Prediction 579
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state TO.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 248.80 | - | 237.82 | - | - | - | - | 260.15 | - |
2022-07-03 | 201.23 | - | 191.51 | - | - | - | - | 211.30 | - |
2022-07-10 | 169.45 | - | 160.65 | - | - | - | - | 178.60 | - |
2022-07-17 | 153.74 | - | 145.42 | - | - | - | - | 162.40 | - |
2022-07-24 | 137.81 | - | 130.00 | - | - | - | - | 145.97 | - |
2022-07-31 | 141.43 | - | 133.50 | - | - | - | - | 149.71 | - |
2022-08-07 | 129.77 | - | 122.23 | - | - | - | - | 137.66 | - |
2022-08-14 | 127.60 | - | 120.12 | - | - | - | - | 135.41 | - |
2022-08-21 | 114.33 | - | 107.32 | - | - | - | - | 121.68 | - |
2022-08-28 | 99.01 | - | 92.55 | - | - | - | - | 105.79 | - |
2022-09-04 | 95.90 | - | 89.56 | - | - | - | - | 102.56 | - |
2022-09-11 | 97.30 | - | 90.91 | - | - | - | - | 104.02 | - |
2022-09-18 | 98.06 | - | 91.64 | - | - | - | - | 104.81 | - |
2022-09-25 | 99.01 | - | 92.55 | - | - | - | - | 105.79 | - |
2022-10-02 | 97.55 | - | 91.15 | - | - | - | - | 104.28 | - |
2022-10-09 | 107.23 | - | 100.47 | - | - | - | - | 114.32 | - |
2022-10-16 | 130.27 | - | 122.71 | - | - | - | - | 138.18 | - |
2022-10-23 | 151.87 | - | 143.61 | - | - | - | - | 160.47 | - |
2022-10-30 | 189.30 | - | 179.92 | - | - | - | - | 199.03 | - |
2022-11-06 | 222.85 | - | 212.55 | - | - | - | - | 233.51 | - |
2022-11-13 | 273.03 | - | 261.44 | - | - | - | - | 285.00 | - |
2022-11-20 | 330.55 | - | 317.57 | - | - | - | - | 343.91 | - |
2022-11-27 | 440.21 | - | 424.81 | - | - | - | - | 456.03 | - |
2022-12-04 | 511.75 | - | 494.86 | - | - | - | - | 529.06 | - |
2022-12-11 | 549.08 | - | 531.42 | - | - | - | - | 567.16 | - |
2022-12-18 | 411.18 | - | 396.39 | - | - | - | - | 426.37 | - |
2022-12-25 | 371.93 | - | 358.27 | - | - | - | - | 385.96 | - |
2023-01-01 | 583.41 | - | 93.84 | - | - | - | - | 1987.30 | - |
2023-01-08 | 646.97 | - | 104.07 | - | - | - | - | 2203.83 | - |
2023-01-15 | 700.90 | - | 112.75 | - | - | - | - | 2387.51 | - |
2023-01-22 | 753.98 | - | 121.29 | - | - | - | - | 2568.32 | - |
2023-01-29 | 843.52 | - | 135.70 | - | - | - | - | 2873.28 | - |
2023-02-05 | 862.46 | - | 138.75 | - | - | - | - | 2937.82 | - |
2023-02-12 | 874.72 | - | 140.72 | - | - | - | - | 2979.55 | - |
2023-02-19 | 831.10 | - | 133.70 | - | - | - | - | 2830.97 | - |
2023-02-26 | 822.65 | - | 132.34 | - | - | - | - | 2802.20 | - |
2023-03-05 | 770.92 | - | 124.02 | - | - | - | - | 2626.00 | - |
2023-03-12 | 801.09 | - | 128.87 | - | - | - | - | 2728.79 | - |
2023-03-19 | 797.03 | - | 128.22 | - | - | - | - | 2714.95 | - |
2023-03-26 | 743.43 | - | 119.59 | - | - | - | - | 2532.38 | - |
2023-04-02 | 773.02 | - | 124.35 | - | - | - | - | 2633.15 | - |
2023-04-09 | 754.78 | - | 121.42 | - | - | - | - | 2571.05 | - |
2023-04-16 | 688.20 | - | 110.71 | - | - | - | - | 2344.28 | - |
2023-04-23 | 697.68 | - | 112.23 | - | - | - | - | 2376.54 | - |
2023-04-30 | 682.72 | - | 109.82 | - | - | - | - | 2325.60 | - |
2023-05-07 | 639.00 | - | 102.79 | - | - | - | - | 2176.70 | - |
2023-05-14 | 581.20 | - | 93.49 | - | - | - | - | 1979.81 | - |
2023-05-21 | 504.99 | - | 81.23 | - | - | - | - | 1720.24 | - |
2023-05-28 | 431.34 | - | 69.38 | - | - | - | - | 1469.38 | - |
2023-06-04 | 375.84 | - | 60.45 | - | - | - | - | 1280.37 | - |
2023-06-11 | 335.03 | - | 53.88 | - | - | - | - | 1141.34 | - |
2023-06-18 | 270.29 | - | 43.46 | - | - | - | - | 920.85 | - |
2023-06-25 | 224.70 | - | 36.13 | - | - | - | - | 765.57 | - |
2023-07-02 | 181.73 | - | 29.21 | - | - | - | - | 619.22 | - |
2023-07-09 | 153.03 | - | 24.59 | - | - | - | - | 521.48 | - |
2023-07-16 | 138.84 | - | 22.31 | - | - | - | - | 473.14 | - |
2023-07-23 | 124.46 | - | 20.00 | - | - | - | - | 424.16 | - |
2023-07-30 | 127.73 | - | 20.52 | - | - | - | - | 435.30 | - |
2023-08-06 | 117.20 | - | 18.83 | - | - | - | - | 399.43 | - |
2023-08-13 | 115.23 | - | 18.51 | - | - | - | - | 392.74 | - |
2023-08-20 | 103.26 | - | 16.59 | - | - | - | - | 351.94 | - |
2023-08-27 | 89.41 | - | 14.36 | - | - | - | - | 304.79 | - |
2023-09-03 | 86.61 | - | 13.91 | - | - | - | - | 295.23 | - |
2023-09-10 | 87.87 | - | 14.11 | - | - | - | - | 299.54 | - |
2023-09-17 | 88.56 | - | 14.22 | - | - | - | - | 301.89 | - |
2023-09-24 | 89.42 | - | 14.36 | - | - | - | - | 304.79 | - |
2023-10-01 | 88.10 | - | 14.15 | - | - | - | - | 300.31 | - |