Prediction 554
Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state DF.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-06-02 | 11243.11 | - | 11024.22 | - | - | - | - | 11465.21 | - |
2024-06-09 | 9127.24 | - | 8931.94 | - | - | - | - | 9325.68 | - |
2024-06-16 | 6702.24 | - | 6536.76 | - | - | - | - | 6870.79 | - |
2024-06-23 | 5304.71 | - | 5158.61 | - | - | - | - | 5453.85 | - |
2024-06-30 | 4232.96 | - | 4103.35 | - | - | - | - | 4365.58 | - |
2024-07-07 | 3521.86 | - | 3404.28 | - | - | - | - | 3642.41 | - |
2024-07-14 | 3118.49 | - | 3008.26 | - | - | - | - | 3231.68 | - |
2024-07-21 | 2635.18 | - | 2534.36 | - | - | - | - | 2738.93 | - |
2024-07-28 | 2467.59 | - | 2370.24 | - | - | - | - | 2567.88 | - |
2024-08-04 | 2124.14 | - | 2034.25 | - | - | - | - | 2216.92 | - |
2024-08-11 | 1998.79 | - | 1911.79 | - | - | - | - | 2088.69 | - |
2024-08-18 | 1857.94 | - | 1774.27 | - | - | - | - | 1944.49 | - |
2024-08-25 | 1795.93 | - | 1713.75 | - | - | - | - | 1880.97 | - |
2024-09-01 | 1925.17 | - | 1839.90 | - | - | - | - | 2013.34 | - |
2024-09-08 | 2012.57 | - | 1925.24 | - | - | - | - | 2102.81 | - |
2024-09-15 | 1939.36 | - | 1853.73 | - | - | - | - | 2027.86 | - |
2024-09-22 | 2042.31 | - | 1954.28 | - | - | - | - | 2133.25 | - |
2024-09-29 | 1909.63 | - | 1824.72 | - | - | - | - | 1997.43 | - |
2024-10-06 | 1703.26 | - | 1623.33 | - | - | - | - | 1786.02 | - |
2024-10-13 | 1870.94 | - | 1786.90 | - | - | - | - | 1957.89 | - |
2024-10-20 | 1645.23 | - | 1566.77 | - | - | - | - | 1726.51 | - |
2024-10-27 | 1755.48 | - | 1674.31 | - | - | - | - | 1839.52 | - |
2024-11-03 | 1988.99 | - | 1902.22 | - | - | - | - | 2078.66 | - |
2024-11-10 | 2204.87 | - | 2113.17 | - | - | - | - | 2299.47 | - |
2024-11-17 | 2694.31 | - | 2592.31 | - | - | - | - | 2799.26 | - |
2024-11-24 | 3117.27 | - | 3007.05 | - | - | - | - | 3230.44 | - |
2024-12-01 | 3980.11 | - | 3854.66 | - | - | - | - | 4108.55 | - |
2024-12-08 | 5024.50 | - | 4882.52 | - | - | - | - | 5169.52 | - |
2024-12-15 | 5207.02 | - | 5062.36 | - | - | - | - | 5354.73 | - |
2024-12-22 | 4993.68 | - | 4863.48 | - | - | - | - | 5126.42 | - |
2024-12-29 | 13595.45 | - | 576.89 | - | - | - | - | 69598.11 | - |
2025-01-05 | 14085.60 | - | 597.69 | - | - | - | - | 72107.25 | - |
2025-01-12 | 19730.82 | - | 837.25 | - | - | - | - | 101005.70 | - |
2025-01-19 | 27574.94 | - | 1170.13 | - | - | - | - | 141160.61 | - |
2025-01-26 | 32463.62 | - | 1377.59 | - | - | - | - | 166186.27 | - |
2025-02-02 | 33020.48 | - | 1401.23 | - | - | - | - | 169036.88 | - |
2025-02-09 | 32331.41 | - | 1371.98 | - | - | - | - | 165509.48 | - |
2025-02-16 | 35287.44 | - | 1497.43 | - | - | - | - | 180641.71 | - |
2025-02-23 | 35793.03 | - | 1518.88 | - | - | - | - | 183229.89 | - |
2025-03-02 | 34220.58 | - | 1452.15 | - | - | - | - | 175180.32 | - |
2025-03-09 | 33590.85 | - | 1425.43 | - | - | - | - | 171956.70 | - |
2025-03-16 | 32305.44 | - | 1370.88 | - | - | - | - | 165376.54 | - |
2025-03-23 | 27239.86 | - | 1155.91 | - | - | - | - | 139445.28 | - |
2025-03-30 | 28101.23 | - | 1192.47 | - | - | - | - | 143854.74 | - |
2025-04-06 | 28654.92 | - | 1215.97 | - | - | - | - | 146689.12 | - |
2025-04-13 | 26472.42 | - | 1123.35 | - | - | - | - | 135516.66 | - |
2025-04-20 | 24175.03 | - | 1025.85 | - | - | - | - | 123756.07 | - |
2025-04-27 | 22171.13 | - | 940.81 | - | - | - | - | 113497.90 | - |
2025-05-04 | 20206.29 | - | 857.43 | - | - | - | - | 103439.68 | - |
2025-05-11 | 19340.15 | - | 820.68 | - | - | - | - | 99005.82 | - |
2025-05-18 | 17294.94 | - | 733.88 | - | - | - | - | 88536.17 | - |
2025-05-25 | 15507.45 | - | 658.03 | - | - | - | - | 79385.84 | - |
2025-06-01 | 24111.92 | - | 1023.11 | - | - | - | - | 123434.87 | - |
2025-06-08 | 19574.22 | - | 830.54 | - | - | - | - | 100205.88 | - |
2025-06-15 | 14373.58 | - | 609.85 | - | - | - | - | 73583.16 | - |
2025-06-22 | 11376.45 | - | 482.66 | - | - | - | - | 58240.50 | - |
2025-06-29 | 9077.98 | - | 385.12 | - | - | - | - | 46474.35 | - |
2025-07-06 | 7552.96 | - | 320.40 | - | - | - | - | 38667.59 | - |
2025-07-13 | 6687.89 | - | 283.69 | - | - | - | - | 34239.15 | - |
2025-07-20 | 5651.40 | - | 239.71 | - | - | - | - | 28933.23 | - |
2025-07-27 | 5291.99 | - | 224.46 | - | - | - | - | 27093.34 | - |
2025-08-03 | 4555.42 | - | 193.20 | - | - | - | - | 23322.76 | - |
2025-08-10 | 4286.59 | - | 181.79 | - | - | - | - | 21946.58 | - |
2025-08-17 | 3984.53 | - | 168.97 | - | - | - | - | 20400.33 | - |
2025-08-24 | 3851.54 | - | 163.33 | - | - | - | - | 19719.54 | - |
2025-08-31 | 4128.72 | - | 175.09 | - | - | - | - | 21138.40 | - |
2025-09-07 | 4316.15 | - | 183.05 | - | - | - | - | 22097.89 | - |
2025-09-14 | 4159.14 | - | 176.38 | - | - | - | - | 21294.16 | - |
2025-09-21 | 4379.92 | - | 185.75 | - | - | - | - | 22424.36 | - |
2025-09-28 | 4095.38 | - | 173.68 | - | - | - | - | 20967.76 | - |
2025-10-05 | 3652.80 | - | 154.90 | - | - | - | - | 18702.16 | - |