Prediction 555
Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state MG.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-06-02 | 27563.24 | - | 27317.09 | - | - | - | - | 27811.02 | - |
2024-06-09 | 20355.04 | - | 20144.98 | - | - | - | - | 20566.71 | - |
2024-06-16 | 14230.97 | - | 14056.46 | - | - | - | - | 14407.09 | - |
2024-06-23 | 10733.30 | - | 10582.37 | - | - | - | - | 10885.82 | - |
2024-06-30 | 8200.32 | - | 8068.84 | - | - | - | - | 8333.37 | - |
2024-07-07 | 6098.29 | - | 5985.30 | - | - | - | - | 6212.84 | - |
2024-07-14 | 4888.29 | - | 4787.39 | - | - | - | - | 4990.75 | - |
2024-07-21 | 4129.87 | - | 4037.31 | - | - | - | - | 4224.00 | - |
2024-07-28 | 3695.40 | - | 3607.96 | - | - | - | - | 3784.40 | - |
2024-08-04 | 3428.97 | - | 3344.82 | - | - | - | - | 3514.68 | - |
2024-08-11 | 3247.68 | - | 3165.83 | - | - | - | - | 3331.08 | - |
2024-08-18 | 3211.75 | - | 3130.37 | - | - | - | - | 3294.68 | - |
2024-08-25 | 3051.42 | - | 2972.15 | - | - | - | - | 3132.25 | - |
2024-09-01 | 3069.60 | - | 2990.08 | - | - | - | - | 3150.68 | - |
2024-09-08 | 3632.87 | - | 3546.19 | - | - | - | - | 3721.12 | - |
2024-09-15 | 3648.58 | - | 3561.70 | - | - | - | - | 3737.01 | - |
2024-09-22 | 3512.15 | - | 3426.96 | - | - | - | - | 3598.90 | - |
2024-09-29 | 3637.39 | - | 3550.65 | - | - | - | - | 3725.69 | - |
2024-10-06 | 3686.51 | - | 3599.16 | - | - | - | - | 3775.40 | - |
2024-10-13 | 4400.02 | - | 4304.40 | - | - | - | - | 4497.20 | - |
2024-10-20 | 4423.49 | - | 4327.62 | - | - | - | - | 4520.93 | - |
2024-10-27 | 4550.61 | - | 4453.33 | - | - | - | - | 4649.45 | - |
2024-11-03 | 5595.28 | - | 5487.16 | - | - | - | - | 5704.96 | - |
2024-11-10 | 5957.62 | - | 5845.97 | - | - | - | - | 6070.83 | - |
2024-11-17 | 7747.78 | - | 7620.08 | - | - | - | - | 7877.07 | - |
2024-11-24 | 8718.36 | - | 8582.69 | - | - | - | - | 8855.60 | - |
2024-12-01 | 10194.46 | - | 10047.46 | - | - | - | - | 10343.03 | - |
2024-12-08 | 11395.76 | - | 11240.11 | - | - | - | - | 11553.00 | - |
2024-12-15 | 11321.88 | - | 11166.75 | - | - | - | - | 11478.60 | - |
2024-12-22 | 13264.78 | - | 13100.64 | - | - | - | - | 13430.43 | - |
2024-12-29 | 72467.65 | - | 924.38 | - | - | - | - | 429824.70 | - |
2025-01-05 | 91685.08 | - | 1169.52 | - | - | - | - | 543808.43 | - |
2025-01-12 | 119705.55 | - | 1526.95 | - | - | - | - | 710005.05 | - |
2025-01-19 | 157108.81 | - | 2004.07 | - | - | - | - | 931852.87 | - |
2025-01-26 | 201014.88 | - | 2564.13 | - | - | - | - | 1192270.82 | - |
2025-02-02 | 233656.30 | - | 2980.51 | - | - | - | - | 1385875.37 | - |
2025-02-09 | 278769.51 | - | 3555.98 | - | - | - | - | 1653453.25 | - |
2025-02-16 | 335099.19 | - | 4274.52 | - | - | - | - | 1987558.80 | - |
2025-02-23 | 357836.65 | - | 4564.56 | - | - | - | - | 2122420.47 | - |
2025-03-02 | 365473.66 | - | 4661.98 | - | - | - | - | 2167717.48 | - |
2025-03-09 | 390522.51 | - | 4981.50 | - | - | - | - | 2316288.56 | - |
2025-03-16 | 400521.02 | - | 5109.04 | - | - | - | - | 2375592.22 | - |
2025-03-23 | 366554.63 | - | 4675.77 | - | - | - | - | 2174129.03 | - |
2025-03-30 | 396189.72 | - | 5053.79 | - | - | - | - | 2349902.23 | - |
2025-04-06 | 380653.11 | - | 4855.61 | - | - | - | - | 2257750.65 | - |
2025-04-13 | 333022.21 | - | 4248.03 | - | - | - | - | 1975239.71 | - |
2025-04-20 | 304369.73 | - | 3882.53 | - | - | - | - | 1805294.59 | - |
2025-04-27 | 268169.33 | - | 3420.76 | - | - | - | - | 1590580.89 | - |
2025-05-04 | 228897.71 | - | 2919.81 | - | - | - | - | 1357650.96 | - |
2025-05-11 | 181240.96 | - | 2311.90 | - | - | - | - | 1074986.76 | - |
2025-05-18 | 132979.11 | - | 1696.27 | - | - | - | - | 788733.82 | - |
2025-05-25 | 93628.52 | - | 1194.31 | - | - | - | - | 555335.48 | - |
2025-06-01 | 100147.89 | - | 1277.46 | - | - | - | - | 594003.59 | - |
2025-06-08 | 73958.01 | - | 943.38 | - | - | - | - | 438664.34 | - |
2025-06-15 | 51706.61 | - | 659.54 | - | - | - | - | 306686.18 | - |
2025-06-22 | 38998.21 | - | 497.43 | - | - | - | - | 231309.46 | - |
2025-06-29 | 29794.90 | - | 380.04 | - | - | - | - | 176722.30 | - |
2025-07-06 | 22157.41 | - | 282.61 | - | - | - | - | 131422.44 | - |
2025-07-13 | 17761.02 | - | 226.53 | - | - | - | - | 105346.32 | - |
2025-07-20 | 15005.42 | - | 191.38 | - | - | - | - | 89002.15 | - |
2025-07-27 | 13426.81 | - | 171.24 | - | - | - | - | 79639.05 | - |
2025-08-03 | 12458.79 | - | 158.90 | - | - | - | - | 73897.41 | - |
2025-08-10 | 11800.08 | - | 150.49 | - | - | - | - | 69990.43 | - |
2025-08-17 | 11669.52 | - | 148.83 | - | - | - | - | 69216.09 | - |
2025-08-24 | 11087.01 | - | 141.40 | - | - | - | - | 65761.06 | - |
2025-08-31 | 11153.06 | - | 142.24 | - | - | - | - | 66152.85 | - |
2025-09-07 | 13199.65 | - | 168.35 | - | - | - | - | 78291.62 | - |
2025-09-14 | 13256.70 | - | 169.07 | - | - | - | - | 78630.01 | - |
2025-09-21 | 12761.01 | - | 162.75 | - | - | - | - | 75690.00 | - |
2025-09-28 | 13216.05 | - | 168.56 | - | - | - | - | 78388.94 | - |
2025-10-05 | 13394.50 | - | 170.83 | - | - | - | - | 79447.39 | - |