - | 99.79 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 80.55 | - | 74.84 | - | - | - | - | 86.58 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 76.90 | - | 71.34 | - | - | - | - | 82.78 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 60.39 | - | 55.55 | - | - | - | - | 65.51 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 54.86 | - | 50.30 | - | - | - | - | 59.71 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 51.55 | - | 47.16 | - | - | - | - | 56.24 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 48.39 | - | 44.16 | - | - | - | - | 52.91 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 45.33 | - | 41.26 | - | - | - | - | 49.69 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 47.52 | - | 43.33 | - | - | - | - | 52.00 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 53.13 | - | 48.66 | - | - | - | - | 57.91 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 57.64 | - | 52.95 | - | - | - | - | 62.64 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 58.79 | - | 54.04 | - | - | - | - | 63.84 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 63.38 | - | 58.42 | - | - | - | - | 68.65 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 63.77 | - | 58.79 | - | - | - | - | 69.06 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 60.68 | - | 55.84 | - | - | - | - | 65.82 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 57.22 | - | 52.55 | - | - | - | - | 62.19 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 52.47 | - | 48.05 | - | - | - | - | 57.15 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 176.03 | - | 16.32 | - | - | - | - | 736.28 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 221.26 | - | 20.51 | - | - | - | - | 925.40 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 228.51 | - | 21.19 | - | - | - | - | 955.71 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 276.67 | - | 25.66 | - | - | - | - | 1157.07 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 354.34 | - | 32.86 | - | - | - | - | 1481.81 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 409.37 | - | 37.97 | - | - | - | - | 1711.89 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 458.71 | - | 42.55 | - | - | - | - | 1918.20 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 522.69 | - | 48.49 | - | - | - | - | 2185.67 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 595.30 | - | 55.23 | - | - | - | - | 2489.26 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 725.20 | - | 67.28 | - | - | - | - | 3032.38 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 886.90 | - | 82.29 | - | - | - | - | 3708.44 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1022.77 | - | 94.90 | - | - | - | - | 4276.52 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1092.97 | - | 101.41 | - | - | - | - | 4570.02 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 1232.87 | - | 114.40 | - | - | - | - | 5154.94 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 1313.27 | - | 121.86 | - | - | - | - | 5491.08 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 1403.17 | - | 130.20 | - | - | - | - | 5866.97 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 1398.18 | - | 129.74 | - | - | - | - | 5846.11 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 1313.77 | - | 121.91 | - | - | - | - | 5493.20 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 1352.74 | - | 125.52 | - | - | - | - | 5656.13 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 1251.47 | - | 116.12 | - | - | - | - | 5232.70 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 1034.77 | - | 96.01 | - | - | - | - | 4326.67 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 929.24 | - | 86.22 | - | - | - | - | 3885.49 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 875.19 | - | 81.20 | - | - | - | - | 3659.56 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 798.85 | - | 74.11 | - | - | - | - | 3340.38 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 693.07 | - | 64.30 | - | - | - | - | 2898.10 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 606.11 | - | 56.23 | - | - | - | - | 2534.53 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 516.61 | - | 47.92 | - | - | - | - | 2160.33 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 438.90 | - | 40.71 | - | - | - | - | 1835.39 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 390.42 | - | 36.21 | - | - | - | - | 1632.70 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 322.95 | - | 29.95 | - | - | - | - | 1350.60 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 296.31 | - | 27.48 | - | - | - | - | 1239.23 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 255.70 | - | 23.71 | - | - | - | - | 1069.42 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 208.66 | - | 19.34 | - | - | - | - | 872.75 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 201.04 | - | 18.63 | - | - | - | - | 840.89 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 167.07 | - | 15.48 | - | - | - | - | 698.87 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 149.67 | - | 13.87 | - | - | - | - | 626.12 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 129.30 | - | 11.98 | - | - | - | - | 540.96 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 123.44 | - | 11.43 | - | - | - | - | 516.45 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 96.93 | - | 8.97 | - | - | - | - | 405.61 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 88.06 | - | 8.15 | - | - | - | - | 368.51 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 82.76 | - | 7.66 | - | - | - | - | 346.33 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
