Prediction 573

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state AM.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 26.38 - 24.75 - - - - 28.08 -
2022-07-03 27.88 - 26.19 - - - - 29.66 -
2022-07-10 28.61 - 26.88 - - - - 30.41 -
2022-07-17 25.71 - 24.11 - - - - 27.38 -
2022-07-24 22.79 - 21.33 - - - - 24.33 -
2022-07-31 22.92 - 21.45 - - - - 24.46 -
2022-08-07 22.04 - 20.61 - - - - 23.54 -
2022-08-14 20.22 - 18.88 - - - - 21.64 -
2022-08-21 18.72 - 17.45 - - - - 20.06 -
2022-08-28 17.23 - 16.03 - - - - 18.50 -
2022-09-04 16.57 - 15.40 - - - - 17.80 -
2022-09-11 18.59 - 17.33 - - - - 19.93 -
2022-09-18 17.74 - 16.52 - - - - 19.04 -
2022-09-25 17.64 - 16.42 - - - - 18.93 -
2022-10-02 18.65 - 17.38 - - - - 19.98 -
2022-10-09 17.22 - 16.02 - - - - 18.49 -
2022-10-16 19.64 - 18.32 - - - - 21.02 -
2022-10-23 19.45 - 18.14 - - - - 20.83 -
2022-10-30 22.49 - 21.04 - - - - 24.01 -
2022-11-06 23.34 - 21.85 - - - - 24.90 -
2022-11-13 28.63 - 26.90 - - - - 30.44 -
2022-11-20 33.39 - 31.45 - - - - 35.42 -
2022-11-27 36.43 - 34.36 - - - - 38.59 -
2022-12-04 40.22 - 37.99 - - - - 42.55 -
2022-12-11 39.94 - 37.72 - - - - 42.26 -
2022-12-18 37.22 - 35.11 - - - - 39.42 -
2022-12-25 36.36 - 34.32 - - - - 38.48 -
2023-01-01 327.76 - 50.59 - - - - 1136.01 -
2023-01-08 395.83 - 61.11 - - - - 1371.95 -
2023-01-15 468.91 - 72.39 - - - - 1625.20 -
2023-01-22 565.28 - 87.28 - - - - 1959.19 -
2023-01-29 604.61 - 93.35 - - - - 2095.49 -
2023-02-05 699.02 - 107.93 - - - - 2422.68 -
2023-02-12 751.68 - 116.06 - - - - 2605.15 -
2023-02-19 843.58 - 130.25 - - - - 2923.64 -
2023-02-26 775.04 - 119.67 - - - - 2686.11 -
2023-03-05 698.72 - 107.88 - - - - 2421.63 -
2023-03-12 626.09 - 96.67 - - - - 2169.93 -
2023-03-19 526.43 - 81.28 - - - - 1824.55 -
2023-03-26 429.42 - 66.30 - - - - 1488.34 -
2023-04-02 420.77 - 64.96 - - - - 1458.36 -
2023-04-09 349.51 - 53.95 - - - - 1211.40 -
2023-04-16 289.27 - 44.65 - - - - 1002.64 -
2023-04-23 245.48 - 37.89 - - - - 850.88 -
2023-04-30 223.78 - 34.54 - - - - 775.71 -
2023-05-07 215.42 - 33.25 - - - - 746.71 -
2023-05-14 202.88 - 31.31 - - - - 703.25 -
2023-05-21 171.17 - 26.41 - - - - 593.36 -
2023-05-28 165.10 - 25.48 - - - - 572.33 -
2023-06-04 173.24 - 26.74 - - - - 600.56 -
2023-06-11 150.97 - 23.30 - - - - 523.38 -
2023-06-18 138.92 - 21.43 - - - - 481.60 -
2023-06-25 119.51 - 18.44 - - - - 414.35 -
2023-07-02 126.33 - 19.49 - - - - 437.96 -
2023-07-09 129.60 - 19.99 - - - - 449.30 -
2023-07-16 116.47 - 17.97 - - - - 403.81 -
2023-07-23 103.26 - 15.93 - - - - 358.03 -
2023-07-30 103.84 - 16.02 - - - - 360.01 -
2023-08-06 99.85 - 15.40 - - - - 346.20 -
2023-08-13 91.62 - 14.13 - - - - 317.69 -
2023-08-20 84.82 - 13.08 - - - - 294.12 -
2023-08-27 78.07 - 12.04 - - - - 270.74 -
2023-09-03 75.06 - 11.57 - - - - 260.28 -
2023-09-10 84.24 - 12.99 - - - - 292.10 -
2023-09-17 80.39 - 12.40 - - - - 278.77 -
2023-09-24 79.93 - 12.33 - - - - 277.18 -
2023-10-01 84.48 - 13.03 - - - - 292.93 -