Prediction 578

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RR.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 1.18 - 0.74 - - - - 1.79 -
2022-07-03 0.98 - 0.61 - - - - 1.49 -
2022-07-10 1.04 - 0.65 - - - - 1.58 -
2022-07-17 1.04 - 0.65 - - - - 1.58 -
2022-07-24 0.89 - 0.56 - - - - 1.36 -
2022-07-31 1.02 - 0.64 - - - - 1.55 -
2022-08-07 1.04 - 0.65 - - - - 1.58 -
2022-08-14 0.99 - 0.62 - - - - 1.50 -
2022-08-21 0.91 - 0.57 - - - - 1.38 -
2022-08-28 0.78 - 0.49 - - - - 1.19 -
2022-09-04 0.74 - 0.46 - - - - 1.13 -
2022-09-11 0.68 - 0.43 - - - - 1.04 -
2022-09-18 0.65 - 0.41 - - - - 0.99 -
2022-09-25 0.53 - 0.33 - - - - 0.80 -
2022-10-02 0.51 - 0.32 - - - - 0.78 -
2022-10-09 0.52 - 0.33 - - - - 0.80 -
2022-10-16 0.52 - 0.33 - - - - 0.80 -
2022-10-23 0.46 - 0.29 - - - - 0.70 -
2022-10-30 0.49 - 0.30 - - - - 0.74 -
2022-11-06 0.51 - 0.32 - - - - 0.78 -
2022-11-13 0.51 - 0.31 - - - - 0.77 -
2022-11-20 0.51 - 0.32 - - - - 0.78 -
2022-11-27 0.50 - 0.31 - - - - 0.76 -
2022-12-04 0.45 - 0.28 - - - - 0.68 -
2022-12-11 0.49 - 0.30 - - - - 0.75 -
2022-12-18 0.44 - 0.27 - - - - 0.66 -
2022-12-25 0.39 - 0.24 - - - - 0.59 -
2023-01-01 73.89 - 0.78 - - - - 436.21 -
2023-01-08 75.01 - 0.79 - - - - 442.80 -
2023-01-15 81.31 - 0.85 - - - - 479.98 -
2023-01-22 79.50 - 0.83 - - - - 469.32 -
2023-01-29 85.63 - 0.90 - - - - 505.53 -
2023-02-05 98.44 - 1.03 - - - - 581.08 -
2023-02-12 92.31 - 0.97 - - - - 544.96 -
2023-02-19 94.69 - 0.99 - - - - 558.99 -
2023-02-26 109.77 - 1.15 - - - - 647.96 -
2023-03-05 108.55 - 1.14 - - - - 640.80 -
2023-03-12 120.33 - 1.26 - - - - 710.34 -
2023-03-19 126.69 - 1.33 - - - - 747.84 -
2023-03-26 111.69 - 1.17 - - - - 659.32 -
2023-04-02 125.96 - 1.32 - - - - 743.57 -
2023-04-09 109.34 - 1.15 - - - - 645.48 -
2023-04-16 113.49 - 1.19 - - - - 669.97 -
2023-04-23 108.91 - 1.14 - - - - 642.95 -
2023-04-30 123.57 - 1.30 - - - - 729.47 -
2023-05-07 147.43 - 1.55 - - - - 870.26 -
2023-05-14 172.05 - 1.81 - - - - 1015.60 -
2023-05-21 182.76 - 1.92 - - - - 1078.81 -
2023-05-28 196.24 - 2.06 - - - - 1158.41 -
2023-06-04 204.75 - 2.15 - - - - 1208.64 -
2023-06-11 188.16 - 1.98 - - - - 1110.69 -
2023-06-18 173.76 - 1.83 - - - - 1025.68 -
2023-06-25 185.09 - 1.94 - - - - 1092.58 -
2023-07-02 154.12 - 1.62 - - - - 909.78 -
2023-07-09 162.86 - 1.71 - - - - 961.35 -
2023-07-16 163.38 - 1.72 - - - - 964.43 -
2023-07-23 139.98 - 1.47 - - - - 826.31 -
2023-07-30 159.82 - 1.68 - - - - 943.39 -
2023-08-06 162.80 - 1.71 - - - - 961.03 -
2023-08-13 154.86 - 1.63 - - - - 914.17 -
2023-08-20 142.33 - 1.50 - - - - 840.19 -
2023-08-27 122.57 - 1.29 - - - - 723.53 -
2023-09-03 116.08 - 1.22 - - - - 685.26 -
2023-09-10 107.29 - 1.13 - - - - 633.38 -
2023-09-17 101.99 - 1.07 - - - - 602.06 -
2023-09-24 82.82 - 0.87 - - - - 488.92 -
2023-10-01 80.14 - 0.84 - - - - 473.09 -