Prediction 576

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PA.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 63.25 - 59.92 - - - - 66.72 -
2022-07-03 57.77 - 54.63 - - - - 61.04 -
2022-07-10 53.91 - 50.91 - - - - 57.04 -
2022-07-17 54.37 - 51.36 - - - - 57.52 -
2022-07-24 55.64 - 52.57 - - - - 58.83 -
2022-07-31 64.16 - 60.79 - - - - 67.67 -
2022-08-07 71.66 - 68.03 - - - - 75.43 -
2022-08-14 67.66 - 64.17 - - - - 71.29 -
2022-08-21 63.68 - 60.32 - - - - 67.16 -
2022-08-28 59.52 - 56.32 - - - - 62.86 -
2022-09-04 59.06 - 55.87 - - - - 62.38 -
2022-09-11 59.41 - 56.21 - - - - 62.75 -
2022-09-18 59.37 - 56.17 - - - - 62.70 -
2022-09-25 57.36 - 54.24 - - - - 60.62 -
2022-10-02 52.56 - 49.61 - - - - 55.64 -
2022-10-09 61.32 - 58.05 - - - - 64.73 -
2022-10-16 55.23 - 52.18 - - - - 58.41 -
2022-10-23 50.87 - 47.97 - - - - 53.89 -
2022-10-30 66.40 - 62.96 - - - - 69.99 -
2022-11-06 76.33 - 72.54 - - - - 80.26 -
2022-11-13 89.04 - 84.82 - - - - 93.41 -
2022-11-20 98.16 - 93.64 - - - - 102.84 -
2022-11-27 106.43 - 101.64 - - - - 111.38 -
2022-12-04 110.24 - 105.32 - - - - 115.31 -
2022-12-11 100.19 - 95.60 - - - - 104.93 -
2022-12-18 76.25 - 72.46 - - - - 80.19 -
2022-12-25 77.40 - 73.64 - - - - 81.31 -
2023-01-01 401.20 - 71.26 - - - - 1308.84 -
2023-01-08 475.19 - 84.41 - - - - 1550.21 -
2023-01-15 568.79 - 101.05 - - - - 1855.51 -
2023-01-22 664.71 - 118.09 - - - - 2168.38 -
2023-01-29 759.90 - 135.01 - - - - 2478.86 -
2023-02-05 705.53 - 125.35 - - - - 2301.53 -
2023-02-12 753.23 - 133.82 - - - - 2457.11 -
2023-02-19 711.71 - 126.44 - - - - 2321.67 -
2023-02-26 736.68 - 130.88 - - - - 2403.11 -
2023-03-05 731.58 - 129.98 - - - - 2386.49 -
2023-03-12 739.23 - 131.33 - - - - 2411.43 -
2023-03-19 645.90 - 114.75 - - - - 2107.03 -
2023-03-26 573.72 - 101.92 - - - - 1871.60 -
2023-04-02 596.75 - 106.02 - - - - 1946.70 -
2023-04-09 540.14 - 95.96 - - - - 1762.06 -
2023-04-16 467.58 - 83.06 - - - - 1525.38 -
2023-04-23 408.88 - 72.63 - - - - 1333.89 -
2023-04-30 419.82 - 74.58 - - - - 1369.61 -
2023-05-07 387.98 - 68.92 - - - - 1265.75 -
2023-05-14 344.50 - 61.19 - - - - 1123.90 -
2023-05-21 281.81 - 50.05 - - - - 919.42 -
2023-05-28 255.32 - 45.34 - - - - 833.03 -
2023-06-04 230.45 - 40.92 - - - - 751.92 -
2023-06-11 212.99 - 37.82 - - - - 694.97 -
2023-06-18 181.56 - 32.24 - - - - 592.45 -
2023-06-25 174.54 - 30.99 - - - - 569.55 -
2023-07-02 159.41 - 28.30 - - - - 520.20 -
2023-07-09 148.78 - 26.41 - - - - 485.50 -
2023-07-16 150.05 - 26.63 - - - - 489.64 -
2023-07-23 153.54 - 27.25 - - - - 501.03 -
2023-07-30 177.06 - 31.43 - - - - 577.76 -
2023-08-06 197.74 - 35.11 - - - - 645.21 -
2023-08-13 186.72 - 33.15 - - - - 609.27 -
2023-08-20 175.72 - 31.20 - - - - 573.38 -
2023-08-27 164.25 - 29.16 - - - - 535.98 -
2023-09-03 162.97 - 28.93 - - - - 531.81 -
2023-09-10 163.95 - 29.11 - - - - 535.00 -
2023-09-17 163.83 - 29.08 - - - - 534.60 -
2023-09-24 158.29 - 28.10 - - - - 516.55 -
2023-10-01 145.05 - 25.75 - - - - 473.34 -